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United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$16.39 -1.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.31

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $41.99B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, United Microelectronics Corporation (NYSE: UMC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $16.39 (-1.74% 1D, market cap $41.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, UMC ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UMC compare to MCHP and STM in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), UMC carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporated) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $42.00B) and STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $41.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UMC?
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For United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.31 (-0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 28.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$30 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE UMC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UMC SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$21.40-7.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$19.82-5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$18.82-12.9% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$16.39+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UMC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, UMC faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.55) or 200D SMA ($17.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.61) toward Bear Floor ($12.96).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UMC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UMC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (UMC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for UMC.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating UMC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on UMC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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UMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.27%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $18.04H $18.04L $16.39C $16.39VOL 24.25M
RES: $25.51SUP: $16.17SMA50: $21.55SMA200: $17.17
$30.39$24.45$18.52$12.58$6.64RES $25.51SUP $16.17$16.392026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 UMC Butterfly Map → + Track UMC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UMC)

Technology Rank #190 of 714 ⚔️ MCHP vs UMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (UMC vs. MCHP, STM, ALAB, MPWR)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) ranks #190 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #69 by equity capitalization ($41.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UMC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while UMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ALAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with UMC at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UMC ACTIVE
United Microelectronics Corporation
C- 61/100 21.7x — 14.9% -1.74% $41.99B Benchmark Subject
MCHP
Microchip Technology Incorporated
C 62/100 — 57.7% 3.3% -1.59% $42.00B /mchp-vs-umc →
STM
STMicroelectronics N.V.
D+ 53/100 — 33.9% 0.8% +0.92% $41.72B /stm-vs-umc →
ALAB
Astera Labs Inc.
C 64/100 — 75.7% 3.4% -11.22% $44.88B /alab-vs-umc →
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems Inc.
C- 61/100 94.8x 55.2% 12.2% +2.67% $59.54B /mpwr-vs-umc →

2. UMC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) operates in Semiconductors (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $41.99B, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 20.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. UMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, United Microelectronics Corporation (NYSE: UMC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $16.39 (-1.74% 1D, market cap $41.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, UMC ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UMC compare to MCHP and STM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), UMC carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporated) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $42.00B) and STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $41.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UMC?

For United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UMC last traded at $16.39 (-1.74% on volume of 10,928,891 shares), positioning the stock -23.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.55) and -4.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.17). Across its 52-week range of $6.97 to $28.96, UMC sits at the 42.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($15.11 to $17.67).

Direct Sub-Reports: UMC RQD Cockpit UMC 12M Forecast UMC Earnings & Move UMC Dividends & DRIP UMC Insiders & 13F UMC Whale Options UMC Profit Sankey UMC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

UMC — United Microelectronics Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $16.39 (-1.74% 1D, market capitalization $41.99B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.33x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.87, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is classified in the Technology sector and the Semiconductors industry, with a market capitalization of $45.4B. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 21.1% and a net margin of 16.4%. — The specific products, customer base, and revenue model are not described in the source data.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.97 – $28.96 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 21.7x trailing P/E and 14.9x EV/EBITDA against 21.1% operating margins and a 1.33x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependency mapping, sector correlation figures, or 2nd-order bottleneck identification.

  • Key Question #1: Can UMC sustain or expand its 21.1% operating margin and 14.9% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (3.99% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.87) toward the $28.96 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is UMC's 20.2x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.33x)?

UMC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UMC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UMC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.39?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UMC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UMC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.02 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong balance sheet (Altman Z 3.87, Piotroski F 7/9) and insider cluster flow support the rating.

Long UMC at $16.68 targeting $20.02. Strong balance sheet (Altman Z 3.87, Piotroski F 7/9) and insider cluster flow support the rating.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $6.97 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 21.7x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.01 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $16.68

Weak institutional 13F flow (8/20) and beta of 1.33 amplify downside exposure.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short UMC above $16.68. Weak institutional 13F flow (8/20) and beta of 1.33 amplify downside exposure.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (3.99%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $28.96.

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