Yahoo Finance report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why VMI Stock dropped -2.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is VMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Valmont Industries Inc. (NYSE: VMI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $422.10 (-2.46% 1D, market cap $8.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, VMI ranks #122 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does VMI compare to TKR and NPO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), VMI carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.6x, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of 14.7%. By comparison, TKR (Timken Company) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $7.96B) and NPO (Enpro Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 148.7x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $6.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VMI leads on earnings multiple (23.6x) while WTS leads on capital efficiency (19.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VMI?
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Per VMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000102729), Valmont Industries Inc. generated $4.10B in revenue (+0.7% YoY), $350.3M in net income, and $311.4M in free cash flow against $3.37B in total assets and $795.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 6.17 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VMI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, VMI faces multiple-compression risk if 23.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($463.02) or 200D SMA ($477.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($427.80) toward Bear Floor ($333.68).
Why VMI Stock dropped -2.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) dropped -2.46% to $422.10, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($378.02 – $585.71). Solid 30% profit margin (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 24x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($378.02 – $585.71) with RSI-14 at 38.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.7% around $422.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 30.2% gross margin and $311.4M annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Valmont's Q3 2026 earnings beat estimates on strong Utility and Coatings sales, despite a revenue miss and Agriculture weakness, prompting a higher EPS outlook.
Valmont (VMI) is technically in oversold territory now, so the heavy selling pressure might have exhausted. This along with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in raising earnings estimates could lead to a trend
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VMI Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
VMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VMI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VMI)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (VMI vs. TKR, NPO, WTS, CR)
Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) ranks #122 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #112 by equity capitalization ($8.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VMI leads on earnings valuation at 23.6x trailing P/E, while WTS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.5% ROIC and 49.5% gross margin. WTS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with VMI at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMI
ACTIVE
Valmont Industries Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 23.6x | 30.2% | 14.7% | -2.46% | $8.28B | Benchmark Subject |
| TKR Timken Company | D+ | 58/100 | 27.6x | 30.4% | 9.1% | -3.42% | $7.96B | /tkr-vs-vmi → |
| NPO Enpro Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 148.7x | 42.6% | 6.1% | -4.54% | $6.02B | /npo-vs-vmi → |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 34.4x | 49.5% | 19.5% | -0.94% | $11.71B | /wts-vs-vmi → |
| CR Crane Company | C+ | 67/100 | 32.4x | 42.2% | 12.4% | -3.78% | $11.90B | /cr-vs-vmi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0000102729In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) reported GAAP revenue of $4.10B (+0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.08B , and -1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $350.3M, operating cash flow of $456.5M, and free cash flow of $311.4M (-36.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, VMI closed FY2025 with $3.37B in total assets against $795.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.17, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-27 | $4.10B | $350.3M | $456.5M | $311.4M | $3.37B | $795.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-28 | $4.08B | $348.3M | $572.7M | $493.2M | $3.33B | $729.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-30 | $4.17B | $150.8M | $306.8M | $118.9M | $5.01B | $1.17B |
3. VMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Valmont Industries Inc. (NYSE: VMI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $422.10 (-2.46% 1D, market cap $8.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, VMI ranks #122 in composite RQD confidence.
How does VMI compare to TKR and NPO in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), VMI carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.6x, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of 14.7%. By comparison, TKR (Timken Company) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $7.96B) and NPO (Enpro Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 148.7x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $6.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VMI leads on earnings multiple (23.6x) while WTS leads on capital efficiency (19.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VMI?
Per VMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000102729), Valmont Industries Inc. generated $4.10B in revenue (+0.7% YoY), $350.3M in net income, and $311.4M in free cash flow against $3.37B in total assets and $795.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VMI last traded at $422.10 (-2.46% on volume of 165,906 shares), positioning the stock -8.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($463.02) and -11.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($477.84). Across its 52-week range of $378.02 to $585.71, VMI sits at the 21.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($393.82 to $450.38).
VMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is VMI stock moving today?
Why VMI Stock dropped -2.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 30% profit margin (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 24x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
VMI — Valmont Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, VMI scores 61 out of 100, a C- grade labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 14.7%; FCF yield 3.76%), Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 0.9; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 6.17; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.49). The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which indicates low financial-distress risk per the SEC financials and rating inputs. The weakest pillars are institutional flow (6/20) and macro regime fit (7/20), which suggest limited whale-driven momentum and only moderate alignment with the current macro backdrop. The fundamental cash engine score (14/20) reflects a respectable ROIC alongside a modest 3.76% FCF yield, meaning the stock is not cheap on free cash flow relative to its price. Taken together, the rating points to a balanced, cautious posture: financial quality supports the case, while valuation and flow signals temper enthusiasm. A prospective investor should weigh the balance-sheet strength against a 23.6 trailing P/E and a 16.5 EV/EBITDA multiple, and recognize that a Hold rating does not imply an immediate directional catalyst.
Snapshot
Business
Valmont Industries Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, within the Metal Fabrications industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 30.2%, an operating margin of 10.1%, and a net margin of 8.5%. The source data does not provide a detailed description of its products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $4104.1M | $415.6M | $350.3M | N/A | $311.4M | $187.1M | $795.1M |
| FY 2024 | $4075.0M | $524.6M | $348.3M | N/A | $493.2M | $164.3M | $729.9M |
| FY 2023 | $4174.6M | $291.6M | $150.8M | N/A | $118.9M | N/A | $1172.2M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across the three reported periods, while operating income peaked in FY 2024 at $524.6M before declining to $415.6M in FY 2025. Free cash flow followed a similar pattern, falling from $493.2M to $311.4M, and debt declined from $1172.2M in FY 2023 to $795.1M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.17 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49, which together describe a financially sound balance sheet. ROIC of 14.7% per the market data indicates healthy capital efficiency.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most prominent items are headlines describing VMI's Q3 earnings topping estimates and a Q3 earnings narrative emphasizing a utility growth story despite cost pressure, the latter flagged as a GREEN catalyst. Stifel is reported as reiterating a Buy rating with a $623 target, and MarketBeat reports a move down to "Hold" by Wall Street Zen. A Seeking Alpha item references a 2026 Q3 earnings call presentation dated 2026-10-21. The feed's other items are generally flagged YELLOW as market-wire coverage. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links or proprietary signals. Risk watch items supported by the sources include the cost-pressure reference in the Q3 coverage and the Hold downgrade noted by MarketBeat. The source data does not specify the magnitude of the earnings beat or the cost drivers.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not identify specific upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. Investors should note that the company's sector classification (Industrials; Metal Fabrications) and the Q3 narrative referencing a utility growth story suggest exposure to utility-related end markets, but the source data does not quantify or specify these dependencies. Any second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided data.
Open Questions
- What are the specific drivers of the Q3 earnings beat and the cost pressures referenced in the news coverage, and how do they affect margins going forward?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and price target distribution, beyond the single Stifel reference?
- What insider, 13F institutional, and Congressional trades underlie the insider and whale-flow pillar scores?
- Why did reported EPS remain N/A across all three fiscal periods, and how does it reconcile with the TTM EPS of 18.3?
- What products, end markets, and customers drive revenue, and how exposed is the company to utility-sector demand?
VMI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Valmont Industries Inc. (VMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
VMI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $422.10?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VMI (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $432.76?
Welcome to the VMI (Valmont Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Metal Fabrications. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on VMI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VMI, but look at what you are paying: 23.6x trailing P/E with 30.2% gross margins. Unless Valmont Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
VMI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VMI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Fabrications and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $432.76 (52-wk range $378.02 - $585.71), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.