Thor Industries Inc. (THO) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$73.90 +0.38% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.81

Thor Industries Inc. (THO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $3.80B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on THO Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is THO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Thor Industries Inc. (NYSE: THO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $73.90 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $3.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, THO ranks #209 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does THO compare to WGO and GEO in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), THO carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of 14.0%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, WGO (Winnebago Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.5x, ROIC 2.8%, cap $860.8M) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THO?
β–Ό

Per THO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000730263), Thor Industries Inc. generated $9.58B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $258.6M in net income, and $146.8M in free cash flow against $7.02B in total assets and $877.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.81 (-0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$129 Bull$72 Base$56 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE THO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY THO SCORES 53/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.27 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.2) create a -14 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$65.23+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$66.62+5.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$70.44+4.9% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$73.90-0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D+ (53)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a THO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While THO currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($71.00) and Max Pain ($77.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $128.97.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTHO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
61.230 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.27>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE18% OF RANGE
L: $63$73.90H: $123
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (14% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on THO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

5.0% ROIC with 14.0% gross margin and 3.86% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 3.27 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (50)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like THO
  • βœ“Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring THO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of THO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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THO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.24%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $71.06H $73.90L $71.06C $73.90VOL 724.3K
RES: $74.36SUP: $61.32SMA50: $71.00SMA200: $81.27
$102.7$91.90$81.09$70.28$59.48RES $74.36SUP $61.32$73.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THO)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (THO vs. WGO, GEO, JOE, MTH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Thor Industries Inc. (THO) ranks #209 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #168 by equity capitalization ($3.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTH leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while JOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 43.1% gross margin. JOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with THO at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THO ACTIVE
Thor Industries Inc.
D+ 53/100 14.7x 14.0% 5.0% +0.38% $3.80B Benchmark Subject
WGO
Winnebago Industries Inc.
D+ 55/100 33.5x 13.0% 2.8% +1.26% $860.8M /wgo-vs-tho β†’
GEO
Geo Group Inc
D 48/100 14.8x β€” 6.6% -0.07% $3.76B /geo-vs-tho β†’
JOE
St. Joe Company
B+ 76/100 35.1x 43.1% 18.1% -2.48% $4.06B /joe-vs-tho β†’
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
C- 59/100 9.3x β€” 8.0% -0.03% $4.20B /mth-vs-tho β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-07-31 β€’ CIK 0000730263

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Thor Industries Inc. (THO) reported GAAP revenue of $9.58B (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.04B , and -13.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $258.6M, operating cash flow of $577.9M, and free cash flow of $146.8M (+56.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, THO closed FY2025 with $7.02B in total assets against $877.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.27, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-07-31 $9.58B $258.6M $577.9M $146.8M $7.02B $877.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-31 $10.04B $265.3M $545.5M $93.6M $6.71B $1.00B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-31 $11.12B $374.3M $981.6M $481.2M $13.35B $3.12B

3. THO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Thor Industries Inc. (NYSE: THO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $73.90 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $3.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, THO ranks #209 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THO compare to WGO and GEO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Homebuilding), THO carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of 14.0%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, WGO (Winnebago Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.5x, ROIC 2.8%, cap $860.8M) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THO?

Per THO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000730263), Thor Industries Inc. generated $9.58B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $258.6M in net income, and $146.8M in free cash flow against $7.02B in total assets and $877.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THO last traded at $73.90 (+0.38% on volume of 758,378 shares), positioning the stock +4.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($71.00) and -9.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($81.27). Across its 52-week range of $62.83 to $122.83, THO sits at the 18.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.3% ($67.77 to $80.03).

THO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell THO stock right now?

Thor Industries Inc. (THO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell β€” SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 15x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is THO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

THO's 12-month base price target is $72.24 (range $56.35 to $128.97), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 53/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

THO β€” Thor Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, THO scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20 (ROIC 5%; FCF yield 3.86%). This is the weakest-scoring fundamental area relative to the stock's identity as a cash generator, and it reflects a thin return on invested capital.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 9 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). The source does not contain the underlying 13F detail, but the pillar score indicates institutional flow is a modest negative-to-neutral factor.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This is the highest-scoring pillar, suggesting insider and congressional activity is comparatively supportive.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20 (beta 0.95; sector sensitivity). This is the lowest score and indicates limited alignment between the stock's current macro sensitivity and the prevailing regime as captured by the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20 (Altman Z 3.27; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.2). Balance-sheet metrics are moderate, with leverage described as low and the Piotroski score at mid-to-solid levels.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the insider-conviction pillar and balance-sheet resilience, while the downside is concentrated in weak returns on capital, thin margins, and low macro-regime fit. The stock's valuation (P/E TTM 14.7, EV/EBITDA 6.5) sits against a 52-week range of $62.83 - $122.83 and a current price of 73.62, meaning the price is well below the top of its recent range. Valuation looks moderate on earnings multiples, but the low ROIC and thin margins limit how much that multiple should be credited. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
73.62$3.8B14.713.76.55.010%0.95$62.83 - $122.835%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$9579.5M$305.1M$258.6MN/A$146.8M$242.2M$877.8M
FY 2024$10043.4M$313.1M$265.3MN/A$93.6M$373.8M$1003.4M
FY 2023$11121.6M$441.6M$374.3MN/A$481.2MN/A$3122.9M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $11121.6M in FY 2023 to $9579.5M in FY 2025, and net income fell from $374.3M to $258.6M over the same span. Per the market data, net margin is 2.7% and operating margin is 3.3%, with ROIC at 5%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.27 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.2 per the same pillar, and reported debt fell from $3122.9M (FY 2023) to $877.8M (FY 2025).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the headlines carry mixed-to-negative tone. Recent items include a report that THO is "Down 8.1% Since Last Earnings Report" (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE), a "Fully Valued After A 39% Fall" analysis (RED, RISK WATCH), a 12-month price target cut to $80.7 implying 26% upside (RED, RISK WATCH), and a risk-zone analysis (RED, RISK WATCH). A soft-earnings piece also flagged the investment case as potentially altered (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-derived catalysts are available.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific product lines, customers, and revenue drivers behind the declining revenue from FY 2023 to FY 2025?
  • What caused the reported 8.1% decline since the last earnings report, and what does the earnings release itself say?
  • What is the underlying 13F and options-positioning detail behind the whale-flow pillar score of 9 / 20?
  • What analyst consensus and price-target distribution exists beyond the single price-target headline cited in the news wire?
  • Why does EPS show N/A in every reported period when EPS (TTM) is 5.01 in the market data?

THO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Thor Industries Inc. (THO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to THO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

THO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $73.90?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON THO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on THO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $79.51 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is THO (D+ β€’ RQD 53/100) a Buy at $73.62?

Welcome to the THO (Thor Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Homebuilding. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $55.22 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $73.62

Pump the brakes on THO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on THO, but look at what you are paying: 14.7x trailing P/E with 14.0% gross margins. Unless Thor Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $94.23 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $73.62

THO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on THO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Homebuilding and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $73.62 (52-wk range $62.83 - $122.83), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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