Stock Ratings / Technology / TEL / financials

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TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$213.03 -4.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $211.87

TE Connectivity plc (TEL) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (35% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $61.68B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TEL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, TE Connectivity plc (NYSE: TEL) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $213.03 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $61.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TEL ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TEL compare to P and COHR in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), TEL carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of 35.2%, and ROIC of 15.2%. By comparison, P (Everpure Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $42.31B) and COHR (Coherent Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $41.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while WDC leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEL?

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Per TEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-26, CIK 0001385157), TE Connectivity plc generated $17.26B in revenue (+8.9% YoY), $1.84B in net income, and $3.20B in free cash flow against $25.55B in total assets and $4.86B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (35% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $211.86 (-0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 18.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TEL SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.6% FCF Margin ($3.20B FCF) & 35.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$210.25+1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$214.09+3.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$221.24-3.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$213.03+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, TEL faces multiple-compression risk if 35.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 32.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($212.07) or 200D SMA ($212.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($225.49) toward Bear Floor ($174.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TEL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TEL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TEL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$3.20B (18.6% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $16.03B

FY24

Rev $15.85B

FY25

Rev $17.26B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$17.26B	35.2%	18.6%	$1.84B	$3.20B	15.2%
FY 2024	$15.85B	34.4%	17.6%	$3.19B	$2.80B	15.2%
FY 2023	$16.03B	35.2%	14.4%	$1.91B	$2.41B	8.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TEL)

✓Walkthrough of TEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.78%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $222.8H $222.8L $213.0C $213.0VOL 1.95M

RES: $230.7SUP: $206.4SMA50: $212.1SMA200: $212.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TEL Butterfly Map → + Track TEL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TEL)

Technology Rank #59 of 714 ⚔️ P vs TEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TEL vs. P, COHR, NTAP, WDC)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TE Connectivity plc (TEL) ranks #59 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #56 by equity capitalization ($61.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while WDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. TEL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TEL ACTIVE TE Connectivity plc	B-	71/100	35.0x	35.2%	15.2%	-4.37%	$61.68B	Benchmark Subject
P Everpure Inc.	C-	61/100	—	70.4%	2.5%	-7.45%	$42.31B	/p-vs-tel →
COHR Coherent Corp.	D	46/100	—	35.2%	0.3%	-11.34%	$41.42B	/cohr-vs-tel →
NTAP NetApp Inc.	C+	68/100	33.6x	70.7%	38.5%	-8.81%	$39.12B	/ntap-vs-tel →
WDC Western Digital Corporation	C+	67/100	21.7x	—	58.3%	-7.41%	$137.04B	/wdc-vs-tel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-26 • CIK 0001385157

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-26), TE Connectivity plc (TEL) reported GAAP revenue of $17.26B (+8.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.85B , and +7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.84B, operating cash flow of $4.14B, and free cash flow of $3.20B (+14.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TEL closed FY2025 with $25.55B in total assets against $4.86B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.16, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-26	$17.26B	$1.84B	$4.14B	$3.20B	$25.55B	$4.86B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-27	$15.85B	$3.19B	$3.48B	$2.80B	$22.44B	$3.29B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-29	$16.03B	$1.91B	$3.13B	$2.41B	$35.47B	$8.30B

3. TEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TEL compare to P and COHR in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEL?

Where is TEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEL last traded at $213.03 (-4.37% on volume of 1,952,285 shares), positioning the stock +0.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($212.07) and +0.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($212.51). Across its 52-week range of $190.27 to $252.56, TEL sits at the 36.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($199.61 to $226.45).

TEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is TE Connectivity plc (TEL)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TEL converted $17.3B of revenue into a 35.2% gross margin, 18.6% operating margin, and $3.2B in free cash flow (18.6% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: TEL RQD Cockpit TEL 12M Forecast TEL Earnings & Move TEL Dividends & DRIP TEL Insiders & 13F TEL Whale Options TEL Profit Sankey TEL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TEL — TE Connectivity plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:40Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TEL carries an RQD Score of 74 with a letter grade of B and the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 15.2% and an FCF yield of 4.97%. For a prospective investor, this is the strongest cash-generation signal in the rating, indicating the business earns a return above the figure's implied hurdle and converts a meaningful share of its market value into free cash flow.
Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is moderately favorable; the underlying 13F detail is not available in source data, so the investor cannot see which holders are driving it.
Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderately favorable; the individual transactions are not itemized in source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar, reflecting a beta of 1.23 and sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, the lower score signals that the stock is likely to move more than the broad market in both directions and that its performance is exposed to the macro backdrop.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 5.16, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.37. This is the strongest pillar, suggesting low financial distress risk.

Investor implications: the upside drivers are cash generation and balance-sheet strength. The valuation tradeoff is that the market data show a trailing P/E of 35 and an EV/EBITDA of 17, which are elevated multiples that leave less room for disappointment. The macro pillar is the main drag, so the rating points to a business with good fundamentals whose share price is more sensitive to market swings than its balance sheet alone would suggest.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$222.76	$64.49B	35	32.6	17	6.36	1.25%	1.23	$190.27 - $252.56	15.2%

Business

TE Connectivity plc is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Electronic Components industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 35.2%, an operating margin of 18.6%, and a net margin of 10.7%. The source data does not itemize its product lines, customer base, or revenue mix, so the specific products sold and the end markets served are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$17262.0M	$3211.0M	$1842.0M	N/A	$3203.0M	$1251.0M	$4856.0M
FY 2024	$15845.0M	$2796.0M	$3193.0M	N/A	$2797.0M	$1254.0M	$3285.0M
FY 2023	$16034.0M	$2304.0M	$1910.0M	N/A	$2410.5M	N/A	$8300.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $16034.0M in FY 2023 to $17262.0M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $1910.0M to $1842.0M after a FY 2024 peak of $3193.0M. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic readings are an Altman Z of 5.16 and a Piotroski F of 8/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.37. Per the market data, ROIC is 15.2% and the FCF yield is 4.97%. Reported debt was $8300.1M in FY 2023, $3285.0M in FY 2024, and $4856.0M in FY 2025. EPS is listed as N/A for all reported periods in the financial source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six headlines from Yahoo Finance, all tagged to TEL, with an impact label of "MARKET WIRE" for five items and "CATALYST" for one. Their signal lights are mostly yellow, with one green:

A report stating that the stock may be undervalued on cash flow (yellow, market wire).
A report on a slip after strong Q4 earnings results (yellow, market wire).
A report on a board change and an earnings test (yellow, market wire).
A notice that the company will report fourth quarter and full year financial results on October 28, 2026 (yellow, market wire).
A report on earnings beat hopes as a potential catalyst (green, catalyst).
A report asking whether the stock trades at a discount to cash flow (yellow, market wire).

Risk watch items from the wire are the earnings test, the board change, and the post-earnings share slip. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The investor should not infer such linkages from the sector label alone; they would need to be sourced separately.

Open Questions

What are the company's product lines, customers, and end-market exposure, since the source data gives only the sector and industry labels?
Why are EPS values listed as N/A across all three reported periods, and what is the reconciled per-share earnings figure?
What is the composition of the insider, 13F, and Congressional activity behind the 14/20 and 15/20 pillar scores?
How do the EPS, forward P/E, and FCF figures reconcile with the reported net income swing between FY 2024 and FY 2025?
What is the outcome of the scheduled October 28, 2026 earnings report, and how does it relate to the board change flagged in the news wire?

TEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TE Connectivity plc (TEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TEL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

TE Connectivity (TEL) Stock May Be 17% Undervalued On Cash Flow