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Why TPR Stock slipped -1.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$116.29 -1.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.79

Tapestry Inc. (TPR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $23.23B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TPR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tapestry Inc. (NYSE: TPR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $116.29 (-1.31% 1D, market cap $23.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPR ranks #228 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TPR compare to AS and LULU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), TPR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of 77.8%, and ROIC of 79.8%. By comparison, AS (Amer Sports Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $16.41B) and LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $11.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LULU leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while TPR leads on capital efficiency (79.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPR?
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Per TPR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27, CIK 0001116132), Tapestry Inc. generated $8.00B in revenue (+14.2% YoY), $1.53B in net income, and $1.81B in free cash flow against $6.53B in total assets and $2.40B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (77.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.79 (-0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 22.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D
Cash (19)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$173 Bull$120 Base$94 Bear
📬 FREE TPR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TPR SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.6% FCF Margin ($1.81B FCF) & 77.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.9) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$115.03+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$115.16-3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$111.24+4.5% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$116.29+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TPR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, TPR faces multiple-compression risk if 15.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 75.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($116.90) or 200D SMA ($136.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($119.95) toward Bear Floor ($93.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TPR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TPR Stock slipped -1.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Tapestry Inc. (TPR) slipped -1.31% to $116.29, trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($93 – $164.8). Solid 77.8% gross margin (80% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($93 – $164.8) with RSI-14 at 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $116.29 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 77.8% gross margin and $1.8B annual free cash flow.
Live TPR Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TPR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TPR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.78%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $117.8H $117.8L $116.3C $116.3VOL 2.75M
RES: $177.7SUP: $103.5SMA50: $116.9SMA200: $137.0
$168.7$152.6$136.4$120.3$104.1RES $177.7SUP $103.5$116.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
7.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #228 of 1009 ⚔️ AS vs TPR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TPR vs. AS, LULU, LEVI, GIL)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tapestry Inc. (TPR) ranks #228 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #85 by equity capitalization ($23.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LULU leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while TPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 79.8% ROIC and 77.8% gross margin. LULU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with TPR at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TPR ACTIVE
Tapestry Inc.
C 65/100 15.4x 77.8% 79.8% -1.31% $23.23B Benchmark Subject
AS
Amer Sports Inc.
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.65% $16.41B /as-vs-tpr →
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
B 73/100 7.3x 56.6% 32.3% -2.35% $11.32B /lulu-vs-tpr →
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
B- 70/100 16.4x 61.7% 20.9% -0.49% $8.63B /levi-vs-tpr →
GIL
Gildan Activewear Inc. Class A Sub. Vot.
D 51/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.36% $7.35B /gil-vs-tpr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-27 • CIK 0001116132 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27), Tapestry Inc. (TPR) reported GAAP revenue of $8.00B (+14.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.01B , and +20.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.53B, operating cash flow of $1.98B, and free cash flow of $1.81B (+65.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPR closed FY2025 with $6.53B in total assets against $2.40B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.05, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-27 $8.00B $1.53B $1.98B $1.81B $6.53B $2.40B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-28 $7.01B $183.0M $1.22B $1.09B $7.25B $2.40B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-07-01 $6.66B $936.0M $975.2M $675.5M $12.95B $3.03B

3. TPR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tapestry Inc. (NYSE: TPR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $116.29 (-1.31% 1D, market cap $23.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPR ranks #228 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TPR compare to AS and LULU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), TPR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of 77.8%, and ROIC of 79.8%. By comparison, AS (Amer Sports Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $16.41B) and LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $11.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LULU leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while TPR leads on capital efficiency (79.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPR?

Per TPR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27, CIK 0001116132), Tapestry Inc. generated $8.00B in revenue (+14.2% YoY), $1.53B in net income, and $1.81B in free cash flow against $6.53B in total assets and $2.40B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (77.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TPR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPR last traded at $116.29 (-1.31% on volume of 2,754,368 shares), positioning the stock -0.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($116.90) and -15.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($136.99). Across its 52-week range of $93.00 to $164.80, TPR sits at the 32.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($108.85 to $123.73).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TPR — Tapestry Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-06-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tapestry Inc. (TPR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $116.29 (-1.31% 1D, market capitalization $23.23B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 79.8%, gross margin of 77.8%, operating margin of 23.9%, and free cash flow yield of 7.70%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (19/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.05, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 4.35x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tapestry Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Apparel industry. It operates in Apparel with a market capitalization of $23.5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-06-27), Tapestry Inc. (TPR) reported $8.00B in annual revenue (up from $7.01B in FY2024, +14.2% YoY) and $1.53B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.66B revenue, $936.0M net income) through FY2025, TPR scaled operating cash flow to $1.98B and free cash flow to $1.81B, backed by $6.53B in total assets against $2.40B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Strong cash generator (77.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $93.00 – $164.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 15.4x trailing P/E and 12.1x EV/EBITDA against 23.9% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain status is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals.

  • Key Question #1: Can TPR sustain or expand its 23.9% operating margin and 79.8% ROIC against Apparel peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.00B and free cash flow of $1.81B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.40B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TPR's 12.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

TPR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tapestry Inc. (TPR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TPR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TPR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $116.29?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TPR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TPR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $141.87 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash generation is exceptional, with ROIC of 79.8% and an FCF yield of 7.7%, alongside a forward P/E of 12.9.

Picked up a starter position in TPR in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $116.29. Cash generation is exceptional, with ROIC of 79.8% and an FCF yield of 7.7%, alongside a forward P/E of 12.9.. Trading inside a $93.00–$164.80 52-week range with 7.7% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Apparel multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 65/100 quality, though with 1.1 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $116.29 and keeping dry powder in case we test $108.15.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $96.52 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $116.29

Macro fit is weak at 4/20 with a Beta of 1.1, and leverage is high with Debt/Equity of 4.35.

Macro fit is weak at 4/20 with a Beta of 1.1, and leverage is high with Debt/Equity of 4.35.. Look at the math on TPR: paying 15.4x trailing P/E for 79.8% ROIC and 23.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Apparel demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $102.34 before getting long.

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