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ASIX (51) ADUR (45) SLI (44) NL (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Valhi Inc. (VHI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$14.80 +4.89% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.90

Valhi Inc. (VHI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $399.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Valhi Inc. (NYSE: VHI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $14.80 (+4.89% 1D, market cap $399.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VHI ranks #245 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VHI compare to ASIX and ADUR in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), VHI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.2%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $414.7M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $363.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while VHI leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VHI?
β–Ό

Per VHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059255), Valhi Inc. generated $2.08B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), -$57.6M in net income, and -$82.1M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.90 (+0.69%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510028
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$20 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE VHI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VHI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY VHI SCORES 28/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 14.2% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
20
Grade E$14.36+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$14.37-0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$14.31+3.4% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$14.80-10% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (20) β†’ E (28)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VHI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While VHI currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.93) and Max Pain ($15.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.15.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VHIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œVHI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

VHI Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (VHI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on VHI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VHI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of VHI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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VHI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.35%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $13.99H $14.80L $13.99C $14.80VOL 7.7K
RES: $21.71SUP: $13.84SMA50: $15.93SMA200: $14.73
$19.69$17.61$15.52$13.44$11.35RES $21.71SUP $13.84$14.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VHI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ VHI Butterfly Map β†’ + Track VHI β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VHI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VHI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VHI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VHI)

Materials Rank #245 of 270 βš”οΈ ASIX vs VHI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (VHI vs. ASIX, ADUR, SLI, NL)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Valhi Inc. (VHI) ranks #245 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #184 by equity capitalization ($399.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while VHI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and 14.2% gross margin. ASIX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with VHI at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VHI ACTIVE
Valhi Inc.
E 28/100 β€” 14.2% 6.2% +4.89% $399.6M Benchmark Subject
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
D 51/100 8.2x β€” 6.0% +1.11% $414.7M /asix-vs-vhi β†’
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -6.00% $363.5M /adur-vs-vhi β†’
SLI
Standard Lithium Ltd.
D 44/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.78% $355.5M /sli-vs-vhi β†’
NL
NLI Holdings Inc.
D 46/100 β€” 30.4% 3.4% -2.53% $347.7M /nl-vs-vhi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000059255 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Valhi Inc. (VHI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.08B (-1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +8.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.6M, operating cash flow of -$35.5M, and free cash flow of -$82.1M (-726.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, VHI closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.08B -$57.6M -$35.5M -$82.1M $2.63B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.10B $108.0M $44.0M $13.1M $2.80B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.92B -$9.9M $3.9M $3.9M β€” β€”

3. VHI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Valhi Inc. (NYSE: VHI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $14.80 (+4.89% 1D, market cap $399.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VHI ranks #245 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VHI compare to ASIX and ADUR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), VHI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.2%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $414.7M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $363.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while VHI leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VHI?

Per VHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059255), Valhi Inc. generated $2.08B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), -$57.6M in net income, and -$82.1M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VHI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VHI last traded at $14.80 (+4.89% on volume of 16,986 shares), positioning the stock -7.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.93) and +0.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.73). Across its 52-week range of $11.44 to $19.19, VHI sits at the 43.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.2% ($13.73 to $15.87).

Direct Sub-Reports: VHI RQD Cockpit VHI 12M Forecast VHI Earnings & Move VHI Dividends & DRIP VHI Insiders & 13F VHI Whale Options VHI Profit Sankey VHI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 28/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VHI β€” Valhi Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Valhi Inc. (VHI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $14.80 (+4.89% 1D, market capitalization $399.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2%, gross margin of 14.2%, operating margin of 3.0%, and free cash flow yield of -20.72%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Valhi Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry. The gross margin of 14.2% and operating margin of 3% per the market data indicate a thin-margin operating profile. The market capitalization is $0.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Valhi Inc. (VHI) reported $2.08B in annual revenue (up from $2.10B in FY2024, -1.3% YoY) and -$57.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.92B revenue, -$9.9M net income) through FY2025, VHI scaled operating cash flow to -$35.5M and free cash flow to -$82.1M, backed by $2.63B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -20.72% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.44 – $19.19 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 3.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Major Chemicals (Materials), VHI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 14.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can VHI sustain or expand its 3.0% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.08B and free cash flow of -$82.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VHI's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

VHI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Valhi Inc. (VHI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to VHI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VHI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $14.80?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VHI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VHI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.92 (+27.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $13.99 with a 2.3% dividend yield and a 52-week range of $11.44 to $19.19, leaving room for recovery if the company

The stock trades at $13.99 with a 2.3% dividend yield and a 52-week range of $11.44 to $19.19, leaving room for recovery if the company returns to profitability.. When you look under the hood at VHI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 14.2% gross margins and 6.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $19.19. My 12M target is $17.92.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 28/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $14.11 and keeping dry powder in case we test $13.12.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.72 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $14.11

The RQD rating of 28 / E, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and an FCF yield of -20.72% signal weak cash generation and elevated forensic ris

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on VHI: The RQD rating of 28 / E, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and an FCF yield of -20.72% signal weak cash generation and elevated forensic risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Major Chemicals triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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