Yahoo Finance report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why VELO Stock dropped -7.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Velo3D Inc. (VELO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is VELO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Velo3D Inc. (NASDAQ: VELO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $6.56 (-7.21% 1D, market cap $227.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does VELO compare to ASYS and SHMD in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), VELO carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -16.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ASYS (Amtech Systems Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $239.5M) and SHMD (SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $186.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VELO?
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Per VELO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825079), Velo3D Inc. generated $46.0M in revenue (+12.1% YoY), -$71.4M in net income, and -$30.0M in free cash flow against $105.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VELO Turnaround Squeeze
While VELO currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.67) and Max Pain ($6.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.34.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why VELO Stock dropped -7.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Velo3D Inc. (VELO) dropped -7.21% to $6.56, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($3.75 – $31.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($3.75 – $31.75) with RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.56 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: VELO Exhibits 6.00x True Net Liquidity Elasticity as Fed-TGA-RRP Prints $5,746B
Investing.com report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VELO)
- ✓Walkthrough of VELO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
VELO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VELO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VELO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VELO)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (VELO vs. ASYS, SHMD, MPTI, ESP)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Velo3D Inc. (VELO) ranks #657 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #468 by equity capitalization ($227.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with VELO at 26/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VELO
ACTIVE
Velo3D Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | -16.1% | -35.0% | -7.21% | $227.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| ASYS Amtech Systems Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 34.0% | -35.0% | -6.80% | $239.5M | /asys-vs-velo → |
| SHMD SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -8.42% | $186.5M | /shmd-vs-velo → |
| MPTI M-tron Industries Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 35.5x | — | 19.2% | -4.10% | $300.0M | /mpti-vs-velo → |
| ESP Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | 20.7x | 28.9% | 18.1% | -4.16% | $168.7M | /esp-vs-velo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001825079In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Velo3D Inc. (VELO) reported GAAP revenue of $46.0M (+12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.0M , and -40.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$71.4M, operating cash flow of -$27.3M, and free cash flow of -$30.0M (+8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, VELO closed FY2025 with $105.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $46.0M | -$71.4M | -$27.3M | -$30.0M | $105.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $41.0M | -$69.7M | -$32.7M | -$32.7M | $89.2M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $77.4M | -$135.1M | -$105.6M | -$105.6M | — | — |
3. VELO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VELO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Velo3D Inc. (NASDAQ: VELO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $6.56 (-7.21% 1D, market cap $227.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
How does VELO compare to ASYS and SHMD in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), VELO carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -16.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ASYS (Amtech Systems Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $239.5M) and SHMD (SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $186.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VELO?
Per VELO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825079), Velo3D Inc. generated $46.0M in revenue (+12.1% YoY), -$71.4M in net income, and -$30.0M in free cash flow against $105.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VELO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VELO last traded at $6.56 (-7.21% on volume of 1,372,385 shares), positioning the stock -32.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.67) and -50.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.37). Across its 52-week range of $3.75 to $31.75, VELO sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.74 to $7.38).
VELO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is VELO stock moving today?
Why VELO Stock dropped -7.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
VELO — Velo3D Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, VELO scores 26 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -13.22%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits at or below 8 of 20, so no single strength offsets weakness elsewhere. For a prospective investor, the practical implication is that the rating frames the stock as one where negative cash generation and weak forensic signals dominate the risk picture. Price action or macro tailwinds may move the stock, but the rating indicates the underlying fundamentals and insider/institutional signals do not currently support the position. Upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in cash generation, which the source data does not show.
Business
Velo3D Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the company profile. Source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.2B. Reported FY 2025 revenue was $46.0M per the SEC financials.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $46.0M | $-54.9M | $-71.4M | N/A | $-30.0M | $39.0M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $41.0M | $-78.8M | $-69.7M | N/A | $-32.7M | $1.2M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $77.4M | $-133.3M | $-135.1M | N/A | $-105.6M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, all three reported periods show operating and net losses, and FCF was negative in each. Market data reports a gross margin of -16.1%, operating margin of -60%, and net margin of -60%. ROIC is -35% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The source data does not provide a debt figure in the SEC financials, so balance sheet debt levels cannot be confirmed beyond the reported debt-to-equity ratio.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the most recent headline reports that Velo3D stock fell as CFO James Suva departed the company, flagged RED with a RISK WATCH label. Other wire items report the stock plunging, describe the company as a possible defense buyout target, reference its link to the AI build-out alongside other NASDAQ names, and provide estimates coverage. Those items are flagged YELLOW as MARKET WIRE. The source summaries are generic and do not describe the substance of the reported events beyond headlines.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, a LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND proprietary signal is BULLISH with severity 94 and a Macro Tailwind Score of 96/100. The signal cites a 6.00x True Net Liquidity beta with r = -0.27, a True Net Liquidity Index of $5,745.73B, and a -0.64% 4-week rate of change. This macro signal is a top-decile liquidity sensitivity reading, which is distinct from the company's fundamental profile.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE and no butterfly links are provided. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations therefore cannot be mapped from source data. The only cross-asset linkage available is the liquidity sensitivity signal, which ties VELO's price behavior to Fed balance sheet and Treasury liquidity conditions. A prospective investor should watch whether the liquidity-driven tailwind persists given the company's negative cash flows, since liquidity-sensitive equities can reverse sharply when macro conditions shift. The source data does not identify a specific second-order bottleneck.
Open Questions
- What products and customers drive the $46.0M of FY 2025 revenue, and what is the path to positive operating income?
- What is the nature of the CFO departure reported in the RED-flagged headline, and does it affect financial reporting or continuity?
- What is the total debt figure, and what is the company's liquidity runway given the $39.0M cash balance against a $-30.0M FCF in FY 2025?
- What are the EPS and forward earnings expectations, since the source data provides no EPS, P/E, or EV/EBITDA figures?
- What drives the 6.00x liquidity beta, and is the signal's r = -0.27 correlation strong enough to be a reliable predictor?
VELO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Velo3D Inc. (VELO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Velo3D Inc. (VELO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
VELO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.56?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VELO (E • RQD 26/100) a Buy at $7.07?
Welcome to the VELO (Velo3D Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 26/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on VELO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VELO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -16.1% gross margins. Unless Velo3D Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
VELO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VELO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.07 (52-wk range $3.75 - $31.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.