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Stock Ratings / Materials / TRX / options
IDR (55) VOXR (46) URG (26) VGZ (39) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.94 -8.03% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.92

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $307.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TRX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, TRX Gold Corporation (NYSE: TRX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $0.94 (-8.03% 1D, market cap $307.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TRX ranks #155 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRX compare to IDR and VOXR in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TRX carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $310.0M) and VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $318.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRX?
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For TRX Gold Corporation (TRX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #155 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.92 (-1.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.3% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRX SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($8.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$1.05+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$1.06-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$1.03-8.7% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$0.94-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRX currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.14) and Max Pain ($0.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±11.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TRX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TRX.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.32%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.02H $1.02L $0.94C $0.94VOL 2.12M
RES: $1.56SUP: $0.90SMA50: $1.14SMA200: $1.22
$1.56$1.32$1.08$0.84$0.61RES $1.56SUP $0.90$0.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRX Butterfly Map → + Track TRX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRX)

Materials Rank #155 of 270 ⚔️ IDR vs TRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TRX vs. IDR, VOXR, URG, VGZ)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) ranks #155 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #199 by equity capitalization ($307.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with TRX at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRX ACTIVE
TRX Gold Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -8.03% $307.2M Benchmark Subject
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.
D+ 55/100 19.6x 61.8% 11.4% -5.22% $310.0M /idr-vs-trx →
VOXR
Vox Royalty Corp.
D 46/100 — — — -5.57% $318.3M /voxr-vs-trx →
URG
Ur Energy Inc (Canada)
E 26/100 — 0.3% -35.0% -4.97% $338.9M /urg-vs-trx →
VGZ
Vista Gold Corp
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -3.49% $363.5M /vgz-vs-trx →

2. TRX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $307.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TRX Gold Corporation (NYSE: TRX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $0.94 (-8.03% 1D, market cap $307.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TRX ranks #155 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRX compare to IDR and VOXR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TRX carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $310.0M) and VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $318.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRX?

For TRX Gold Corporation (TRX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #155 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRX last traded at $0.94 (-8.03% on volume of 2,120,494 shares), positioning the stock -17.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.14) and -22.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.22). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $2.80, TRX sits at the 17.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($1.00 to $1.05).

TRX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TRX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TRX.

Direct Sub-Reports: TRX RQD Cockpit TRX 12M Forecast TRX Earnings & Move TRX Dividends & DRIP TRX Insiders & 13F TRX Whale Options TRX Profit Sankey TRX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TRX — TRX Gold Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:16:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TRX scores 47 out of 100, a D grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the ones tied to cash generation and institutional demand. A 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, per the market data, mean the rating provides no evidence of current cash returns to offset the stock's price risk. The whale and insider pillars are also low, indicating limited evidence of smart-money conviction in the data provided. The balance sheet pillar is the most supportive, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9, though these are not offsets to the missing earnings or cash-flow evidence. The verdict is a distribution warning rather than a valuation call; it signals that the available evidence skews toward underperformance and selling pressure, and the rating itself is not a recommendation.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Red Cloud Fall Mining Showcase 2026 presentation (RISK WATCH, RED): per the news feed, TRX Gold is set to present at Red Cloud's Fall Mining Showcase 2026.
  • Buckreef continuation (CATALYST, GREEN): a Seeking Alpha headline frames Buckreef as an engine and growth path.
  • Buckreef expansion targets (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a TradingView headline references a major Buckreef expansion, bigger EBITDA, and new discoveries.
  • Tron Inc. $200 million stock sale (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a BigGo Finance headline reports a $200 million stock sale to expand a TRX treasury. The source does not establish a relationship between this item and TRX Gold Corporation beyond the headline text.
  • 5,500 TPD Buckreef expansion and updated PEA by year-end (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): a TradingView headline references a 5,500 TPD expansion and an updated PEA by year-end.
  • Price decline (RISK WATCH, RED): a headline reports the shares fell 7.62% to $0.97 and pulled back toward key support. The market data reports a -2.86% change to $1.02.

Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Sector is Materials, industry is Precious Metals. Supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals in the source data. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the sources provided. The one identifiable sector linkage is the Precious Metals industry classification itself, which the sources do not connect to specific commodity price exposure. A prospective investor should watch the Buckreef development milestones referenced in headlines, since the source data does not quantify how those milestones feed into cash flow.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow figures for TRX Gold Corporation across recent periods?
  • What is the current earnings and cash-flow profile that would explain the 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and does the Buckreef project have a defined production or economic timeline?
  • What are the Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score component drivers behind the 2.5 and 6/9 readings?
  • What is the relationship, if any, between TRX Gold Corporation and the Tron Inc. $200 million stock sale referenced in the news feed?
  • Who holds the stock, what are the 13F and insider transaction details, and what is the analyst consensus, given all three sections are unavailable in the source data?

TRX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.94?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.10 (+7.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRX (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $1.02?

Welcome to the TRX (TRX Gold Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.84 (-17.6%)
Spot @ $1.02

Pump the brakes on TRX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless TRX Gold Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.29 (+26.5%)
Spot @ $1.02

TRX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.02 (52-wk range $0.54 - $2.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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