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VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$25.00 +2.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.05

VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $26.93B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VICI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE: VICI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $25.00 (+2.21% 1D, market cap $26.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, VICI ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VICI compare to EXR and IRM in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), VICI carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, EXR (Extra Space Storage Inc) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 32.5x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $31.97B) and IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Delaware)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $34.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VICI leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while SBAC leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VICI?
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Per VICI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001705696), VICI Properties Inc. generated $4.01B in revenue (+4.1% YoY), $2.78B in net income, and $2.33B in free cash flow against $46.72B in total assets and $8.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.05 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 58.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (11)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$32 Bull$26 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE VICI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VICI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VICI SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$22.94+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$23.15+1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$23.52+6.3% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$25.00+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VICI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, VICI faces multiple-compression risk if 9.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 96.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($24.03) or 200D SMA ($26.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.90) toward Bear Floor ($20.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VICI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VICI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How VICI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$2.33B (58.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.01BGross Profit $3.98B (99.3%)Cost of Sales $26.7MOp Profit $3.28B (81.8%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $704.3MNet Profit$2.78B (69.3%)Tax/Other $499.6M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $3.61B
FY24
Rev $3.85B
FY25
Rev $4.01B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.01B99.3%81.8%$2.78B$2.33B7.3%
FY 2024$3.85B99.3%82.1%$2.68B$2.21B7.3%
FY 2023$3.61B92%82.1%$2.51B$2.02B26.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VICI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VICI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VICI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $24.52H $25.00L $24.46C $25.00VOL 11.86M
RES: $25.56SUP: $21.19SMA50: $24.03SMA200: $26.90
$30.58$28.37$26.16$23.95$21.73RES $25.56SUP $21.19$25.002026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VICI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-1.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VICI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VICI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VICI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VICI)

Financials Rank #192 of 1097 ⚔️ EXR vs VICI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (VICI vs. EXR, IRM, SBAC, CCI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #102 by equity capitalization ($26.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VICI leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while SBAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and — gross margin. SBAC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with VICI at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VICI ACTIVE
VICI Properties Inc.
C+ 66/100 9.7x — 7.6% +2.21% $26.93B Benchmark Subject
EXR
Extra Space Storage Inc
B- 70/100 32.5x — 5.7% +3.08% $31.97B /exr-vs-vici →
IRM
Iron Mountain Incorporated (Delaware)
D 44/100 38.8x — 6.1% -1.17% $34.70B /irm-vs-vici →
SBAC
SBA Communications Corporation
B 72/100 18.6x — 18.1% -1.22% $19.85B /sbac-vs-vici →
CCI
Crown Castle Inc.
B- 70/100 85.1x — 11.9% -1.87% $37.73B /cci-vs-vici →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001705696 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) reported GAAP revenue of $4.01B (+4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.85B , and +10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.78B, operating cash flow of $2.51B, and free cash flow of $2.33B (+5.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, VICI closed FY2025 with $46.72B in total assets against $8.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.01B $2.78B $2.51B $2.33B $46.72B $8.33B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.85B $2.68B $2.38B $2.21B $45.37B $8.29B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.61B $2.51B $2.18B $2.02B $14.85B $3.47B

3. VICI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VICI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE: VICI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $25.00 (+2.21% 1D, market cap $26.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, VICI ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VICI compare to EXR and IRM in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), VICI carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, EXR (Extra Space Storage Inc) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 32.5x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $31.97B) and IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Delaware)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $34.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VICI leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while SBAC leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VICI?

Per VICI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001705696), VICI Properties Inc. generated $4.01B in revenue (+4.1% YoY), $2.78B in net income, and $2.33B in free cash flow against $46.72B in total assets and $8.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VICI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VICI last traded at $25.00 (+2.21% on volume of 12,092,832 shares), positioning the stock +4.04% above its 50-day simple moving average ($24.03) and -7.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.90). Across its 52-week range of $22.42 to $30.83, VICI sits at the 30.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($23.95 to $26.05).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VICI — VICI Properties Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $25.00 (+2.21% 1D, market capitalization $26.93B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 75.0%, and free cash flow yield of 8.63%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.05x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

VICI Properties Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, . The profile does not describe its tenants, property types, or revenue model. The company reports revenue of $4.01B for FY 2025 and operating margin of 75% per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) reported $4.01B in annual revenue (up from $3.85B in FY2024, +4.1% YoY) and $2.78B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.61B revenue, $2.51B net income) through FY2025, VICI scaled operating cash flow to $2.51B and free cash flow to $2.33B, backed by $46.72B in total assets against $8.33B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $22.42 – $30.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 9.7x trailing P/E and 9.7x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.05x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are — Sector correlation data is — Second-order bottlenecks are — For a prospective investor, the practical implication is that ripple effects cannot be mapped from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can VICI sustain or expand its 75.0% operating margin and 7.6% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.01B and free cash flow of $2.33B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $8.33B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VICI's 9.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.05x)?

VICI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VICI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VICI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VICI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VICI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.13 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider Conviction (17/20) and Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20) are the strongest pillars, with FCF yield of 8.63% and FY 2025 FCF of $23

Insider Conviction (17/20) and Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20) are the strongest pillars, with FCF yield of 8.63% and FY 2025 FCF of $2.33B.. When you look under the hood at VICI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 7.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $30.83. My 12M target is $28.13.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — VICI's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.81 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $24.46

Macro Regime Fit (10/20) and Whale 13F Flow (11/20) are weak, and total debt rose from $3.47B in FY 2023 to $8.33B in FY 2025.

Careful chasing VICI at $24.46. Macro Regime Fit (10/20) and Whale 13F Flow (11/20) are weak, and total debt rose from $3.47B in FY 2023 to $8.33B in FY 2025.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 75.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $19.81 on multiple compression.

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