Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$279.60 -2.09% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $278.02

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $47.92B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WAB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (NYSE: WAB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $279.60 (-2.09% 1D, market cap $47.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WAB ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WAB compare to CNI and CP in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), WAB carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.0x, gross margin of 34.1%, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, CNI (Canadian National Railway Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $74.94B) and CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $76.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NSC leads on earnings multiple (26.8x) while CSX leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WAB?
β–Ό

Per WAB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000943452), Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation generated $11.17B in revenue (+7.5% YoY), $1.17B in net income, and $1.50B in free cash flow against $22.07B in total assets and $4.29B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 41x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $278.01 (-0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 13.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (14)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$339 Bull$287 Base$224 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE WAB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WAB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY WAB SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±5.4% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$286.51-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$283.43-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$278.95+0.2% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$279.60+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (72) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WAB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, WAB faces multiple-compression risk if 41.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 41x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 31.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($285.09) or 200D SMA ($268.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($287.15) toward Bear Floor ($223.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WABβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œWAB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WAB)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WAB.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WAB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WAB
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WAB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.63%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $282.2H $285.6L $279.6C $279.6VOL 905.9K
RES: $289.6SUP: $272.7SMA50: $285.1SMA200: $268.5
$312.7$287.6$262.5$237.4$212.4RES $289.6SUP $272.7$279.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WAB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WAB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WAB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WAB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WAB)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WAB vs. CNI, CP, NSC, CSX)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) ranks #92 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #34 by equity capitalization ($47.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NSC leads on earnings valuation at 26.8x trailing P/E, while CSX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. NSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with WAB at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WAB ACTIVE
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation
C 64/100 41.0x 34.1% 11.1% -2.09% $47.92B Benchmark Subject
CNI
Canadian National Railway Company
C+ 67/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.30% $74.94B /cni-vs-wab β†’
CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
C 63/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.48% $76.84B /cp-vs-wab β†’
NSC
Norfolk Southern Corporation
B 73/100 26.8x β€” 13.0% +0.13% $76.86B /nsc-vs-wab β†’
CSX
CSX Corporation
C+ 67/100 33.3x β€” 17.2% -0.48% $96.30B /csx-vs-wab β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000943452

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) reported GAAP revenue of $11.17B (+7.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.39B , and +15.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.17B, operating cash flow of $1.76B, and free cash flow of $1.50B (-7.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, WAB closed FY2025 with $22.07B in total assets against $4.29B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.69, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $11.17B $1.17B $1.76B $1.50B $22.07B $4.29B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.39B $1.06B $1.83B $1.63B $18.70B $3.48B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.68B $815.0M $1.20B $765.5M $26.35B $6.17B

3. WAB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WAB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (NYSE: WAB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $279.60 (-2.09% 1D, market cap $47.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WAB ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WAB compare to CNI and CP in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), WAB carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.0x, gross margin of 34.1%, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, CNI (Canadian National Railway Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $74.94B) and CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $76.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NSC leads on earnings multiple (26.8x) while CSX leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WAB?

Per WAB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000943452), Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation generated $11.17B in revenue (+7.5% YoY), $1.17B in net income, and $1.50B in free cash flow against $22.07B in total assets and $4.29B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 41x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WAB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WAB last traded at $279.60 (-2.09% on volume of 808,339 shares), positioning the stock -1.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($285.09) and +4.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($268.53). Across its 52-week range of $194.93 to $306.64, WAB sits at the 75.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.4% ($264.50 to $294.70).

WAB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is WAB's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for WAB.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WAB β€” Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WAB scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 11.1% and an FCF yield of 3.13%. Returns on capital are respectable, but the cash yield is modest relative to the stock's valuation multiples, which is a valuation tradeoff for a prospective buyer.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. The pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a moderate positive, indicating institutional interest without an overwhelming consensus signal.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is only moderately supportive, so insider activity offers limited confirmation of conviction in either direction.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. With a beta of 0.94, the stock's sensitivity to the broad market is roughly in line with the market, and the rating notes sector sensitivity as a constraint on the score.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, citing an Altman Z of 3.69, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.39. Balance-sheet quality is a relative strength and supports downside resilience.

Taken together, the rating points to a business with sound balance-sheet quality and institutional interest, offset by a fully priced valuation and a cash yield that does not provide a large margin of safety. Upside drivers are the balance-sheet strength and steady institutional flow; the main valuation tradeoff is the high P/E against a 3.13% FCF yield.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
285.56$47.92B4138.124.66.970.36%0.94$194.93 - $306.6411.1%

Business

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Railroads industry. Per the profile, it is a publicly traded US company with a market capitalization of $47.9B. The source data does not itemize specific products, customers, or revenue segments, so the detailed mechanics of how the company earns revenue are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

Per the SEC financials:

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$11167.0M$1793.0M$1170.0MN/A$1499.0MN/A$4291.0M
FY 2024$10387.0M$1609.0M$1056.0MN/A$1627.0MN/A$3480.0M
FY 2023$9677.0M$1266.0M$815.0MN/A$765.5MN/A$6167.0M

Revenue rose from $9677.0M in FY 2023 to $11167.0M in FY 2025, and operating income rose from $1266.0M to $1793.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 34.1%, operating margin 16.1%, and net margin 10.5%, with ROIC of 11.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.69 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.39, which indicates a balance-sheet posture the rating treats as a relative strength. Reported debt moved from $6167.0M in FY 2023 to $4291.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference WAB:

  • A Yahoo Finance report (green light, CATALYST) headlined that the stock "Looks Fully Valued Against Cash Flow Prospects," which aligns with the valuation tradeoff noted in the RQD rating.
  • A Seeking Alpha item (yellow, MARKET WIRE) references the 2026 Q3 results and earnings call presentation.
  • A TradingView estimates item (yellow) and a StockInvest.us forecast item (yellow) are present without quantitative content in the source.
  • A marketscreener.com item (yellow) references results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2026.
  • A Yahoo Finance Q3 2026 earnings call summary (yellow) is listed.

Risk watch items: the valuation-versus-cash-flow framing in the lead headline. Proprietary signals: none. Specific Q3 2026 figures are not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are not available in source data. Sector and industry classification (Industrials / Railroads) is the only sector context provided; sector correlation figures are not available in source data. Second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific Q3 2026 revenue, earnings, and guidance figures referenced in the earnings call and results items?
  • What are the company's reported cash balances, since cash is listed as N/A for every period?
  • Which product lines, customers, and geographic segments drive the revenue base shown in the financials?
  • What is the reported EPS for each fiscal year, given that EPS is listed as N/A across all periods?
  • What analyst consensus ratings, price targets, and insider or 13F holder transactions exist for WAB?

WAB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to WAB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WAB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $279.60?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WAB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WAB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $308.40 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WAB (C β€’ RQD 64/100) a Buy at $285.56?

Welcome to the WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Railroads. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (41.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $228.45 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $285.56

Pump the brakes on WAB β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WAB, but look at what you are paying: 41.0x trailing P/E with 34.1% gross margins. Unless Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $351.24 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $285.56

WAB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WAB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $285.56 (52-wk range $194.93 - $306.64), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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