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Why TGEN Stock dropped -9.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.80 -9.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.77

Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 16/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $60.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TGEN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TGEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Tecogen Inc. (NYSE: TGEN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $1.80 (-9.55% 1D, market cap $60.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TGEN ranks #484 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TGEN compare to BLNK and GEOS in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TGEN carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.0M) and GEOS (Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas)) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $57.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TGEN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TGEN?
▼

Per TGEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001537435), Tecogen Inc. generated $27.1M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$8.2M in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $37.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.77 (-1.91%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (16/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510016
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.9% Base Target
$11 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TGEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TGEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (16/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TGEN SCORES 16/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.24 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 36.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$2.35-9.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$2.12-9.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
19
Grade E$1.92-6.2% Next Q
Current
16
Grade E$1.80-12.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (16)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TGEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TGEN currently carries a cautious 16/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.72) and Max Pain ($1.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TGEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TGEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TGEN Stock dropped -9.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) dropped -9.55% to $1.80, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.87 – $10.47). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.87 – $10.47) with RSI-14 at 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 36.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TGEN Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TGEN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TGEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TGEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.41%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $2.33H $2.33L $1.80C $1.80VOL 203.4K
RES: $2.28SUP: $1.99SMA50: $2.72SMA200: $3.80
$7.82$6.19$4.56$2.93$1.29RES $2.28SUP $1.99$1.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TGEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TGEN Butterfly Map → + Track TGEN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TGEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TGEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TGEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TGEN)

Industrials Rank #484 of 486 ⚔️ BLNK vs TGEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TGEN vs. BLNK, GEOS, LASE, NVX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) ranks #484 by composite RQD confidence (16/100, grade E) and #395 by equity capitalization ($60.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TGEN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GEOS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.5% ROIC and 29.7% gross margin. NVX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with TGEN at 16/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TGEN ACTIVE
Tecogen Inc.
E 16/100 — 36.3% -35.0% -9.55% $60.1M Benchmark Subject
BLNK
Blink Charging Co.
E 31/100 — 24.6% -35.0% +6.42% $58.0M /blnk-vs-tgen →
GEOS
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas)
E 22/100 — 29.7% -8.5% -6.80% $57.0M /geos-vs-tgen →
LASE
Laser Photonics Corporation
E 30/100 — 14.4% -35.0% -4.35% $48.6M /lase-vs-tgen →
NVX
NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares
D 44/100 — — — -4.44% $48.4M /nvx-vs-tgen →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001537435 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) reported GAAP revenue of $27.1M (+19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.6M , and +7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.2M, operating cash flow of -$9.9M, and free cash flow of -$10.3M (-433.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TGEN closed FY2025 with $37.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.24, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $27.1M -$8.2M -$9.9M -$10.3M $37.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $22.6M -$4.8M $4.1M $3.1M $31.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $25.1M -$4.6M -$817.8K -$817.8K — —

3. TGEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TGEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tecogen Inc. (NYSE: TGEN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $1.80 (-9.55% 1D, market cap $60.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TGEN ranks #484 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TGEN compare to BLNK and GEOS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TGEN carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLNK (Blink Charging Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.0M) and GEOS (Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas)) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $57.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TGEN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TGEN?

Per TGEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001537435), Tecogen Inc. generated $27.1M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$8.2M in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $37.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TGEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TGEN last traded at $1.80 (-9.55% on volume of 154,457 shares), positioning the stock -33.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.72) and -52.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.80). Across its 52-week range of $1.87 to $10.47, TGEN sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.57 to $2.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: TGEN RQD Cockpit TGEN 12M Forecast TGEN Earnings & Move TGEN Dividends & DRIP TGEN Insiders & 13F TGEN Whale Options TGEN Profit Sankey TGEN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 16/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TGEN — Tecogen Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 16/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.80 (-9.55% 1D, market capitalization $60.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 36.3%, operating margin of -30.5%, and free cash flow yield of -14.66%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.24, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tecogen Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry..1B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 36.3%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) reported $27.1M in annual revenue (up from $22.6M in FY2024, +19.7% YoY) and -$8.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($25.1M revenue, -$4.6M net income) through FY2025, TGEN scaled operating cash flow to -$9.9M and free cash flow to -$10.3M, backed by $37.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 16/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -14.66% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.87 – $10.47 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -30.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are recorded and no proprietary signals are present. Upstream/downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations beyond the stated Industrials classification: — Second-order bottlenecks: — Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means the source data cannot establish how supplier or customer conditions would transmit to TGEN.

  • Key Question #1: Can TGEN sustain or expand its -30.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $27.1M and free cash flow of -$10.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TGEN's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TGEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TGEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TGEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.80?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TGEN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TGEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.55 (+28.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Customer testimonials report InVerde cutting data-center electric bills substantially, a possible revenue-driver narrative.

Picked up a starter position in TGEN in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.99. Customer testimonials report InVerde cutting data-center electric bills substantially, a possible revenue-driver narrative.. Trading inside a $1.87–$10.47 52-week range with -14.66% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 16/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.99 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.85.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.51 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $1.99

Negative ROIC of -35%, free cash flow yield of -14.66%, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.24 signal forensic distress.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on TGEN: Negative ROIC of -35%, free cash flow yield of -14.66%, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.24 signal forensic distress.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Industrial Machinery/Components triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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