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Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.70 +0.59% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.70

Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $9.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TPET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Trio Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: TPET) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $1.70 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $9.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TPET ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TPET compare to BRN and EONR in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), TPET carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.9%, and ROIC of -34.2%. By comparison, BRN (Barnwell Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.5%, cap $12.9M) and EONR (EON Resources Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.8%, cap $16.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MXC leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MXC leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPET?
β–Ό

Per TPET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001898766), Trio Petroleum Corp. generated $398.7K in revenue (+87.0% YoY), -$7.3M in net income, and -$2.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 TPET TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY β€’ HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) β€’ TARGET (RES) β€’ WHY

Where to Enter $TPET, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

πŸ† RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP β€’ $TPET R/R 2.2 : 1 β€’ RQD 36/100 (D-)
$TPET
Spot $1.70
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$1.69–$1.71
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$1.61 (-5.2%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$1.81 / $1.90
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $1.61): Hard stop sits 5.2% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $TPET closes a daily candle below $1.61, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $1.81 / $1.90): Scale out 50% at T1 (+6.5%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+11.5%).
Want this $TPET sheet + Today's Top 3 Trades emailed free? Paper Trade $TPET β†’
⚑ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked β€’ Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $TPET Sheet
#1 β€’ $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
Micron Technology, Inc.
IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 β€’ πŸ”’ LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 β€’ πŸ”’ LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.70 (-0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510036
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target
$24 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TPET RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPET)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TPET SCORES 36/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
28
Grade E$1.55-5.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$1.46+24% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$1.81-6.1% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$1.70-8.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (28) β†’ D- (36)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TPET Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TPET currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.72) and Max Pain ($1.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.63.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPETβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTPET Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TPET)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TPET.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TPET)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TPET's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TPET // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.20%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $1.94H $1.94L $1.69C $1.70VOL 384.0K
RES: $2.04SUP: $1.35🎯 Entry / Stop & Top 3 Trades ↑SMA50: $1.72SMA200: $4.02
$8.75$6.76$4.78$2.79$0.80RES $2.04SUP $1.35$1.702026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPET Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ TPET Butterfly Map β†’ + Track TPET β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +87.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPET today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPET. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPET today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPET)

Energy Rank #187 of 211 βš”οΈ BRN vs TPET Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TPET vs. BRN, EONR, GBR, MXC)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) ranks #187 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #207 by equity capitalization ($9.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MXC leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while MXC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. MXC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with TPET at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TPET ACTIVE
Trio Petroleum Corp.
D- 36/100 β€” 55.9% -34.2% +0.59% $9.0M Benchmark Subject
BRN
Barnwell Industries Inc.
E 25/100 β€” β€” 0.5% -1.24% $12.9M /brn-vs-tpet β†’
EONR
EON Resources Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 β€” β€” -14.8% -12.40% $16.9M /eonr-vs-tpet β†’
GBR
New Concept Energy Inc
D 44/100 β€” β€” -5.1% -3.18% $4.6M /gbr-vs-tpet β†’
MXC
Mexco Energy Corporation
C+ 68/100 15.8x β€” 5.9% -1.92% $19.2M /mxc-vs-tpet β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-10-31 β€’ CIK 0001898766 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) reported GAAP revenue of $398.7K (+87.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $213.2K , and -96.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.3M, operating cash flow of -$2.6M, and free cash flow of -$2.6M (+32.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPET closed FY2025 with $14.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-31 $398.7K -$7.3M -$2.6M -$2.6M $14.2M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-31 $213.2K -$9.6M -$3.8M -$3.8M $13.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-31 $12.9M -$6.5M -$4.0M -$4.0M β€” β€”

3. TPET Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Trio Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: TPET) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $1.70 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $9.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TPET ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TPET compare to BRN and EONR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), TPET carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.9%, and ROIC of -34.2%. By comparison, BRN (Barnwell Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.5%, cap $12.9M) and EONR (EON Resources Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.8%, cap $16.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MXC leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MXC leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPET?

Per TPET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001898766), Trio Petroleum Corp. generated $398.7K in revenue (+87.0% YoY), -$7.3M in net income, and -$2.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TPET trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPET last traded at $1.70 (+0.59% on volume of 192,882 shares), positioning the stock -1.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.72) and -57.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.42 to $22.50, TPET sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.49 to $1.91).

Direct Sub-Reports: TPET RQD Cockpit TPET 12M Forecast TPET Earnings & Move TPET Dividends & DRIP TPET Insiders & 13F TPET Whale Options TPET Profit Sankey TPET News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 36/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TPET β€” Trio Petroleum Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-10-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.70 (+0.59% 1D, market capitalization $9.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -34.2%, gross margin of 55.9%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oil & Gas Production industry..0B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-10-31), Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) reported $398.7K in annual revenue (up from $213.2K in FY2024, +87.0% YoY) and -$7.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.9M revenue, -$6.5M net income) through FY2025, TPET scaled operating cash flow to -$2.6M and free cash flow to -$2.6M, backed by $14.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.42 – $22.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream or downstream dependencies for TPET. Investors should note that the graph's absence means no structured 2nd-order ripple mapping is available; any sector-level effects would have to be evaluated outside this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can TPET sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -34.2% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $398.7K and free cash flow of -$2.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TPET's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TPET Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TPET Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TPET Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.70?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TPET 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TPET:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.50 (+28.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $0.0M in FY 2023 to $0.4M in FY 2025 while the stock trades near its 52-week low of $1.42.

The street is overcomplicating Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET). Revenue grew from $0.0M in FY 2023 to $0.4M in FY 2025 while the stock trades near its 52-week low of $1.42.. With an RQD score of 36/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $2.10.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” TPET's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.65 (-14.9%)
Spot @ $1.94

ROIC of -34.2%, an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, and net losses in every reported year signal forensic distress.

ROIC of -34.2%, an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, and net losses in every reported year signal forensic distress.. Look at the math on TPET: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -34.2% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil & Gas Production demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.71 before getting long.

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