Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$6.20 -0.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.18

Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $98.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VIRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Virco Manufacturing Corporation (NASDAQ: VIRC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $6.20 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $98.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VIRC ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VIRC compare to WBX and YDDL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), VIRC carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.2x, gross margin of 40.7%, and ROIC of 3.0%. By comparison, WBX (Wallbox N.V. (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $66.9M) and YDDL (One and One Green Technologies. Inc (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 5.2x, ROIC 22.9%, cap $61.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YDDL leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while YDDL leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIRC?
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Per VIRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000751365), Virco Manufacturing Corporation generated $199.7M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), $2.6M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $174.2M in total assets and $3.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.18 (-0.28%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (6)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$8 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE VIRC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VIRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VIRC SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 1.8% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$6.50-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$6.40-3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$6.20+0% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$6.20-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VIRC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VIRC currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.32) and Max Pain ($6.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VIRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VIRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE45% OF RANGE
L: $5$6.20H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on VIRC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

3.0% ROIC with 40.7% gross margin and -6.82% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (40)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VIRC
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VIRC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VIRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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VIRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $6.28H $6.28L $6.20C $6.20VOL 6.1K
RES: $7.04SUP: $6.12SMA50: $6.32SMA200: $6.19
$7.11$6.66$6.20$5.75$5.30RES $7.04SUP $6.12$6.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VIRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VIRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VIRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VIRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VIRC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #706 of 1011 ⚔️ WBX vs VIRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VIRC vs. WBX, YDDL, HDSN, ASLE)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) ranks #706 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #760 by equity capitalization ($98.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YDDL leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while YDDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. WBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with VIRC at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VIRC ACTIVE
Virco Manufacturing Corporation
D- 43/100 38.2x 40.7% 3.0% -0.48% $98.2M Benchmark Subject
WBX
Wallbox N.V. (Class A)
D 49/100 — — — -1.79% $66.9M /wbx-vs-virc →
YDDL
One and One Green Technologies. Inc (Class A)
D 46/100 5.2x 23.9% 22.9% -13.16% $61.6M /yddl-vs-virc →
HDSN
Hudson Technologies Inc.
E 31/100 11.2x 25.2% 7.2% -2.49% $186.0M /hdsn-vs-virc →
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
E 28/100 26.1x 31.5% 2.3% +2.99% $223.8M /asle-vs-virc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000751365

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) reported GAAP revenue of $199.7M (-25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $266.2M , and -25.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.6M, operating cash flow of -$841.0K, and free cash flow of -$6.7M (-125.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, VIRC closed FY2025 with $174.2M in total assets against $3.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $199.7M $2.6M -$841.0K -$6.7M $174.2M $3.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $266.2M $21.6M $33.1M $26.8M $191.9M $3.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $269.1M $21.9M $27.0M $27.0M — —

3. VIRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VIRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Virco Manufacturing Corporation (NASDAQ: VIRC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $6.20 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $98.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VIRC ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VIRC compare to WBX and YDDL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), VIRC carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.2x, gross margin of 40.7%, and ROIC of 3.0%. By comparison, WBX (Wallbox N.V. (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $66.9M) and YDDL (One and One Green Technologies. Inc (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 5.2x, ROIC 22.9%, cap $61.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YDDL leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while YDDL leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIRC?

Per VIRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000751365), Virco Manufacturing Corporation generated $199.7M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), $2.6M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $174.2M in total assets and $3.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VIRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VIRC last traded at $6.20 (-0.48% on volume of 11,022 shares), positioning the stock -1.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.32) and +0.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.19). Across its 52-week range of $5.16 to $7.46, VIRC sits at the 45.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($5.95 to $6.45).

VIRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell VIRC stock right now?

Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 43/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 38x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is VIRC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VIRC's 12-month base price target is $5.78 (range $4.51 to $7.83), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

VIRC — Virco Manufacturing Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, VIRC scores 43 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6 / 20): The rating cites ROIC of 3% and an FCF yield of -6.82%. Weak returns on capital and negative free cash flow yield are the largest drags on this pillar, meaning the business is currently not generating cash in proportion to the capital tied up in it.
  • Whale 13F Flow (7 / 20): The pillar description references institutional accumulation and options positioning. No holder-level data is provided in the source, so the score cannot be traced to specific filers.
  • Insider Conviction (7 / 20): The pillar references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No insider transaction detail is provided in the source.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This indicates the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, with no defensive offset.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.03. This is the strongest pillar, reflecting low leverage, though the F-Score sits below midpoint.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a weak operating engine and negative free cash flow, partly offset by low leverage. Potential upside drivers are limited in the source data: the balance sheet is lightly indebted and the dividend yield is 1.6%. Valuation tradeoffs are notable: a trailing P/E of 38.2 and forward P/E of 35.5 sit against net margin of 1.3% and ROIC of 3%, a combination the rating interprets as expensive relative to current returns. Institutional and insider pillars score poorly, suggesting limited external conviction behind the shares.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$6.23$98.2M38.235.510.10.161.6%1.0$5.16 - $7.463%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$199.7M$3.7M$2.6MN/A$-6.7M$14.4M$3.6M
FY 2024$266.2M$27.9M$21.6MN/A$26.8MN/A$3.9M
FY 2023$269.1M$31.9M$21.9MN/A$27.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $269.1M (FY 2023) to $266.2M (FY 2024) to $199.7M (FY 2025), while operating income fell from $31.9M to $3.7M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 40.7%, operating margin 1.8%, and net margin 1.3%, with ROIC at 3%. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9. Debt/Equity is 0.03 per the Roarable RQD rating, and FY 2025 debt of $3.6M is set against cash of $14.4M per the SEC financials.

Open Questions

  • What products and end markets generate VIRC's revenue, and what drove the decline from $266.2M to $199.7M in FY 2025?
  • What explains the gap between FY 2024 net income of $21.6M and the current 1.3% net margin, and is operating income expected to recover?
  • What is the basis for the free cash flow decline from $26.8M (FY 2024) to $-6.7M (FY 2025)?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders behind the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • Why are FY 2024 and FY 2023 cash and FY 2023 debt not reported, and what are the EPS figures for each period?

VIRC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VIRC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 45d ago
Virco Manufacturing Corp's Dividend Analysis

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Virco Manufacturing Corp (NASDAQ:VIRC) recently announced a total dividend of $0.03 per share, with the ex-dividend date set for Sept. 18, 2026. This payout includes a $0.03 per

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VIRC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.20?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VIRC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VIRC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.48 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VIRC (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $6.23?

Welcome to the VIRC (Virco Manufacturing Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (38.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.86 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $6.23

Pump the brakes on VIRC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VIRC, but look at what you are paying: 38.2x trailing P/E with 40.7% gross margins. Unless Virco Manufacturing Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.16 (+14.9%)
Spot @ $6.23

VIRC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VIRC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.23 (52-wk range $5.16 - $7.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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