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Why TOMZ Stock surged +11.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.16 +11.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.20

TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (TOMZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $18.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TOMZ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TOMZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: TOMZ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $2.16 (+11.92% 1D, market cap $18.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TOMZ ranks #208 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TOMZ compare to LOOP and TANH in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), TOMZ carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 54.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LOOP (Loop Industries Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $12.7M) and TANH (Tantech Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.5%, cap $8.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOMZ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TANH leads on capital efficiency (-12.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TOMZ?
▼

Per TOMZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000314227), TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. generated $5.6M in revenue (-27.2% YoY), -$3.7M in net income, and -$1.2M in free cash flow against $7.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.20 (+1.96%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (11)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.8% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE TOMZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TOMZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TOMZ SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$1.65-10.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$1.47+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$1.49+45% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$2.16-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TOMZ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TOMZ currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.56) and Max Pain ($2.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TOMZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TOMZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TOMZ Stock surged +11.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (TOMZ) surged +11.92% to $2.16, trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($1.21 – $3.24). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($1.21 – $3.24) with RSI-14 at 63.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.16 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 54.6% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TOMZ Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TOMZ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TOMZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TOMZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.00%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $1.70H $2.16L $1.70C $2.16VOL 95.7K
RES: $1.49SUP: $1.12SMA50: $1.56SMA200: $1.96
$3.38$2.79$2.20$1.62$1.03RES $1.49SUP $1.12$2.162026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TOMZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -27.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TOMZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TOMZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TOMZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TOMZ)

Materials Rank #208 of 270 ⚔️ LOOP vs TOMZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TOMZ vs. LOOP, TANH, VGAS, CITR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (TOMZ) ranks #208 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #254 by equity capitalization ($18.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOMZ leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TANH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.5% ROIC and 18.6% gross margin. LOOP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 41/100 (D-) compared with TOMZ at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TOMZ ACTIVE
TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc.
D- 38/100 — 54.6% -35.0% +11.92% $18.9M Benchmark Subject
LOOP
Loop Industries Inc.
D- 41/100 — 25.9% — +9.00% $12.7M /loop-vs-tomz →
TANH
Tantech Holdings Ltd. (Class A)
E 24/100 — 18.6% -12.5% +4.15% $8.2M /tanh-vs-tomz →
VGAS
Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A)
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% -1.48% $45.2M /vgas-vs-tomz →
CITR
CitroTech Inc.
E 18/100 — 22.3% -35.0% -3.52% $63.9M /citr-vs-tomz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000314227 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (TOMZ) reported GAAP revenue of $5.6M (-27.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.7M , and -23.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.7M, operating cash flow of -$1.2M, and free cash flow of -$1.2M (+22.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TOMZ closed FY2025 with $7.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.6M -$3.7M -$1.2M -$1.2M $7.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.7M -$4.5M -$1.4M -$1.5M $9.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.4M -$3.4M -$3.6M -$3.6M — —

3. TOMZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TOMZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: TOMZ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $2.16 (+11.92% 1D, market cap $18.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TOMZ ranks #208 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TOMZ compare to LOOP and TANH in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), TOMZ carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 54.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LOOP (Loop Industries Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $12.7M) and TANH (Tantech Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.5%, cap $8.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOMZ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TANH leads on capital efficiency (-12.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TOMZ?

Per TOMZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000314227), TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. generated $5.6M in revenue (-27.2% YoY), -$3.7M in net income, and -$1.2M in free cash flow against $7.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TOMZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TOMZ last traded at $2.16 (+11.92% on volume of 107,286 shares), positioning the stock +38.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.56) and +10.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.96). Across its 52-week range of $1.21 to $3.24, TOMZ sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.89 to $2.43).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TOMZ — TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (TOMZ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.16 (+11.92% 1D, market capitalization $18.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 54.6%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -7.22%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (TOMZ) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Major Chemicals industry (Materials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $18.9M. The business operates with a gross margin of 54.6%, an operating margin of -60%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35% (free cash flow yield of -7.22%). Within the Major Chemicals peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (TOMZ) reported $5.6M in annual revenue (up from $7.7M in FY2024, -27.2% YoY) and -$3.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.4M revenue, -$3.4M net income) through FY2025, TOMZ scaled operating cash flow to -$1.2M and free cash flow to -$1.2M, backed by $7.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -7.22% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.21 – $3.24 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

A prospective investor should note that the lack of mapped supply-chain links means ripple effects from suppliers, customers, or peer companies cannot be assessed from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can TOMZ sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.6M and free cash flow of -$1.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TOMZ's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TOMZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc. (TOMZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TOMZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TOMZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.16?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TOMZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TOMZ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.24 (+16.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

TOMZ (D- • RQD 38/100) operating leverage in Major Chemicals is mispriced at $1.93

Picked up a starter position in TOMZ in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.93. TOMZ (D- • RQD 38/100) operating leverage in Major Chemicals is mispriced at $1.93. Trading inside a $1.21–$3.24 52-week range with -7.22% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Major Chemicals multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 38/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.93 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.79.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.60 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $1.93

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -7.22% show the business is not generating returns or cash, and the rating reflects that weakness.

Fading this rally in TOMZ at $1.93. ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -7.22% show the business is not generating returns or cash, and the rating reflects that weakness.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.93 (52-wk range $1.21–$3.24), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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