Why USO ETF advanced +0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$168.83 +0.96% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $169.53

United States Oil Fund LP (USO) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 85/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE A- • STRONG BUY Cap $1.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is USO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE: USO) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 85/100 at a spot price of $168.83 (+0.96% 1D, market cap $1.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, USO ranks #1 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does USO compare to BITO and TAN in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (WTI Crude Oil Futures), USO carries a Roarable A- (85/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, BITO (ProShares Bitcoin ETF) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.40B) and TAN (Invesco Solar ETF) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, USO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USO leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USO?
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For United States Oil Fund LP (USO), key quantitative strengths include Diversified WTI Crude Oil Futures basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Broad market drawdowns affect index vehicles in lockstep with constituent weights.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $169.52 (+0.41%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 85/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 6% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+9.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 72.9% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSTRONG BUY • A-
025507510085
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk A
Fund (20)Whales (11)Struct (18)Macro (17)Flow (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+12.1% Base Target
$223 Bull$189 Base$138 Bear
📬 FREE USO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (85/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USO SCORES 85/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (24% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($1.80B AUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$153.09+4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
80
Grade A-$160.61+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
82
Grade A$163.88+3% Next Q
Current
85
Grade A-$168.83+9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → A- (85)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the USO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 85/100 (A-) score, USO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Broad market drawdowns affect index vehicles in lockstep with constituent weights.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($151.50) or 200D SMA ($124.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($189.34) toward Bear Floor ($138.44).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why USO ETF advanced +0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

United States Oil Fund LP (USO) advanced +0.96% to $168.83, trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($65.99 – $171.82). ETF / Index Composite (WTI Crude Oil Futures) tracking macro liquidity and institutional flow.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($65.99 – $171.82) with RSI-14 at 67 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.3% around $168.83 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fund Rating Anchor: Roarable A- (Buy) with 85/100 RQD composite score.
Live USO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
5 Top-Performing ETF Areas of Last Week

TradingView report covering United States Oil Fund LP (USO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (USO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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USO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $167.2H $168.8L $167.2C $168.8VOL 5.02M
RES: $172.1SUP: $154.7SMA50: $151.5SMA200: $125.0
$177.9$152.6$127.2$101.8$76.39RES $172.1SUP $154.7$168.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 One Event, Five Markets: 10Y Real Yields vs. SPY, TLT, GLD, USO & IBIT (soren-halewick)
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USO)

ETF / Index Rank #1 of 40 ⚔️ BITO vs USO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (USO vs. BITO, TAN, SQQQ, URA)

Industry: WTI Crude Oil Futures (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United States Oil Fund LP (USO) ranks #1 by composite RQD confidence (85/100, grade A-) and #39 by equity capitalization ($1.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while USO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. USO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 85/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
USO ACTIVE
United States Oil Fund LP
A- 85/100 — — — +0.96% $1.80B Benchmark Subject
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
D 47/100 — — — -1.02% $2.40B /bito-vs-uso →
TAN
Invesco Solar ETF
E 25/100 — — — +0.49% $1.20B /tan-vs-uso →
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (3x Bear)
D+ 56/100 — — — +4.10% $3.10B /sqqq-vs-uso →
URA
Global X Uranium ETF
E 26/100 — — — -2.32% $3.90B /ura-vs-uso →

2. USO ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because United States Oil Fund LP (USO) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates USO on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $168.83, USO trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $151.50 and 200-day SMA of $124.95 on daily liquidity of 5,018,240 shares.

50D SMA Level
$151.50
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$124.95
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
97.0%
$65.99 – $171.82
RSI-14 Momentum
67.0
BULLISH MOMENTUM
Volume Liquidity
5,018,240
AUM Cap $1.80B

3. USO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE: USO) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 85/100 at a spot price of $168.83 (+0.96% 1D, market cap $1.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, USO ranks #1 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USO compare to BITO and TAN in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (WTI Crude Oil Futures), USO carries a Roarable A- (85/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, BITO (ProShares Bitcoin ETF) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.40B) and TAN (Invesco Solar ETF) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, USO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USO leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USO?

For United States Oil Fund LP (USO), key quantitative strengths include Diversified WTI Crude Oil Futures basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Broad market drawdowns affect index vehicles in lockstep with constituent weights.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USO last traded at $168.83 (+0.96% on volume of 5,018,240 shares), positioning the stock +11.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($151.50) and +35.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($124.95). Across its 52-week range of $65.99 to $171.82, USO sits at the 97.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($159.88 to $177.78).

USO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is USO stock moving today?

Why USO ETF advanced +0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. ETF / Index Composite (WTI Crude Oil Futures) tracking macro liquidity and institutional flow.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 85/100 (A-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

USO — United States Oil Fund LP: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:13:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, USO carries an RQD Score of 85 and a letter grade of A-, labeled "Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward (ETF Composite Methodology)." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 20 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). This is the maximum pillar score, but the underlying metrics listed for it are both 0%, so this pillar does not reflect a conventional cash-generation profile. As an ETF, USO's return profile is driven by the price behavior of WTI Crude Oil Futures rather than by corporate earnings.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the lowest pillar score, indicating a middling read on institutional positioning relative to the other pillars.
  • Insider Conviction: 19 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). A high score on this pillar, though no underlying insider transactions are itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 17 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad market moves per the market data section, and the sector sensitivity described in this pillar points to exposure tied to energy-sector conditions.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Per the Roarable RQD rating, these forensic readings sit in a moderate-to-solid range. Note that the source data does not provide the underlying financial statements from which these were derived.

For a prospective investor evaluating the security today, the composite score points to a favorable risk/reward read under the Roarable methodology. The key analytical caveat is that several headline pillar inputs (ROIC, FCF yield, margins) are reported as 0%, which for a commodity-futures fund reflects the structure of the vehicle rather than operating performance. Valuation tradeoffs are therefore best framed around the fund's exposure to WTI price moves and its 52-week trading range of $65.99 – $171.82 per the market data, which shows substantial price dispersion over the trailing year.

Business

Per the profile, United States Oil Fund LP (USO) is a liquid institutional exchange-traded fund listed on the NYSE, classified under the ETF / Index sector and the WTI Crude Oil Futures industry. The profile describes the fund as tracking WTI Crude Oil Futures with approximately $1.8B in assets under management. The source data does not describe the fund's specific investor base, fee structure, or operational mechanics beyond this.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are associated with USO:

  • Several items (Yahoo! Finance Canada, TradingView, Investing.com Nigeria, Investing.com South Africa, TradingView on a $180 Million September net income report) are flagged as YELLOW / MARKET WIRE, indicating general market-wire coverage without a designated catalyst classification.
  • The Benzinga item titled with a reference to Jim Cramer's comments on oil surge and higher rates is flagged GREEN / CATALYST, the only item in the feed carrying that classification. It references oil-price strength and rate sensitivity as factors affecting broader sector positioning.
  • A recurring headline references a September monthly account statement released by the fund.
  • The TradingView item reports a $180 Million September net income figure for the fund.

Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the sector is ETF / Index and the industry is WTI Crude Oil Futures. The supply-chain field is listed as NONE, no butterfly links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are recorded.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain designation is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. The source data therefore does not map upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector dependencies for USO. Within the materials provided, the one sector-level linkage noted is the Benzinga item describing oil-price strength and higher rates as factors in broader market positioning, which suggests a potential second-order interplay between crude-oil moves and rate-sensitive equity sectors. That relationship is referenced only at the headline level and is not quantified in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the underlying reported financial statements (revenue, operating income, net income, cash, debt) that support the Altman Z, Piotroski F, and Debt/Equity readings cited in the RQD rating?
  • What are the itemized SEC Form 4, 13F, and Congressional PTR transactions behind the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillar scores?
  • What is the fund's expense structure and how does it affect the relationship between WTI futures price moves and USO's net asset value?
  • Which specific Form 4 or 13F filings, and what dates, underlie the "cluster flow" described in the Roarable RQD rating?
  • What is the basis for the 85 composite score given that the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar's stated inputs (ROIC 0%, FCF yield 0%) are both zero?

USO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for United States Oil Fund LP (USO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to USO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

USO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $168.83?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON USO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on USO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $199.22 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is USO (A- • RQD 85/100) a Buy at $168.83?

Welcome to the USO (United States Oil Fund LP) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 85/100 (Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward (ETF Composite Methodology)) in WTI Crude Oil Futures. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $138.44 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $168.83

Pump the brakes on USO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on USO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless United States Oil Fund LP expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $204.28 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $168.83

USO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on USO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in WTI Crude Oil Futures and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $168.83 (52-wk range $65.99 - $171.82), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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