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Stock Ratings / Materials / TROX / options
PCT (18) BAK (45) LXFR (63) ASIX (51) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.46 -3.89% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.43

Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $574.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TROX Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TROX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (NYSE: TROX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $3.46 (-3.89% 1D, market cap $574.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TROX ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TROX compare to PCT and BAK in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), TROX carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -16.4%. By comparison, PCT (PureCycle Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $675.0M) and BAK (Braskem SA ADR) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $462.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TROX?
β–Ό

Per TROX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001530804), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) generated $2.90B in revenue (-5.7% YoY), -$470.0M in net income, and $60.0M in free cash flow against $6.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.43 (-0.89%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 2.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510034
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.7% Base Target
$11 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TROX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TROX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TROX SCORES 34/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.1% FCF Margin ($60.0M FCF) & 9.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$3.50-3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$3.39+8.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$3.68-6% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$3.46-8.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ E (34)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TROX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TROX currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.13) and Max Pain ($3.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.12.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TROXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTROX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TROX)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TROX.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TROX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TROX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TROX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -65.40%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.69H $3.69L $3.46C $3.46VOL 1.53M
RES: $4.95SUP: $2.88SMA50: $4.13SMA200: $6.64
$11.05$8.93$6.80$4.67$2.54RES $4.95SUP $2.88$3.462026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TROX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ TROX Butterfly Map β†’ + Track TROX β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TROX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TROX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TROX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TROX)

Materials Rank #218 of 270 βš”οΈ PCT vs TROX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TROX vs. PCT, BAK, LXFR, ASIX)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) ranks #218 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #165 by equity capitalization ($574.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with TROX at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TROX ACTIVE
Tronox Holdings plc (UK)
E 34/100 β€” 9.3% -16.4% -3.89% $574.9M Benchmark Subject
PCT
PureCycle Technologies Inc.
E 18/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.27% $675.0M /pct-vs-trox β†’
BAK
Braskem SA ADR
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” +0.86% $462.4M /bak-vs-trox β†’
LXFR
Luxfer Holdings PLC
C 63/100 60.0x 23.2% 8.2% -0.06% $461.1M /lxfr-vs-trox β†’
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
D 51/100 8.2x β€” 6.0% +1.11% $414.7M /asix-vs-trox β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001530804 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (-5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.07B , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$470.0M, operating cash flow of $60.0M, and free cash flow of $60.0M (-80.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TROX closed FY2025 with $6.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.67, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.90B -$470.0M $60.0M $60.0M $6.22B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.07B -$48.0M $300.0M $300.0M $6.04B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.85B -$316.0M $184.0M $184.0M β€” β€”

3. TROX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TROX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (NYSE: TROX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $3.46 (-3.89% 1D, market cap $574.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TROX ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TROX compare to PCT and BAK in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), TROX carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -16.4%. By comparison, PCT (PureCycle Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $675.0M) and BAK (Braskem SA ADR) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $462.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TROX?

Per TROX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001530804), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) generated $2.90B in revenue (-5.7% YoY), -$470.0M in net income, and $60.0M in free cash flow against $6.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TROX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TROX last traded at $3.46 (-3.89% on volume of 1,747,184 shares), positioning the stock -16.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.13) and -47.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.64). Across its 52-week range of $2.86 to $10.59, TROX sits at the 7.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.8% ($3.05 to $3.87).

Direct Sub-Reports: TROX RQD Cockpit TROX 12M Forecast TROX Earnings & Move TROX Dividends & DRIP TROX Insiders & 13F TROX Whale Options TROX Profit Sankey TROX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 34/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TROX β€” Tronox Holdings plc (UK): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.46 (-3.89% 1D, market capitalization $574.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -16.4%, gross margin of 9.3%, operating margin of -8.7%, and free cash flow yield of 10.18%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.67, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Tronox Holdings plc (UK) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating in the Major Chemicals industry. The source data reports gross margin of 9.3%, operating margin of -8.7%, and net margin of -16.2%. β€” describes the specific products, customers, or revenue mix. The profile identifies the company's sector, industry, and exchange only.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) reported $2.90B in annual revenue (up from $3.07B in FY2024, -5.7% YoY) and -$470.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.85B revenue, -$316.0M net income) through FY2025, TROX scaled operating cash flow to $60.0M and free cash flow to $60.0M, backed by $6.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 10.18% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.86 – $10.59 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -8.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the Materials / Major Chemicals classification.

  • Key Question #1: Can TROX sustain or expand its -8.7% operating margin and -16.4% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.90B and free cash flow of $60.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TROX's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TROX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tronox Holdings plc (UK) (TROX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TROX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TROX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.46?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TROX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TROX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.72 (+31.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 10.18% FCF yield and an 8.15% dividend yield suggest the equity is priced to generate meaningful cash returns relative to its $3.69 p

Don't sleep on TROX's setup in Materials. A 10.18% FCF yield and an 8.15% dividend yield suggest the equity is priced to generate meaningful cash returns relative to its $3.69 price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (34/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” TROX's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.06 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $3.60

The Altman Z-Score of 0.67, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and ROIC of -16.4% together point to a weak balance sheet and negative capital re

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on TROX: The Altman Z-Score of 0.67, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and ROIC of -16.4% together point to a weak balance sheet and negative capital returns.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Major Chemicals triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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