Wendy's Company (WEN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.9% Move

$7.21 +0.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.20

Wendy's Company (WEN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.37B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Wendy's Company (NASDAQ: WEN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $7.21 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WEN ranks #571 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WEN compare to SG and BJRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), WEN carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of 63.6%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.36B) and BJRI (BJ's Restaurants Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WEN?
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Per WEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000030697), Wendy's Company generated $2.18B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), $165.1M in net income, and $344.5M in free cash flow against $4.96B in total assets and $2.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.20 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk E
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (6)Macro (5)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$11 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE WEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WEN SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.8% FCF Margin ($344.5M FCF) & 63.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.4) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$6.31+5.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$6.68-7.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$6.19+16.5% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$7.21-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WEN currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.03) and Max Pain ($7.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.63.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.9% Swing Band

±$0.57 Expected Swing
$6.64 (-7.9%)Spot $7.21$7.78 (+7.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

WEN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 49/100

Trailing EPS: $0.87 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.1%

Model Bullish Setup (49/100)Model Risk Weight (51/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-28$2.18B$165.1M$344.5M63.6%
FY 20242024-12-29$2.25B$194.4M$355.3M65.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.18B$204.4M$345.4M63.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WEN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.24%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $7.07H $7.21L $7.07C $7.21VOL 10.10M
RES: $8.74SUP: $5.38SMA50: $7.03SMA200: $7.36
$9.70$8.68$7.66$6.64$5.62RES $8.74SUP $5.38$7.212026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WEN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #571 of 1011 ⚔️ SG vs WEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WEN vs. SG, BJRI, ARCO, CBRL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wendy's Company (WEN) ranks #571 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #470 by equity capitalization ($1.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. CBRL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with WEN at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WEN ACTIVE
Wendy's Company
D 49/100 8.3x 63.6% 10.7% +0.63% $1.37B Benchmark Subject
SG
Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -2.98% $1.36B /sg-vs-wen →
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants Inc.
C- 61/100 27.6x 74.7% 10.7% -1.18% $1.35B /bjri-vs-wen →
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 6.9x 96.0% 18.9% -2.46% $1.45B /arco-vs-wen →
CBRL
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc
B- 70/100 34.9x 69.0% 5.4% -3.31% $1.62B /cbrl-vs-wen →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000030697

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Wendy's Company (WEN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.18B (-3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.25B , and -0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $165.1M, operating cash flow of $344.5M, and free cash flow of $344.5M (-3.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, WEN closed FY2025 with $4.96B in total assets against $2.73B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.02, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $2.18B $165.1M $344.5M $344.5M $4.96B $2.73B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $2.25B $194.4M $355.3M $355.3M $5.03B $2.66B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.18B $204.4M $345.4M $345.4M — —

3. WEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Wendy's Company (NASDAQ: WEN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $7.21 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WEN ranks #571 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WEN compare to SG and BJRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), WEN carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of 63.6%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.36B) and BJRI (BJ's Restaurants Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WEN?

Per WEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000030697), Wendy's Company generated $2.18B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), $165.1M in net income, and $344.5M in free cash flow against $4.96B in total assets and $2.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WEN last traded at $7.21 (+0.63% on volume of 8,208,479 shares), positioning the stock +2.56% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.03) and -2.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.36). Across its 52-week range of $5.94 to $10.12, WEN sits at the 30.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($6.64 to $7.78).

WEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is WEN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Wendy's Company (WEN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is WEN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.9% event move for WEN, spanning a range between $6.64 and $7.78.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WEN — Wendy's Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WEN scores 49 out of 100, grade D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.7% and an FCF yield of 0%. For an investor, a double-digit ROIC is a genuine operating strength, but a 0% FCF yield means the current market value is not being supported by free cash generation on the RQD measure.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. A mid-range score suggests institutional activity is neither a clear tailwind nor a clear headwind.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the highest-scoring pillar, though the source data does not itemize the underlying transactions.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is weighted here. The low score indicates limited alignment with the current regime as the RQD framework measures it.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 1.02, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.5. These are the weakest forensic readings in the dossier and are the main drag on the overall grade.

Taken together, the investor implication is that WEN shows a profitable operating model and an apparently low trailing and forward multiple, but the RQD framework weighs the leverage, distress-zone Altman reading, and zero FCF yield heavily. The low multiple is therefore a valuation tradeoff rather than a clear signal of undervaluation under this rating's methodology. Upside drivers would need to come from balance sheet repair or sustained cash generation; the stated RQD verdict points to underperformance risk until those improve.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
7.17$1.37B8.37.711.10.879.49%1.0$5.94 - $10.1210.7%

Business

Wendy's Company (WEN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Restaurants industry, per the profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reports annual revenue in the $2.2B range across the periods shown. Per the profile, the company's market capitalization is $1.4B. The source data does not describe its product mix, customer segments, or revenue model in further detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2176.9M$343.5M$165.1MN/A$344.5M$300.8M$2730.5M
FY 2024$2246.5M$371.4M$194.4MN/A$355.3M$450.5M$2662.1M
FY 2023$2181.6M$382.0M$204.4MN/A$345.4MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 63.6%, operating margin 15.8%, and net margin 7.6%, with ROIC of 10.7%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.02 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Per the SEC financials, net income declined from $204.4M (FY 2023) to $194.4M (FY 2024) to $165.1M (FY 2025), while debt rose from $2662.1M to $2730.5M over FY 2024 to FY 2025 and cash fell from $450.5M to $300.8M. The Debt/Equity reading of 8.5 per the RQD rating signals a highly leveraged balance sheet.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Trian Partners proposal (CATALYST, GREEN): Per the news wire, Wendy's confirmed receipt of an unsolicited proposal from Trian Partners, flagged as a catalyst.
  • Price target cut (RISK WATCH, RED): Per the news wire, a 12-month price target was cut to $7.18, implying 15% upside. The source flags this as a risk watch item.
  • Institutional position changes (CATALYST, GREEN): Per the news wire, a MarketBeat report covers a stock sale by Venture Visionary Partners LLC.
  • Seeking Alpha commentary (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Per the news wire, a piece characterizes Trian's offer as "no big deal."
  • Additional Yahoo Finance and TradingView items are market-wire coverage without additional fundamental detail.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is "NONE" and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms and intent of the Trian Partners proposal, and how would they affect valuation and balance sheet leverage?
  • What drove the FY 2025 decline in net income, cash, and FCF, and is the trend expected to continue?
  • How is the $2730.5M debt structured in terms of maturities and interest costs, given the Altman Z of 1.02?
  • Why is the EPS field unavailable for the reported periods, and how does it reconcile with the TTM EPS of 0.87?
  • What insider and institutional transactions underlie the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F pillar scores?

WEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Wendy's Company (WEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 14h ago
META_TITLE_QUOTE

Yahoo Finance report covering Wendy's Company (WEN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.21?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WEN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $7.74 (+7.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WEN (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $7.17?

Welcome to the WEN (Wendy's Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.52 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $7.17

Pump the brakes on WEN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WEN, but look at what you are paying: 8.3x trailing P/E with 63.6% gross margins. Unless Wendy's Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.32 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $7.17

WEN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WEN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.17 (52-wk range $5.94 - $10.12), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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