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Tredegar Corporation (TG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$7.53 +0.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.52

Tredegar Corporation (TG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $262.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $7.53 (+0.40% 1D, market cap $262.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $245.3M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?
▼

Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $156.0M in revenue (+4.2% YoY), $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.52 (-0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 10.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$11 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE TG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TG SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$7.61+5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$8.04-10.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$7.20+4.6% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$7.53+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, TG faces multiple-compression risk if 7.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.37) or 200D SMA ($8.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.56) toward Bear Floor ($5.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $7.53: 1328.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.90
$7,835
$-2,165 (-21.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.56
$10,040
+$40 (+0.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $11.06
$14,688
+$4,688 (+46.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$1069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TG Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
TG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.82%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.51H $7.53L $7.50C $7.53VOL 302.2K
RES: $8.06SUP: $6.11SMA50: $7.37SMA200: $8.07
$10.82$9.63$8.43$7.24$6.05RES $8.06SUP $6.11$7.532026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TG Butterfly Map → + Track TG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TG)

Industrials Rank #135 of 486 ⚔️ NKLR vs TG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TG vs. NKLR, IMSR, FSTR, UAMY)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tredegar Corporation (TG) ranks #135 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #334 by equity capitalization ($262.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TG leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while TG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TG ACTIVE
Tredegar Corporation
C- 59/100 7.8x — 15.5% +0.40% $262.1M Benchmark Subject
NKLR
Terra Innovatum Global N.V.
E 25/100 — — -35.0% 0.00% $245.3M /nklr-vs-tg →
IMSR
Terrestrial Energy Inc.
E 28/100 — — -10.0% -7.14% $341.1M /imsr-vs-tg →
FSTR
L.B. Foster Company
D+ 54/100 50.7x 21.1% 10.1% +2.32% $377.1M /fstr-vs-tg →
UAMY
United States Antimony Corporation
E 30/100 — 25.2% -6.0% -3.69% $446.0M /uamy-vs-tg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000850429 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tredegar Corporation (TG) reported GAAP revenue of $156.0M (+4.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $149.7M , and -67.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.5M, operating cash flow of $33.0M, and free cash flow of $15.7M (+41.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TG closed FY2025 with $371.4M in total assets against $34.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $156.0M $33.5M $33.0M $15.7M $371.4M $34.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $149.7M -$64.6M $25.5M $11.2M $356.4M $60.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $476.6M -$105.9M $24.0M $24.0M — —

3. TG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $7.53 (+0.40% 1D, market cap $262.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $245.3M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?

Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $156.0M in revenue (+4.2% YoY), $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TG last traded at $7.53 (+0.40% on volume of 188,296 shares), positioning the stock +2.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.37) and -6.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.07). Across its 52-week range of $6.25 to $10.53, TG sits at the 29.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($6.89 to $8.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: TG RQD Cockpit TG 12M Forecast TG Earnings & Move TG Dividends & DRIP TG Insiders & 13F TG Whale Options TG Profit Sankey TG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TG — Tredegar Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tredegar Corporation (TG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $7.53 (+0.40% 1D, market capitalization $262.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 6.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.16x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tredegar Corporation (TG) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Metal Fabrications industry. The profile describes it as a company with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tredegar Corporation (TG) reported $156.0M in annual revenue (up from $149.7M in FY2024, +4.2% YoY) and $33.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($476.6M revenue, -$105.9M net income) through FY2025, TG scaled operating cash flow to $33.0M and free cash flow to $15.7M, backed by $371.4M in total assets against $34.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 6.00% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.25 – $10.53 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 7.8x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Metal Fabrications (Industrials), TG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can TG sustain or expand its — operating margin and 15.5% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $156.0M and free cash flow of $15.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $34.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TG's 7.3x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tredegar Corporation (TG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.53?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.22 (+22.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 17 / 20 and the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 7.8 with ROIC of 15.5%.

The street is overcomplicating Tredegar Corporation (TG). Insider conviction scores 17 / 20 and the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 7.8 with ROIC of 15.5%.. With an RQD score of 59/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $8.10.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — TG's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.85 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $7.50

Institutional flow scores 7 / 20 and reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M across all periods.

Careful chasing TG at $7.50. Institutional flow scores 7 / 20 and reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M across all periods.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $5.85 on multiple compression.

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