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Stock Ratings / Health Care / URGN / news
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Why URGN Stock surged +5.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$34.36 +5.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.60

UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.60B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is URGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, UroGen Pharma Ltd. (NASDAQ: URGN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $34.36 (+5.01% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, URGN ranks #935 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does URGN compare to CMPS and NBTX in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), URGN carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 88.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CMPS (COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.60B) and NBTX (Nanobiotix S.A.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, URGN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MLYS leads on capital efficiency (-28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for URGN?
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Per URGN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001668243), UroGen Pharma Ltd. generated $109.8M in revenue (+21.4% YoY), -$153.5M in net income, and -$162.7M in free cash flow against $200.5M in total assets and $122.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.60 (+0.71%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (7)SEC (5)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
$53 Bull$29 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE URGN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for URGN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY URGN SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 52% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$38.26-8.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$35.01-3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$33.91+1.3% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$34.36-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a URGN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While URGN currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($39.90) and Max Pain ($36.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $53.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $URGN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “URGN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why URGN Stock surged +5.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) surged +5.01% to $34.36, trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($16.5 – $50.81). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($16.5 – $50.81) with RSI-14 at 29.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.7% around $34.36 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 88.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live URGN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 1d ago
UroGen Pharma: An Emerging GARP Stock

Seeking Alpha report covering UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring URGN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of URGN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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URGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +47.53%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $33.48H $34.36L $32.72C $34.36VOL 1.17M
RES: $61.75SUP: $32.25SMA50: $39.90SMA200: $31.45
$52.94$44.13$35.32$26.51$17.71RES $61.75SUP $32.25$34.362026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

URGN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 URGN Butterfly Map → + Track URGN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on URGN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for URGN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for URGN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (URGN)

Health Care Rank #935 of 1015 ⚔️ CMPS vs URGN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (URGN vs. CMPS, NBTX, MLYS, RARE)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) ranks #935 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #291 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, URGN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MLYS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NBTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with URGN at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
URGN ACTIVE
UroGen Pharma Ltd.
E 24/100 — 88.7% -35.0% +5.01% $1.60B Benchmark Subject
CMPS
COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% -27.31% $1.60B /cmps-vs-urgn →
NBTX
Nanobiotix S.A.
D 49/100 — — — -10.39% $1.59B /nbtx-vs-urgn →
MLYS
Mineralys Therapeutics Inc.
E 33/100 — — -28.4% -14.47% $1.61B /mlys-vs-urgn →
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.
E 23/100 — — -35.0% +1.24% $1.59B /rare-vs-urgn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001668243 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) reported GAAP revenue of $109.8M (+21.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $90.4M , and +32.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.5M, operating cash flow of -$162.4M, and free cash flow of -$162.7M (-67.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, URGN closed FY2025 with $200.5M in total assets against $122.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $109.8M -$153.5M -$162.4M -$162.7M $200.5M $122.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $90.4M -$126.9M -$96.8M -$97.1M $285.7M $121.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $82.7M -$102.2M -$76.4M -$76.4M — —

3. URGN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is URGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, UroGen Pharma Ltd. (NASDAQ: URGN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $34.36 (+5.01% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, URGN ranks #935 in composite RQD confidence.

How does URGN compare to CMPS and NBTX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), URGN carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 88.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CMPS (COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.60B) and NBTX (Nanobiotix S.A.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, URGN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MLYS leads on capital efficiency (-28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for URGN?

Per URGN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001668243), UroGen Pharma Ltd. generated $109.8M in revenue (+21.4% YoY), -$153.5M in net income, and -$162.7M in free cash flow against $200.5M in total assets and $122.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is URGN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

URGN last traded at $34.36 (+5.01% on volume of 2,039,058 shares), positioning the stock -13.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($39.90) and +9.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($31.45). Across its 52-week range of $16.50 to $50.81, URGN sits at the 52.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.7% ($30.68 to $38.04).

Direct Sub-Reports: URGN RQD Cockpit URGN 12M Forecast URGN Earnings & Move URGN Dividends & DRIP URGN Insiders & 13F URGN Whale Options URGN Profit Sankey URGN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

URGN — UroGen Pharma Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $34.36 (+5.01% 1D, market capitalization $1.60B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 88.7%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -9.94%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Per the Roarable profile, UroGen Pharma Ltd. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. The profile identifies the company by its market capitalization of $1.6B. The reported gross margin of 88.7% per the market data section indicates a high-margin revenue base, but the source does not state how that revenue is generated.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) reported $109.8M in annual revenue (up from $90.4M in FY2024, +21.4% YoY) and -$153.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($82.7M revenue, -$102.2M net income) through FY2025, URGN scaled operating cash flow to -$162.4M and free cash flow to -$162.7M, backed by $200.5M in total assets against $122.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -9.94% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.50 – $50.81 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context available is the classification of Health Care and the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, with a beta of 1.0 per the market data. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the graph cannot identify ripple effects from partners, suppliers, or competitors.

  • Key Question #1: Can URGN sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $109.8M and free cash flow of -$162.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $122.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is URGN's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

URGN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to URGN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

URGN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $34.36?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON URGN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on URGN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $40.25 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Gross margin of 88.7% and revenue growth from $82.7M to $109.8M show a high-margin product base scaling over FY 2023–FY 2025.

The street is overcomplicating UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN). Gross margin of 88.7% and revenue growth from $82.7M to $109.8M show a high-margin product base scaling over FY 2023–FY 2025.. With an RQD score of 24/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $35.34.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. If gross margin (88.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.50 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $32.72

Negative ROIC of -35%, FCF of -$162.7M in FY 2025, and an Altman Z of 0.2 indicate the business is burning cash in distressed-range fin

Careful chasing URGN at $32.72. Negative ROIC of -35%, FCF of -$162.7M in FY 2025, and an Altman Z of 0.2 indicate the business is burning cash in distressed-range financial condition.. Gross margin is 88.7%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $26.50 on multiple compression.

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