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International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (THM) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.86 +3.33% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.87

International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (THM) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $470.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is THM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (NYSE: THM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.86 (+3.33% 1D, market cap $470.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, THM ranks #239 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does THM compare to ALOY and NB in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), THM carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 115.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, ALOY (REalloys Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.8%, cap $465.4M) and NB (NioCorp Developments Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $487.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THM leads on earnings multiple (115.1x) while THM leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THM?
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Per THM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001134115), International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) generated $23.9M in revenue (+0.7% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$3.6M in free cash flow against $56.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.87 (+0.41%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.9% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE THM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY THM SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$2.25-6.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$2.11-2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$2.06-9.7% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$1.86-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a THM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While THM currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.37) and Max Pain ($1.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “THM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (THM)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for THM.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring THM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of THM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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THM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.83%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.04H $2.04L $1.80C $1.86VOL 1.14M
RES: $3.01SUP: $1.76SMA50: $2.37SMA200: $2.42
$3.07$2.69$2.31$1.92$1.54RES $3.01SUP $1.76$1.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 THM Butterfly Map → + Track THM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THM)

Materials Rank #239 of 270 ⚔️ ALOY vs THM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (THM vs. ALOY, NB, WRN, LZM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (THM) ranks #239 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #172 by equity capitalization ($470.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, THM leads on earnings valuation at 115.1x trailing P/E, while THM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with THM at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THM ACTIVE
International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)
E 29/100 115.1x — 8.2% +3.33% $470.9M Benchmark Subject
ALOY
REalloys Inc.
E 31/100 — 48.0% -8.8% -5.24% $465.4M /aloy-vs-thm →
NB
NioCorp Developments Ltd.
E 33/100 — — -5.6% -6.74% $487.1M /nb-vs-thm →
WRN
Western Copper and Gold Corporation
D 44/100 — — — 0.00% $357.4M /wrn-vs-thm →
LZM
Lifezone Metals Limited
D 49/100 — — — +1.31% $343.5M /lzm-vs-thm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001134115 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (THM) reported GAAP revenue of $23.9M (+0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.7M , and -71.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.6M, operating cash flow of -$3.6M, and free cash flow of -$3.6M (-25.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, THM closed FY2025 with $56.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $23.9M $4.6M -$3.6M -$3.6M $56.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $23.7M $3.6M -$2.9M -$2.9M $56.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $84.8M $3.4M -$3.2M -$3.2M — —

3. THM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (NYSE: THM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.86 (+3.33% 1D, market cap $470.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, THM ranks #239 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THM compare to ALOY and NB in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), THM carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 115.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, ALOY (REalloys Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.8%, cap $465.4M) and NB (NioCorp Developments Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $487.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THM leads on earnings multiple (115.1x) while THM leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THM?

Per THM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001134115), International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) generated $23.9M in revenue (+0.7% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$3.6M in free cash flow against $56.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THM last traded at $1.86 (+3.33% on volume of 572,537 shares), positioning the stock -21.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.37) and -23.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.42). Across its 52-week range of $1.43 to $3.65, THM sits at the 19.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.63 to $2.09).

Direct Sub-Reports: THM RQD Cockpit THM 12M Forecast THM Earnings & Move THM Dividends & DRIP THM Insiders & 13F THM Whale Options THM Profit Sankey THM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

THM — International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (THM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.86 (+3.33% 1D, market capitalization $470.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -0.68%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, within the Metal Mining industry. The market capitalization is $0.5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (THM) reported $23.9M in annual revenue (up from $23.7M in FY2024, +0.7% YoY) and $4.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($84.8M revenue, $3.4M net income) through FY2025, THM scaled operating cash flow to -$3.6M and free cash flow to -$3.6M, backed by $56.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.68% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.43 – $3.65 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 115.1x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Metal Mining (Materials), THM carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can THM sustain or expand its — operating margin and 8.2% ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $23.9M and free cash flow of -$3.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is THM's 107.0x forward P/E multiple to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

THM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) (THM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to THM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

THM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.86?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON THM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on THM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.30 (+27.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet is the strongest RQD pillar at 10/20, with Altman Z of 2.5 and ROIC of 8.2%, and net income has risen from $3.4M to $4.6M

Picked up a starter position in THM in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.80. Balance sheet is the strongest RQD pillar at 10/20, with Altman Z of 2.5 and ROIC of 8.2%, and net income has risen from $3.4M to $4.6M over FY 2023–FY 2025.. Trading inside a $1.43–$3.65 52-week range with -0.68% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Metal Mining multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 115.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Metal Mining. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.40 (-22.2%)
Spot @ $1.80

The RQD grade is E with negative free-cash-flow yield (-0.68%), Piotroski F of 2/9, and P/E of 115.1 on EPS of 0.02, while reported rev

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on THM: The RQD grade is E with negative free-cash-flow yield (-0.68%), Piotroski F of 2/9, and P/E of 115.1 on EPS of 0.02, while reported revenue is $0.0M in every period.. At 115.1x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Metal Mining triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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