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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TEN / earnings
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Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.3% Move

$49.49 -8.10% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.89

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.62B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TEN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (NYSE: TEN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $49.49 (-8.10% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TEN ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TEN carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B) and CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?
▼

Per TEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166663), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd generated $798.7M in revenue (-0.7% YoY), $160.9M in net income, and $297.6M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.89 (-1.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 37.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (16)SEC (10)Macro (17)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$62 Bull$53 Base$41 Bear
📬 FREE TEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TEN SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 79% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
80
Grade A-$56.40-10.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$50.43+5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$53.40-7.3% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$49.49+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TEN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, TEN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.18) or 200D SMA ($40.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.61) toward Bear Floor ($40.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.3% Swing Band

±$4.11 Expected Swing
$45.38 (-8.3%)Spot $49.49$53.60 (+8.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TEN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $5.34 • YoY Revenue Growth: -0.7%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$798.7M$160.9M$297.6M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$804.1M$176.2M$307.7M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$889.6M$300.2M$395.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TEN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TEN
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.66%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $54.51H $54.51L $49.49C $49.49VOL 249.3K
RES: $58.25SUP: $42.14SMA50: $49.18SMA200: $40.15
$58.82$50.17$41.52$32.87$24.23RES $58.25SUP $42.14$49.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TEN Butterfly Map → + Track TEN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TEN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #115 of 1009 ⚔️ NAT vs TEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TEN vs. NAT, CMRE, FLNG, SFL)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #442 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TEN ACTIVE
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd
B 72/100 10.2x — 6.6% -8.10% $1.62B Benchmark Subject
NAT
Nordic American Tankers Limited
C- 60/100 139.9x 62.3% 4.6% -7.84% $1.67B /nat-vs-ten →
CMRE
Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value
D+ 53/100 4.8x — 12.8% -5.01% $1.71B /cmre-vs-ten →
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd.
D 45/100 20.7x — 6.9% -3.84% $1.53B /flng-vs-ten →
SFL
SFL Corporation Ltd
D 48/100 — — 3.9% -5.79% $1.72B /sfl-vs-ten →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001166663 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) reported GAAP revenue of $798.7M (-0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $804.1M , and -10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $160.9M, operating cash flow of $297.6M, and free cash flow of $297.6M (-3.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TEN closed FY2025 with $3.95B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $798.7M $160.9M $297.6M $297.6M $3.95B $1.49B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $804.1M $176.2M $307.7M $307.7M $3.71B $1.35B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $889.6M $300.2M $395.3M $395.3M — —

3. TEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (NYSE: TEN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $49.49 (-8.10% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TEN ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TEN carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B) and CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?

Per TEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166663), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd generated $798.7M in revenue (-0.7% YoY), $160.9M in net income, and $297.6M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEN last traded at $49.49 (-8.10% on volume of 505,533 shares), positioning the stock +0.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.18) and +23.26% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.15). Across its 52-week range of $21.65 to $56.73, TEN sits at the 79.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($45.38 to $53.60).

Direct Sub-Reports: TEN RQD Cockpit TEN 12M Forecast TEN Earnings & Move TEN Dividends & DRIP TEN Insiders & 13F TEN Whale Options TEN Profit Sankey TEN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TEN — Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $49.49 (-8.10% 1D, market capitalization $1.62B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 31.6%, and free cash flow yield of 18.12%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (17/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.82x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Marine Transportation industry. The profile establishes sector and industry classification and market capitalization but does not describe products, customers, or revenue mechanics. Operating margin of 31.6% and net margin of 20.1% (per the market data) indicate the company converts a substantial share of revenue into operating and net profit. Gross margin is reported as 0%, which is not interpretable without further detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) reported $798.7M in annual revenue (up from $804.1M in FY2024, -0.7% YoY) and $160.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($889.6M revenue, $300.2M net income) through FY2025, TEN scaled operating cash flow to $297.6M and free cash flow to $297.6M, backed by $3.95B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.65 – $56.73 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 10.2x trailing P/E and 11.2x EV/EBITDA against 31.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Marine Transportation (Consumer Discretionary), TEN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can TEN sustain or expand its 31.6% operating margin and 6.6% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $798.7M and free cash flow of $297.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.49B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TEN's 9.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $49.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TEN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.62 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 9.5 forward P/E and 18.12% FCF yield sit alongside an RQD score of 72 and a beta of 1.0, indicating cash generation priced at a modes

Long TEN at $53.85 targeting $64.62. A 9.5 forward P/E and 18.12% FCF yield sit alongside an RQD score of 72 and a beta of 1.0, indicating cash generation priced at a modest multiple.. Institutional whale score is 16/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $21.65 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — TEN's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $46.31 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $53.85

Revenue and net income declined across FY 2023 to FY 2025 while debt rose to $1.49B, and the forensic balance sheet pillar scored onl

Fading this rally in TEN at $53.85. Revenue and net income declined across FY 2023 to FY 2025 while debt rose to $1.49B, and the forensic balance sheet pillar scored only 10/20.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $53.85 (52-wk range $21.65–$56.73), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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