UBS expects AI investment to support global equity returns in 2027 despite concerns over overinvestment, financing and cannibalization, but says greater selectivity is needed.
Why UBS Stock slipped -0.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is UBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, UBS Group AG Registered (NYSE: UBS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $47.69 (-0.91% 1D, market cap $149.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UBS ranks #475 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does UBS compare to COF and MFG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), UBS carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, COF (Capital One Financial Corporation) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 52.2x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $128.06B) and MFG (Mizuho Financial Group Inc. Sponosred ADR (Japan)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $124.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, C leads on earnings multiple (14.7x) while UBS leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UBS?
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For UBS Group AG Registered (UBS), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #475 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 15.8% FCF Margin ($3.30B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.1) create a -11 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UBS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, UBS faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($50.01) or 200D SMA ($47.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($47.69) toward Bear Floor ($37.20).
Why UBS Stock slipped -0.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) slipped -0.91% to $47.69, trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($36.29 – $55.99). Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($36.29 – $55.99) with RSI-14 at 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.5% around $47.69 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $3.3B annual free cash flow.
HARTFORD, Conn., November 02, 2026--UBS today announced that Brannon Ozark has joined the firm as a Financial Advisor in the Hartford, CT office. He joins the UBS Greater New York Metro Market and reports to Market Direc
UBS Group reports 16.7% underlying ROCET1 in Q3'26 and expects to exceed its 2026 profitability target, supported by revenue growth and cost savings.
Trial results for its weight loss drugs could justify a higher valuation for the clinical-stage biotech.
Investing.com -- Shares of Swiss consumer lender Cembra Money Bank AG (SIX:CMBN) fell over 8% on Monday after UBS cut its rating to “sell” from “neutral,” saying the bank has limited scope to keep return on equity above
UBS Group has delivered a powerful multi year share price run, which naturally raises the question of whether the current market value is properly grounded in the returns the bank earns on its capital. With investors wat
Investing.com -- European bond yields are expected to decline next year, and the euro could recover against the U.S. dollar, as ECB President Christine Lagarde’s early departure is unlikely to alter the central bank’s mo
Key TakeawaysUBS kept its Buy rating on Pinterest after a third-quarter revenue miss and only trimmed its target to $32 from $33, 61% above the stock’s price. The math behind $32 works, but the stock likely needs revenue
Investing.com -- UBS expects the pound to rise to $1.38 against the dollar by December, saying large bets against sterling leave room for it to climb.
Alphabet Inc's (NASDAQ:GOOG) price target was cut to $332 from $380 by UBS, which retained its 'neutral' rating amid weaker advertising growth and concerns over cloud margins. The Google parent’s shares fell 13% on Thurs
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UBS)
- ✓Walkthrough of UBS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
UBS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UBS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UBS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UBS)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (UBS vs. COF, MFG, BNS, C)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) ranks #475 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #19 by equity capitalization ($149.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, C leads on earnings valuation at 14.7x trailing P/E, while UBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. COF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with UBS at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS
ACTIVE
UBS Group AG Registered | D+ | 58/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -0.91% | $149.37B | Benchmark Subject |
| COF Capital One Financial Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 52.2x | — | 0.9% | -1.86% | $128.06B | /cof-vs-ubs → |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc. Sponosred ADR (Japan) | C- | 60/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -3.30% | $124.37B | /mfg-vs-ubs → |
| BNS Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3 | C+ | 66/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -1.73% | $117.05B | /bns-vs-ubs → |
| C Citigroup Inc. | D- | 39/100 | 14.7x | — | 1.5% | -2.48% | $210.95B | /c-vs-ubs → |
2. UBS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTUBS Group AG Registered (UBS) operates in Major Banks (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $149.37B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.
3. UBS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs UBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, UBS Group AG Registered (NYSE: UBS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $47.69 (-0.91% 1D, market cap $149.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UBS ranks #475 in composite RQD confidence.
How does UBS compare to COF and MFG in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), UBS carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, COF (Capital One Financial Corporation) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 52.2x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $128.06B) and MFG (Mizuho Financial Group Inc. Sponosred ADR (Japan)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $124.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, C leads on earnings multiple (14.7x) while UBS leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UBS?
For UBS Group AG Registered (UBS), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #475 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is UBS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
UBS last traded at $47.69 (-0.91% on volume of 2,675,612 shares), positioning the stock -4.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($50.01) and +1.30% above its 200-day simple moving average ($47.08). Across its 52-week range of $36.29 to $55.99, UBS sits at the 57.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.5% ($46.02 to $49.36).
UBS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is UBS stock moving today?
Why UBS Stock slipped -0.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
UBS — UBS Group AG Registered: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, UBS scores 58 out of 100, equivalent to a D+ grade with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 12 of 20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%), suggesting modest returns on invested capital and a thin free-cash-flow yield relative to the $149.37B market capitalization. Whale 13F Flow scores 10 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the source does not quantify further. Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, without detail on direction or size in the source. Macro Regime Fit scores 9 of 20 with a Beta of 0.94 and a sector sensitivity reading, indicating the stock tracks broader market movement closely with limited defensive offset. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 15 of 20, the strongest pillar, with Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on balance-sheet resilience and the modest ROIC, while the valuation tradeoff is significant: a trailing P/E of 32.8 and forward P/E of 30.5 are high relative to the 9.9% ROIC and 2.21% FCF yield, and the 0% dividend yield provides no income cushion. Second-order implications are that any multiple compression would not be offset by cash yield, and the low macro-regime score limits the stock's ability to outperform in a risk-off environment.
Snapshot
Business
UBS Group AG Registered is classified per the profile section as operating in the Financials sector and the Major Banks industry, listed on the NYSE. Not available in source data for specific products, customer segments, or revenue model. The source identifies the company only at the sector and industry level.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the beta of 0.94, or second-order bottlenecks.
Open Questions
- What drives the gap between the 32.8 trailing P/E and the 9.9% ROIC, and what earnings trajectory supports the forward P/E of 30.5?
- Why is gross margin reported as 0%, and how should the 13.9% operating margin be interpreted without the underlying income statement?
- What is the direction and magnitude of the insider Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flows scored in the Insider Conviction pillar?
- What institutional accumulation or options positioning underlies the 10 of 20 Whale 13F Flow score?
- What revenue, customer, and product mix generates the reported margins and cash flow?
UBS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
UBS expects AI investment to support global equity returns in 2027 despite concerns over overinvestment, financing and cannibalization, but says greater selectivity is needed.
HARTFORD, Conn., November 02, 2026--UBS today announced that Brannon Ozark has joined the firm as a Financial Advisor in the Hartford, CT office. He joins the UBS Greater New York Metro Market and reports to Market Direc
UBS Group reports 16.7% underlying ROCET1 in Q3'26 and expects to exceed its 2026 profitability target, supported by revenue growth and cost savings.
Trial results for its weight loss drugs could justify a higher valuation for the clinical-stage biotech.
Investing.com -- Shares of Swiss consumer lender Cembra Money Bank AG (SIX:CMBN) fell over 8% on Monday after UBS cut its rating to “sell” from “neutral,” saying the bank has limited scope to keep return on equity above
UBS Group has delivered a powerful multi year share price run, which naturally raises the question of whether the current market value is properly grounded in the returns the bank earns on its capital. With investors wat
Investing.com -- European bond yields are expected to decline next year, and the euro could recover against the U.S. dollar, as ECB President Christine Lagarde’s early departure is unlikely to alter the central bank’s mo
Key TakeawaysUBS kept its Buy rating on Pinterest after a third-quarter revenue miss and only trimmed its target to $32 from $33, 61% above the stock’s price. The math behind $32 works, but the stock likely needs revenue
UBS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.69?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is UBS (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $48.13?
Welcome to the UBS (UBS Group AG Registered) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on UBS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UBS, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless UBS Group AG Registered expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
UBS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UBS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $48.13 (52-wk range $36.29 - $55.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.