trivago N.V. (TRVG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.59 -6.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.54

trivago N.V. (TRVG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $269.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRVG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, trivago N.V. (NASDAQ: TRVG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $3.59 (-6.02% 1D, market cap $269.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRVG compare to GLOO and SMRT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TRVG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GLOO (Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $272.8M) and SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRVG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RBBN leads on capital efficiency (-0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRVG?
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For trivago N.V. (TRVG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #418 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.54 (-1.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.3% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE TRVG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRVG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRVG SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$4.24-7.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$3.93-2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$3.84-6.5% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$3.59-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRVG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRVG currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.02) and Max Pain ($3.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRVG• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRVG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
36.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE24% OF RANGE
L: $3$3.59H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TRVG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TRVG
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRVG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRVG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRVG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $3.85H $3.85L $3.59C $3.59VOL 49.2K
RES: $7.45SUP: $3.56SMA50: $5.02SMA200: $4.06
$7.08$5.91$4.74$3.58$2.41RES $7.45SUP $3.56$3.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRVG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRVG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRVG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRVG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRVG)

Technology Rank #418 of 714 ⚔️ GLOO vs TRVG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TRVG vs. GLOO, SMRT, KDK, RBBN)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, trivago N.V. (TRVG) ranks #418 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #455 by equity capitalization ($269.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRVG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RBBN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.4% ROIC and 49.8% gross margin. TRVG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRVG ACTIVE
trivago N.V.
D 46/100 — — — -6.02% $269.8M Benchmark Subject
GLOO
Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -1.68% $272.8M /gloo-vs-trvg →
SMRT
SmartRent Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — 32.7% -35.0% -1.46% $262.5M /smrt-vs-trvg →
KDK
Kodiak AI Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -4.69% $256.8M /kdk-vs-trvg →
RBBN
Ribbon Communications Inc.
D 44/100 — 49.8% -0.4% -4.91% $292.1M /rbbn-vs-trvg →

2. TRVG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

trivago N.V. (TRVG) operates in EDP Services (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $269.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TRVG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRVG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, trivago N.V. (NASDAQ: TRVG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $3.59 (-6.02% 1D, market cap $269.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does TRVG compare to GLOO and SMRT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TRVG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GLOO (Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $272.8M) and SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRVG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RBBN leads on capital efficiency (-0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRVG?

For trivago N.V. (TRVG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #418 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRVG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRVG last traded at $3.59 (-6.02% on volume of 90,465 shares), positioning the stock -28.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.02) and -11.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.06). Across its 52-week range of $2.59 to $6.80, TRVG sits at the 23.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($3.21 to $3.97).

TRVG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TRVG stock right now?

trivago N.V. (TRVG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TRVG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TRVG's 12-month base price target is $3.4 (range $2.65 to $7.14), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TRVG — trivago N.V.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:16:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TRVG scores 46 out of 100, a D grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). Per the Roarable RQD rating, the cash-generation pillar is weak on the figures reported in the source data.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the lowest pillar score, indicating weak institutional support in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Per the Roarable RQD rating, insider and congressional activity is a modest negative.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). Per the Roarable RQD rating, the pillar reflects a neutral-to-weak macro alignment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is comparatively the most defensible element of the rating.

For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the upside case rests mainly on balance-sheet durability rather than on cash generation or institutional demand. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess directly, because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. The stock's 52-week range of $2.59 to $6.8 against a price of 3.82 places it in the lower-middle portion of that range, but the source data does not establish whether that reflects value or deterioration.

Business

Sector: Technology. Industry: EDP Services. Exchange: NASDAQ. Per the profile, trivago N.V. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in EDP Services with a market capitalization of $0.3B. Not available in source data: product lines, customer base, and revenue model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Per the news feed, trivago will post Q3 results on November 3, with management's online broadcast set for November 4. This is the nearest scheduled catalyst in the source data.
  • Per the news feed, a Quiver Quantitative item and a GlobeNewswire item both reference the Q3 2026 earnings release.
  • Per the news feed, the remaining items (Yahoo Finance UK, TradingView, TradingKey) are generic market-wire summaries without company-specific substance.
  • Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND signal is BEARISH with severity 80 and a Macro Tailwind Score of 30/100. The graph reports a rolling 5-year regression beta of 1.88x to True Net Liquidity, with a correlation of +0.17, and a True Net Liquidity Index of $5,745.73B with a -0.64% 4-week rate of change.

Risk watch: the Macro Tailwind Score and the RQD Macro Regime pillar both point to a headwind from liquidity conditions. The weak correlation (r = +0.17) means the regression beta should be treated with caution.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE and butterfly_links is empty. Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore not available in source data. The only sector-level linkage in the source is the liquidity signal above: because TRVG's measured beta to True Net Liquidity is 1.88x, a tightening in net liquidity would be expected to produce an amplified move relative to the broad market, according to the graph's regression. Sector correlations beyond this are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, FCF, cash, and debt figures across recent periods? (Financials section is NONE.)
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, and how dispersed are those estimates? (Analyst data is NONE.)
  • Which institutional holders and insiders have transacted in TRVG, and in what direction? (Holders data is NONE.)
  • What are the upstream and downstream dependencies for trivago's business model? (Butterfly links are empty.)
  • What did the Q3 2026 results on November 3 report, and how did they compare with expectations? (Only the scheduling announcement is in the source.)

TRVG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for trivago N.V. (TRVG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRVG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRVG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.59?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRVG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRVG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.13 (+8.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRVG (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $3.82?

Welcome to the TRVG (trivago N.V.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.17 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $3.82

Pump the brakes on TRVG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRVG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless trivago N.V. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.78 (+25.1%)
Spot @ $3.82

TRVG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRVG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.82 (52-wk range $2.59 - $6.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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