FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

Why TEAD Stock dropped -10.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$0.26 -10.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.25

Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $28.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TEAD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TEAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Teads Holding Co. (NASDAQ: TEAD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.26 (-10.62% 1D, market cap $28.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, TEAD ranks #510 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TEAD compare to HOLO and GOAI in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TEAD carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HOLO (MicroCloud Hologram Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $25.7M) and GOAI (Eva Live Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 67.0%, cap $35.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TEAD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GOAI leads on capital efficiency (67.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEAD?
▼

Per TEAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001454938), Teads Holding Co. generated $1.30B in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$517.1M in net income, and $2.0M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.25 (-2.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (9)SEC (6)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.5% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE TEAD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TEAD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TEAD SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$0.47-14.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$0.40-12.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$0.35-25.7% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$0.26-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TEAD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TEAD currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.46) and Max Pain ($0.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TEAD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TEAD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TEAD Stock dropped -10.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) dropped -10.62% to $0.26, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.24 – $1.56). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.24 – $1.56) with RSI-14 at 26.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.26 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 33% gross margin and $2.0M annual free cash flow.
Live TEAD Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TEAD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TEAD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TEAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -71.74%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.30H $0.30L $0.26C $0.26VOL 570.1K
RES: $0.50SUP: $0.23SMA50: $0.46SMA200: $0.74
$1.50$1.16$0.82$0.48$0.13RES $0.50SUP $0.23$0.262026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TEAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +46.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TEAD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TEAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TEAD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TEAD)

Technology Rank #510 of 715 ⚔️ HOLO vs TEAD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TEAD vs. HOLO, GOAI, JG, SST)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) ranks #510 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #595 by equity capitalization ($28.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TEAD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GOAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.0% ROIC and — gross margin. JG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with TEAD at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TEAD ACTIVE
Teads Holding Co.
D- 36/100 — 33.0% -35.0% -10.62% $28.5M Benchmark Subject
HOLO
MicroCloud Hologram Inc.
D- 37/100 — 21.3% 0.2% +3.57% $25.7M /holo-vs-tead →
GOAI
Eva Live Inc.
D 46/100 — — 67.0% -1.10% $35.6M /goai-vs-tead →
JG
Aurora Mobile Limited
D+ 54/100 — 67.2% 4.0% +1.38% $39.0M /jg-vs-tead →
SST
System1 Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 — 37.7% -28.5% -0.59% $17.8M /sst-vs-tead →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001454938 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (+46.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $889.9M , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$517.1M, operating cash flow of $7.6M, and free cash flow of $2.0M (-96.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TEAD closed FY2025 with $1.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.30B -$517.1M $7.6M $2.0M $1.33B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $889.9M -$711.0K $68.6M $61.2M $549.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $935.8M $10.2M $13.7M $13.7M — —

3. TEAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TEAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Teads Holding Co. (NASDAQ: TEAD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.26 (-10.62% 1D, market cap $28.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, TEAD ranks #510 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TEAD compare to HOLO and GOAI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TEAD carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HOLO (MicroCloud Hologram Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $25.7M) and GOAI (Eva Live Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 67.0%, cap $35.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TEAD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GOAI leads on capital efficiency (67.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEAD?

Per TEAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001454938), Teads Holding Co. generated $1.30B in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$517.1M in net income, and $2.0M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TEAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEAD last traded at $0.26 (-10.62% on volume of 256,277 shares), positioning the stock -43.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.46) and -64.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.74). Across its 52-week range of $0.24 to $1.56, TEAD sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.29).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TEAD — Teads Holding Co.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.26 (-10.62% 1D, market capitalization $28.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 33.0%, operating margin of -30.7%, and free cash flow yield of 6.69%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) reported $1.30B in annual revenue (up from $889.9M in FY2024, +46.1% YoY) and -$517.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($935.8M revenue, $10.2M net income) through FY2025, TEAD scaled operating cash flow to $7.6M and free cash flow to $2.0M, backed by $1.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 6.69% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.24 – $1.56 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -30.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are therefore — Investors should watch for any second-order effects from the guidance suspension and the November 5 earnings release, since these are the only sourced catalysts that could shift expectations for the business.

  • Key Question #1: Can TEAD sustain or expand its -30.7% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.30B and free cash flow of $2.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TEAD's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TEAD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TEAD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TEAD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.26?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TEAD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TEAD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.38 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew to $1.30B in FY 2025 and FCF yield is a positive 6.69%.

Don't sleep on TEAD's setup in Technology. Revenue grew to $1.30B in FY 2025 and FCF yield is a positive 6.69%.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (36/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. If gross margin (33.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.25 (-13.8%)
Spot @ $0.29

Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and ROIC of -35% signal a stressed balance sheet with weak operating returns.

Fading this rally in TEAD at $0.29. Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and ROIC of -35% signal a stressed balance sheet with weak operating returns.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $0.29 (52-wk range $0.24–$1.56), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%