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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / WING / options
SHAK (49) CAKE (72) JMKE (50) CHA (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Wingstop Inc. (WING) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$149.73 +2.99% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $150.25

Wingstop Inc. (WING) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.93B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WING Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WING stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $149.73 (+2.99% 1D, market cap $3.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WING ranks #223 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WING compare to SHAK and CAKE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), WING carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 45.0%. By comparison, SHAK (Shake Shack Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 60.7x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $3.02B) and CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 38.0x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHA leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while CHA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WING?
β–Ό

Per WING's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001636222), Wingstop Inc. generated $696.9M in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $174.3M in net income, and $105.6M in free cash flow against $693.4M in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $150.25 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 15.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$318 Bull$155 Base$121 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE WING RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WING)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY WING SCORES 66/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.33 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.5) create a -9 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$125.76+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$130.31-5.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$123.52+21.2% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$149.73+1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (58) β†’ C+ (66)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WING Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, WING faces multiple-compression risk if 22.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($116.26) or 200D SMA ($162.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($155.12) toward Bear Floor ($120.99).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WINGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œWING Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WING)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WING.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WING & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WING
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WING // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.51%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $138.6H $149.7L $138.6C $149.7VOL 1.94M
RES: $149.2SUP: $83.48SMA50: $116.3SMA200: $162.1
$263.7$218.2$172.7$127.2$81.70RES $149.2SUP $83.48$149.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WING Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ WING Butterfly Map β†’ + Track WING β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WING today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WING. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WING today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WING)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #223 of 1011 βš”οΈ SHAK vs WING Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WING vs. SHAK, CAKE, JMKE, CHA)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wingstop Inc. (WING) ranks #223 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #320 by equity capitalization ($3.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHA leads on earnings valuation at 13.7x trailing P/E, while CHA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CHA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with WING at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WING ACTIVE
Wingstop Inc.
C+ 66/100 22.6x β€” 45.0% +2.99% $3.93B Benchmark Subject
SHAK
Shake Shack Inc.
D 49/100 60.7x β€” 6.8% -0.04% $3.02B /shak-vs-wing β†’
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
B 72/100 38.0x β€” 18.9% -0.42% $5.63B /cake-vs-wing β†’
JMKE
Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.
D 50/100 32.8x β€” 2.4% -2.66% $5.97B /jmke-vs-wing β†’
CHA
Chagee Holdings Limited
B 75/100 13.7x β€” 85.0% +0.25% $2.29B /cha-vs-wing β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-27 β€’ CIK 0001636222

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Wingstop Inc. (WING) reported GAAP revenue of $696.9M (+11.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $625.8M , and +51.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $174.3M, operating cash flow of $153.1M, and free cash flow of $105.6M (-0.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, WING closed FY2025 with $693.4M in total assets against $1.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $696.9M $174.3M $153.1M $105.6M $693.4M $1.21B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $625.8M $108.7M $157.6M $105.7M $716.2M $1.21B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $460.1M $70.2M $121.6M $100.9M $2.16B $506.2M

3. WING Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WING stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $149.73 (+2.99% 1D, market cap $3.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WING ranks #223 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WING compare to SHAK and CAKE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), WING carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 45.0%. By comparison, SHAK (Shake Shack Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 60.7x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $3.02B) and CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 38.0x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHA leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while CHA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WING?

Per WING's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001636222), Wingstop Inc. generated $696.9M in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $174.3M in net income, and $105.6M in free cash flow against $693.4M in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WING trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WING last traded at $149.73 (+2.99% on volume of 1,582,648 shares), positioning the stock +28.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($116.26) and -7.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($162.10). Across its 52-week range of $95.82 to $302.80, WING sits at the 26.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.1% ($131.61 to $167.85).

WING Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is WING's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for WING.

Direct Sub-Reports: WING RQD Cockpit WING 12M Forecast WING Earnings & Move WING Dividends & DRIP WING Insiders & 13F WING Whale Options WING Profit Sankey WING News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 66/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WING β€” Wingstop Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:40Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WING scores 66 out of 100 (letter grade C+), with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20 (ROIC 45%; FCF yield 2.69%), Whale 13F Flow 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 11/20 (Beta 1.01; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 2.33; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.85). The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which is the highest-scoring component, while macro regime fit is the weakest. For a prospective investor, the composite suggests a neutral stance with a focus on whether the stock can break out from its current range. The strong return on invested capital and high Piotroski score point to operational and balance-sheet quality, but the modest FCF yield signals that the current price already embeds meaningful expectations. The macro pillar's low score implies that broader market and sector conditions may weigh on the stock. Upside drivers would be sustained cash generation and continued insider and institutional support; valuation tradeoffs center on a 22.6x trailing P/E and 22.5x EV/EBITDA relative to a 2.69% FCF yield.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$145.39$3.93B22.62122.56.440.82%1.01$95.82 - $302.845%

Business

Wingstop Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Restaurants industry, per the profile section. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mechanics beyond the reported financial figures. The company's market capitalization is $3.9B per the profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$696.9M$179.3M$174.3MN/A$105.6M$196.6M$1209.1M
FY 2024$625.8M$165.6M$108.7MN/A$105.7M$315.9M$1206.2M
FY 2023$460.1M$112.6M$70.2MN/A$100.9MN/A$506.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $460.1M in FY 2023 to $696.9M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $70.2M to $174.3M over the same span. The operating margin is reported at 25.7% and the net margin at 25% in the market data section, with gross margin listed as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 45%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.33, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Debt/Equity is 0.85 per the rating. Reported debt has been roughly $1.21B in both FY 2024 and FY 2025, while cash declined from $315.9M to $196.6M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Catalyst (GREEN): "Why Is Wingstop (WING) Stock Soaring Today" (Yahoo Finance, 1h ago) signals a positive price-move catalyst. Not available in source data for the underlying content.
  • Risk Watch (RED): "Wingstop Stock Sinks as Wall Street Slashes Outlook. A Sales Recovery Looks Elusive." (Barron's, 3h ago) flags analyst outlook reductions and sales recovery doubts.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): "A 5-Day Winning Streak Has Wingstop Stock Up 25%" (Trefis, 6h ago) notes a recent price run.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): "Why is Wingstop stock surging today?" (Investing.com, 9h ago) reports a price surge.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): "Joe Cotton's Weekly Stock Picks: McDonalds and Wingstop are way down from their highs" (Northern Kentucky Tribune, 12h ago) notes the stock trades well below prior highs.
  • Risk Watch (RED): "Wingstop (WING) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know" (Yahoo Finance, 15h ago) reports a decline despite market strength.

The news flow is mixed, with two red risk-watch items on outlook cuts and a stock decline against three yellow and one green item reflecting price moves. Butterfly supply-chain graph: Not available in source data for proprietary signals; no supply-chain links are reported.

Open Questions

  • What is the specific content behind the outlook cuts cited in the Barron's report, and how do they relate to the reported sales trend?
  • What drove the trailing EPS of $6.44 and the reported EPS values in the financial periods, which are listed as N/A?
  • What explains the reduction in cash from $315.9M in FY 2024 to $196.6M in FY 2025 while debt remained near $1.2B?
  • What specific insider and institutional transactions underlie the Roarable pillar scores, since the holders section is empty?
  • What is the supply-chain structure and gross margin basis, given that gross margin is reported as 0%?

WING Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Wingstop Inc. (WING) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to WING Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WING Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $149.73?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WING 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WING:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $157.02 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WING (C+ β€’ RQD 66/100) a Buy at $145.39?

Welcome to the WING (Wingstop Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Restaurants. Bulls point to capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $110.50 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $145.39

Pump the brakes on WING β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WING, but look at what you are paying: 22.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Wingstop Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $170.11 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $145.39

WING cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WING, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $145.39 (52-wk range $95.82 - $302.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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