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Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$13.33 +3.49% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.39

Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.19B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VIPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (NYSE: VIPS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $13.33 (+3.49% 1D, market cap $6.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VIPS ranks #297 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VIPS compare to NSIT and CHWY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), VIPS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of 35.7%. By comparison, NSIT (Insight Enterprises Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $5.07B) and CHWY (Chewy Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 30.0%, cap $8.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIPS?
β–Ό

Per VIPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529192), Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two generated $15.15B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $1.04B in net income, and $782.0M in free cash flow against $11.27B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23.1% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.39 (+0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) β€’ 5.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (16)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$22 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE VIPS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VIPS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY VIPS SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.2% FCF Margin ($782.0M FCF) & 23.1% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$12.88+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$12.96-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$12.70+5% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$13.33+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (53) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VIPS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, VIPS faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.76) or 200D SMA ($14.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.51) toward Bear Floor ($10.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VIPSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œVIPS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (VIPS)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for VIPS.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating VIPS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on VIPS
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VIPS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.59%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $12.74H $13.33L $12.74C $13.33VOL 2.34M
RES: $16.34SUP: $11.62SMA50: $12.76SMA200: $14.57
$17.83$16.26$14.68$13.11$11.53RES $16.34SUP $11.62$13.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VIPS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VIPS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VIPS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VIPS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VIPS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #297 of 1009 βš”οΈ NSIT vs VIPS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VIPS vs. NSIT, CHWY, PTRN, W)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) ranks #297 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #233 by equity capitalization ($6.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VIPS leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while VIPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.7% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. CHWY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with VIPS at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VIPS ACTIVE
Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two
C- 61/100 5.9x 23.1% 35.7% +3.49% $6.19B Benchmark Subject
NSIT
Insight Enterprises Inc.
C- 60/100 33.3x 21.4% 6.0% -3.46% $5.07B /nsit-vs-vips β†’
CHWY
Chewy Inc.
C 62/100 37.6x 29.8% 30.0% +4.60% $8.56B /chwy-vs-vips β†’
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)
D+ 55/100 β€” 43.6% 6.9% +0.18% $2.94B /ptrn-vs-vips β†’
W
Wayfair Inc.
C- 60/100 β€” 30.2% 1.0% -2.39% $15.88B /w-vs-vips β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001529192 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) reported GAAP revenue of $15.15B (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.85B ) , GAAP net income of $1.04B, operating cash flow of $1.07B, and free cash flow of $782.0M (-10.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, VIPS closed FY2025 with $11.27B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.43, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.15B $1.04B $1.07B $782.0M $11.27B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $14.85B $0 $1.25B $877.6M $10.27B β€”

3. VIPS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VIPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (NYSE: VIPS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $13.33 (+3.49% 1D, market cap $6.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VIPS ranks #297 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VIPS compare to NSIT and CHWY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), VIPS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of 35.7%. By comparison, NSIT (Insight Enterprises Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $5.07B) and CHWY (Chewy Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 30.0%, cap $8.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIPS?

Per VIPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529192), Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two generated $15.15B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $1.04B in net income, and $782.0M in free cash flow against $11.27B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23.1% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VIPS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VIPS last traded at $13.33 (+3.49% on volume of 2,927,608 shares), positioning the stock +4.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.76) and -8.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.57). Across its 52-week range of $12.02 to $20.49, VIPS sits at the 15.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.0% ($12.66 to $14.00).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 61/100 (C-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VIPS β€” Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $13.33 (+3.49% 1D, market capitalization $6.19B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 35.7%, gross margin of 23.1%, operating margin of 7.7%, and free cash flow yield of 12.78%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.43, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) operates in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity capitalization of $6.19B, gross margin of 23.1%, operating margin of 7.7%, and return on invested capital (ROIC) of 35.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) reported $15.15B in annual revenue (up from $14.85B in FY2024, +2.0% YoY) and $1.04B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($14.85B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, VIPS scaled operating cash flow to $1.07B and free cash flow to $782.0M, backed by $11.27B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C- β€’ RQD 61/100): Strong cash generator (23.1% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.02 – $20.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 5.9x trailing P/E against 7.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Catalog/Specialty Distribution (Consumer Discretionary), VIPS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 23.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can VIPS sustain or expand its 7.7% operating margin and 35.7% ROIC against Catalog/Specialty Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $15.15B and free cash flow of $782.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VIPS's 5.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

VIPS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to VIPS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟒 CATALYST Yahoo Finance β€’ 70d ago
Vipshop Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Vipshop (NYSE:VIPS) reported lower second-quarter revenue and operating profit as management cited a challenging retail environment in which consumers remained highly selective and focused on value. The company said it i

Read Full Source β†—
🟒 CATALYST Yahoo Finance β€’ 151d ago
UBS Upgrades Vipshop Holdings (VIPS) to Buy

Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) is one of the 10 Best Asian Stocks with Huge Upside Potential. On May 23, 2026, UBS upgraded Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $18.50, do

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VIPS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $13.33?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VIPS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VIPS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.36 (+27.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

ROIC of 35.7% and an FCF yield of 12.78% indicate strong cash generation relative to the stock price.

ROIC of 35.7% and an FCF yield of 12.78% indicate strong cash generation relative to the stock price.. When you look under the hood at VIPS, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 23.1% gross margins and 35.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $20.49. My 12M target is $16.36.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $12.88 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.18 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $12.88

FY 2025 operating income and FCF both declined from FY 2024 even as revenue increased.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on VIPS: FY 2025 operating income and FCF both declined from FY 2024 even as revenue increased.. At 5.9x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Catalog/Specialty Distribution triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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