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Why TOYO Stock surged +4.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.72 +4.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.75

TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $193.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TOYO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, TOYO Co. Ltd (NASDAQ: TOYO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $4.72 (+4.19% 1D, market cap $193.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TOYO ranks #312 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TOYO compare to DAKT and ODC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), TOYO carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.1x, gross margin of 22.5%, and ROIC of 41.9%. By comparison, DAKT (Daktronics Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 30.2%, cap $907.0M) and ODC (Oil-Dri Corporation Of America) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 23.9%, cap $1.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOYO leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while TOYO leads on capital efficiency (41.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TOYO?
▼

Per TOYO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001985273), TOYO Co. Ltd generated $427.4M in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $39.7M in net income, and $41.2M in free cash flow against $441.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (22.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.75 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 9.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B · Rk D
Cash (17)Whales (8)SEC (7)Macro (11)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$18 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE TOYO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TOYO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TOYO SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.6% FCF Margin ($41.2M FCF) & 22.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$4.34-7.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$4.00-4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$3.81+23.9% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$4.72+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TOYO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, TOYO faces multiple-compression risk if 5.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.30) or 200D SMA ($7.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.78) toward Bear Floor ($3.73).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TOYO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TOYO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TOYO Stock surged +4.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) surged +4.19% to $4.72, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($3.71 – $17.43). Solid 22.5% gross margin (42% return on capital), mixed timing at 5x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($3.71 – $17.43) with RSI-14 at 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.2% around $4.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 22.5% gross margin and $41.2M annual free cash flow.
Live TOYO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREZacks Investment Research • 1d ago
Should I buy TOYO Co., Ltd. (TOYO)

Zacks Investment Research report covering TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TOYO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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TOYO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.42%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $4.70H $4.72L $4.53C $4.72VOL 793.6K
RES: $4.64SUP: $3.67SMA50: $4.30SMA200: $7.94
$18.39$14.41$10.43$6.45$2.48RES $4.64SUP $3.67$4.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TOYO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TOYO Butterfly Map → + Track TOYO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-13.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +141.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TOYO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TOYO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TOYO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TOYO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #312 of 1009 ⚔️ DAKT vs TOYO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TOYO vs. DAKT, ODC, VTSI, DOGZ)

Industry: Miscellaneous manufacturing industries (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) ranks #312 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #694 by equity capitalization ($193.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOYO leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while TOYO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.9% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. ODC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TOYO at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TOYO ACTIVE
TOYO Co. Ltd
C- 61/100 5.1x 22.5% 41.9% +4.19% $193.5M Benchmark Subject
DAKT
Daktronics Inc.
C- 60/100 21.0x 27.3% 30.2% +1.38% $907.0M /dakt-vs-toyo →
ODC
Oil-Dri Corporation Of America
C+ 66/100 19.6x 29.5% 23.9% -2.56% $1.03B /odc-vs-toyo →
VTSI
VirTra Inc.
D- 42/100 117.4x 67.9% 1.3% +1.53% $29.5M /vtsi-vs-toyo →
DOGZ
Dogness (International) Corporation (Class A)
E 26/100 — 24.3% -6.1% -0.88% $10.6M /dogz-vs-toyo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001985273 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) reported GAAP revenue of $427.4M (+141.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $177.0M , and +585.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $39.7M, operating cash flow of $133.0M, and free cash flow of $41.2M (+929.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TOYO closed FY2025 with $441.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.72, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $427.4M $39.7M $133.0M $41.2M $441.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $177.0M $40.6M $46.5M $4.0M $239.8M $21.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $62.4M $9.9M -$12.5M -$12.5M — —

3. TOYO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TOYO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TOYO Co. Ltd (NASDAQ: TOYO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $4.72 (+4.19% 1D, market cap $193.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TOYO ranks #312 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TOYO compare to DAKT and ODC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), TOYO carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.1x, gross margin of 22.5%, and ROIC of 41.9%. By comparison, DAKT (Daktronics Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 30.2%, cap $907.0M) and ODC (Oil-Dri Corporation Of America) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 23.9%, cap $1.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOYO leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while TOYO leads on capital efficiency (41.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TOYO?

Per TOYO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001985273), TOYO Co. Ltd generated $427.4M in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $39.7M in net income, and $41.2M in free cash flow against $441.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (22.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TOYO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TOYO last traded at $4.72 (+4.19% on volume of 570,745 shares), positioning the stock +9.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.30) and -40.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.94). Across its 52-week range of $3.71 to $17.43, TOYO sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($4.14 to $5.30).

Direct Sub-Reports: TOYO RQD Cockpit TOYO 12M Forecast TOYO Earnings & Move TOYO Dividends & DRIP TOYO Insiders & 13F TOYO Whale Options TOYO Profit Sankey TOYO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TOYO — TOYO Co. Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $4.72 (+4.19% 1D, market capitalization $193.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 41.9%, gross margin of 22.5%, operating margin of 13.8%, and free cash flow yield of 20.54%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.72, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TOYO Co. Ltd is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Miscellaneous manufacturing industries industry,. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Its market capitalization is reported as $0.2B in the profile section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) reported $427.4M in annual revenue (up from $177.0M in FY2024, +141.5% YoY) and $39.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($62.4M revenue, $9.9M net income) through FY2025, TOYO scaled operating cash flow to $133.0M and free cash flow to $41.2M, backed by $441.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Strong cash generator (22.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.71 – $17.43 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 5.1x trailing P/E against 13.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore provides no documented upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlation mapping beyond the Consumer Discretionary and Miscellaneous manufacturing classifications, and no identified 2nd-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the absence of graph data is a limitation of the source, not evidence that no dependencies exist. The one ripple the source data does name is the December commerce ruling cited in the Seeking Alpha headline, which, if relevant to TOYO's operations, could propagate through its supply chain; the source does not specify the mechanism.

  • Key Question #1: Can TOYO sustain or expand its 13.8% operating margin and 41.9% ROIC against Miscellaneous manufacturing industries peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $427.4M and free cash flow of $41.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TOYO's 4.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TOYO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TOYO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TOYO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TOYO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TOYO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.93 (+30.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 17/20 on ROIC of 41.9% and an FCF yield of 20.54%.

Don't sleep on TOYO's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 17/20 on ROIC of 41.9% and an FCF yield of 20.54%.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (61/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 5.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Miscellaneous manufacturing industries. If gross margin (22.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.71 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $4.53

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 7/20 on an Altman Z-Score of 1.72 and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9.

Fading this rally in TOYO at $4.53. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 7/20 on an Altman Z-Score of 1.72 and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $4.53 (52-wk range $3.71–$17.43), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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