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Stock Ratings / Materials / USGO / options
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U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$5.71 +9.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.80

U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $73.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on USGO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is USGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (NASDAQ: USGO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $5.71 (+9.39% 1D, market cap $73.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USGO ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does USGO compare to SRL and FURY in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), USGO carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $61.5M) and FURY (Fury Gold Mines Limited) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $87.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USGO?
▼

Per USGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001947244), U.S. GoldMining Inc. generated $19.9M in revenue (-20.0% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and -$5.8M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.80 (+1.50%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.1% Base Target
$19 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE USGO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USGO SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$6.07-8.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$5.55-8.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$5.07+12.6% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$5.71-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USGO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While USGO currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.91) and Max Pain ($6.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (USGO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for USGO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USGO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of USGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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USGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.97%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $5.59H $5.71L $5.22C $5.71VOL 103.1K
RES: $7.75SUP: $4.08SMA50: $6.91SMA200: $9.84
$14.62$11.84$9.05$6.27$3.49RES $7.75SUP $4.08$5.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 USGO Butterfly Map → + Track USGO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -20.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USGO)

Materials Rank #242 of 270 ⚔️ SRL vs USGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (USGO vs. SRL, FURY, XPL, NAMM)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) ranks #242 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #236 by equity capitalization ($73.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USGO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. FURY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with USGO at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
USGO ACTIVE
U.S. GoldMining Inc.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% +9.39% $73.3M Benchmark Subject
SRL
Scully Royalty Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — +1.46% $61.5M /srl-vs-usgo →
FURY
Fury Gold Mines Limited
D+ 54/100 — — — +5.97% $87.9M /fury-vs-usgo →
XPL
Solitario Resources Corp.
D- 39/100 — — -15.5% +2.11% $45.0M /xpl-vs-usgo →
NAMM
Namib Minerals
D 46/100 — — — -2.59% $43.1M /namm-vs-usgo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001947244 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) reported GAAP revenue of $19.9M (-20.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $24.9M , and -27.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.0M, operating cash flow of -$5.8M, and free cash flow of -$5.8M (+26.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, USGO closed FY2025 with $8.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $19.9M -$7.0M -$5.8M -$5.8M $8.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $24.9M -$8.5M -$7.8M -$7.9M $5.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-11-30 $27.4M -$9.4M -$9.4M -$9.4M — —

3. USGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (NASDAQ: USGO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $5.71 (+9.39% 1D, market cap $73.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USGO ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USGO compare to SRL and FURY in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), USGO carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $61.5M) and FURY (Fury Gold Mines Limited) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $87.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USGO?

Per USGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001947244), U.S. GoldMining Inc. generated $19.9M in revenue (-20.0% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and -$5.8M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USGO last traded at $5.71 (+9.39% on volume of 157,738 shares), positioning the stock -17.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.91) and -41.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.84). Across its 52-week range of $4.35 to $17.98, USGO sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.00 to $6.42).

Direct Sub-Reports: USGO RQD Cockpit USGO 12M Forecast USGO Earnings & Move USGO Dividends & DRIP USGO Insiders & 13F USGO Whale Options USGO Profit Sankey USGO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

USGO — U.S. GoldMining Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.71 (+9.39% 1D, market capitalization $73.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -7.44%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Precious Metals industry (Materials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $73.3M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35% (free cash flow yield of -7.44%). Within the Precious Metals peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) reported $19.9M in annual revenue (up from $24.9M in FY2024, -20.0% YoY) and -$7.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($27.4M revenue, -$9.4M net income) through FY2025, USGO scaled operating cash flow to -$5.8M and free cash flow to -$5.8M, backed by $8.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -7.44% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.35 – $17.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for USGO.

  • Key Question #1: Can USGO sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $19.9M and free cash flow of -$5.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is USGO's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

USGO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to USGO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Price Performance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

USGO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON USGO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on USGO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.06 (+16.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

USGO (E • RQD 29/100) operating leverage in Precious Metals is mispriced at $5.22

Picked up a starter position in USGO in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $5.22. USGO (E • RQD 29/100) operating leverage in Precious Metals is mispriced at $5.22. Trading inside a $4.35–$17.98 52-week range with -7.44% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Precious Metals multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 29/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $5.22 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.85.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.33 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $5.22

The Q3 2026 interim results show a $14.1M net loss, and the RQD rating carries a Strong Sell grade with negative free cash flow.

Careful chasing USGO at $5.22. The Q3 2026 interim results show a $14.1M net loss, and the RQD rating carries a Strong Sell grade with negative free cash flow.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $4.33 on multiple compression.

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