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Stock Ratings / Technology / VLN / news
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Why VLN Stock slipped -1.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.48 -1.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47

Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $155.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE: VLN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $1.48 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $155.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, VLN ranks #693 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VLN compare to QUIK and GSIT in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), VLN carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.4%, and ROIC of -34.9%. By comparison, QUIK (QuickLogic Corporation) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $152.6M) and GSIT (GSI Technology) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VLN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VLN?
▼

Per VLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001863006), Valens Semiconductor Ltd. generated $70.6M in revenue (+22.1% YoY), -$31.6M in net income, and -$13.8M in free cash flow against $134.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47 (-0.55%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510021
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.9% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE VLN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VLN SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.48 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 62.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$1.63-2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$1.59+6.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$1.69-12.4% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$1.48-11.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VLN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VLN currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.71) and Max Pain ($1.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VLN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VLN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 21%NO 79%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why VLN Stock slipped -1.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) slipped -1.99% to $1.48, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($1.1 – $3.71). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($1.1 – $3.71) with RSI-14 at 37.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12% around $1.48 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 62.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live VLN Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VLN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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VLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $1.51H $1.51L $1.48C $1.48VOL 386.4K
RES: $1.88SUP: $1.45SMA50: $1.71SMA200: $1.84
$3.87$3.20$2.54$1.87$1.20RES $1.88SUP $1.45$1.482026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-182026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VLN Butterfly Map → + Track VLN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VLN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VLN)

Technology Rank #693 of 715 ⚔️ QUIK vs VLN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (VLN vs. QUIK, GSIT, ALMU, ICG)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) ranks #693 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #492 by equity capitalization ($155.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VLN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ICG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.0% ROIC and 7.2% gross margin. ICG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with VLN at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VLN ACTIVE
Valens Semiconductor Ltd.
E 21/100 — 62.4% -34.9% -1.99% $155.8M Benchmark Subject
QUIK
QuickLogic Corporation
E 24/100 — 22.0% -35.0% -4.80% $152.6M /quik-vs-vln →
GSIT
GSI Technology
E 27/100 — 54.5% -35.0% -3.16% $147.4M /gsit-vs-vln →
ALMU
Aeluma Inc.
E 30/100 — 59.6% -21.8% -0.26% $145.2M /almu-vs-vln →
ICG
Intchains Group Limited
D- 37/100 — 7.2% -11.0% +10.32% $167.9M /icg-vs-vln →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001863006 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) reported GAAP revenue of $70.6M (+22.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $57.9M , and -16.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$31.6M, operating cash flow of -$12.7M, and free cash flow of -$13.8M (-1525.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, VLN closed FY2025 with $134.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.48, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $70.6M -$31.6M -$12.7M -$13.8M $134.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $57.9M -$36.6M $1.0M -$848.0K $172.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $84.2M -$19.7M -$6.4M -$6.4M — —

3. VLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE: VLN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $1.48 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $155.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, VLN ranks #693 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VLN compare to QUIK and GSIT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), VLN carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.4%, and ROIC of -34.9%. By comparison, QUIK (QuickLogic Corporation) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $152.6M) and GSIT (GSI Technology) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VLN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VLN?

Per VLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001863006), Valens Semiconductor Ltd. generated $70.6M in revenue (+22.1% YoY), -$31.6M in net income, and -$13.8M in free cash flow against $134.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VLN last traded at $1.48 (-1.99% on volume of 386,426 shares), positioning the stock -13.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.71) and -19.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.84). Across its 52-week range of $1.10 to $3.71, VLN sits at the 14.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($1.30 to $1.66).

Direct Sub-Reports: VLN RQD Cockpit VLN 12M Forecast VLN Earnings & Move VLN Dividends & DRIP VLN Insiders & 13F VLN Whale Options VLN Profit Sankey VLN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VLN — Valens Semiconductor Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 21/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.48 (-1.99% 1D, market capitalization $155.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -34.9%, gross margin of 62.4%, operating margin of -48.2%, and free cash flow yield of -7.98%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.48, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. Specific product lines, customers, and revenue-generation mechanics are — The source data reports gross margin of 62.4% alongside FY 2025 revenue of $70.6M .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) reported $70.6M in annual revenue (up from $57.9M in FY2024, +22.1% YoY) and -$31.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($84.2M revenue, -$19.7M net income) through FY2025, VLN scaled operating cash flow to -$12.7M and free cash flow to -$13.8M, backed by $134.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 21/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -7.98% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.10 – $3.71 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -48.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Technology/Semiconductors classification are — Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can VLN sustain or expand its -48.2% operating margin and -34.9% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $70.6M and free cash flow of -$13.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VLN's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

VLN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VLN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VLN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.48?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VLN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VLN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.87 (+23.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported FY 2025 revenue rebounded to $70.6M from $57.9M in FY 2024, and gross margin is 62.4%.

Here is why I am bullish on VLN here at $1.51: Reported FY 2025 revenue rebounded to $70.6M from $57.9M in FY 2024, and gross margin is 62.4%.. Compare VLN's -48.2% operating margin and -34.9% ROIC against the rest of Semiconductors. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.43 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.51 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.13 (-25.2%)
Spot @ $1.51

Operating margin is -48.2%, ROIC is -34.9%, and FCF yield is -7.98% against an RQD score of 27 (E).

I respect the product at Valens Semiconductor Ltd., but the stock at $1.51 is a different story. Operating margin is -48.2%, ROIC is -34.9%, and FCF yield is -7.98% against an RQD score of 27 (E).. FCF yield is -7.98% and RQD sits at 21/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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