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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TNMG / news
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Why TNMG Stock surged +6.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.15 +6.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.19

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ: TNMG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.15 (+6.68% 1D, market cap $3.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TNMG ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TNMG compare to FCDH and YDKG in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TNMG carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FCDH (Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.1M) and YDKG (Yueda Digital Holding Class A Ordinary Share) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $5.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNMG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while YDKG leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNMG?
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For TNL Mediagene (TNMG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #52 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.19 (+1.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$97 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE TNMG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TNMG SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($82.8K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$3.38-11.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$3.00+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$3.03+37% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$4.15-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TNMG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TNMG currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.69) and Max Pain ($4.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $97.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TNMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TNMG Stock surged +6.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) surged +6.68% to $4.15, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.46 – $92.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.46 – $92.8) with RSI-14 at 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $82842 annual free cash flow.
Live TNMG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREChartMill • 4d ago
Top Stock Gainers and Losers in Today's Session

Today's top movers include CHOW up 107.0% and JDZG down 54.09%, with double-digit swings across small-cap gainers and sharp declines among larger and smaller companies.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TNMG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TNMG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TNMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.92%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-03O $3.05H $4.15L $3.05C $4.15VOL 61.09M
RES: $7.08SUP: $2.63SMA50: $3.69SMA200: $9.46
$41.89$31.20$20.52$9.83$-0.86RES $7.08SUP $2.63$4.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TNMG Butterfly Map → + Track TNMG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNMG)

Communication Services Rank #52 of 132 ⚔️ FCDH vs TNMG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TNMG vs. FCDH, YDKG, INUV, HAO)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TNL Mediagene (TNMG) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #130 by equity capitalization ($3.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNMG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while YDKG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.5% ROIC and -2.5% gross margin. TNMG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TNMG ACTIVE
TNL Mediagene
D+ 53/100 — — — +6.68% $3.0M Benchmark Subject
FCDH
Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)
E 26/100 — 23.7% -35.0% -4.36% $3.1M /fcdh-vs-tnmg →
YDKG
Yueda Digital Holding Class A Ordinary Share
D 48/100 — -2.5% -11.5% -1.11% $5.0M /ydkg-vs-tnmg →
INUV
Inuvo Inc.
E 26/100 — 74.5% -35.0% +2.41% $6.8M /inuv-vs-tnmg →
HAO
Haoxi Health Technology Limited (Class A)
D- 36/100 — 96.0% — +2.08% $1.2M /hao-vs-tnmg →

2. TNMG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) operates in Advertising (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $3.0M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TNMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TNL Mediagene (NASDAQ: TNMG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.15 (+6.68% 1D, market cap $3.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TNMG ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TNMG compare to FCDH and YDKG in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TNMG carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FCDH (Forcendra Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.1M) and YDKG (Yueda Digital Holding Class A Ordinary Share) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $5.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNMG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while YDKG leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNMG?

For TNL Mediagene (TNMG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #52 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TNMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNMG last traded at $4.15 (+6.68% on volume of 1,167,363 shares), positioning the stock +12.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.69) and -56.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.46). Across its 52-week range of $2.46 to $92.80, TNMG sits at the 1.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.63 to $4.67).

Direct Sub-Reports: TNMG RQD Cockpit TNMG 12M Forecast TNMG Earnings & Move TNMG Dividends & DRIP TNMG Insiders & 13F TNMG Whale Options TNMG Profit Sankey TNMG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TNMG — TNL Mediagene: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.15 (+6.68% 1D, market capitalization $3.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TNL Mediagene (TNMG) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Advertising industry (Communication Services sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.0M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Advertising peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.46 – $92.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source.

  • Key Question #1: Can TNMG sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Advertising peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $92.80 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TNMG's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TNMG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TNL Mediagene (TNMG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TNMG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TNMG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TNMG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TNMG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.71 (+21.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The company reports regaining Nasdaq minimum bid price compliance, per its recent news feed.

The company reports regaining Nasdaq minimum bid price compliance, per its recent news feed.. When you look under the hood at TNMG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (10/20) has been quietly accumulating below $92.80. My 12M target is $4.71.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.89 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.62.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.96 (-23.9%)
Spot @ $3.89

The RQD rating scores institutional flow at 3 of 20 and ROIC and FCF yield at 0%, with a distribution-warning verdict.

Fading this rally in TNMG at $3.89. The RQD rating scores institutional flow at 3 of 20 and ROIC and FCF yield at 0%, with a distribution-warning verdict.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $3.89 (52-wk range $2.46–$92.80), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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