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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / WLDN / news
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Why WLDN Stock dropped -2.13% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$72.02 -2.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $71.61

Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WLDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Willdan Group Inc. (NASDAQ: WLDN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $72.02 (-2.13% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WLDN ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WLDN compare to MG and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Military/Government/Technical), WLDN carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.4x, gross margin of 37.5%, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, MG (Mistras Group Inc) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $642.7M) and VSEC (VSE Corporation) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $4.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACM leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ACM leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WLDN?
▼

Per WLDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001370450), Willdan Group Inc. generated $681.6M in revenue (+20.5% YoY), $52.6M in net income, and $70.7M in free cash flow against $544.2M in total assets and $46.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $71.61 (-0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 10.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (5)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$144 Bull$74 Base$58 Bear
📬 FREE WLDN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WLDN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WLDN SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.90 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$74.13-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$72.72+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$73.04-1.4% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$72.02+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WLDN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, WLDN faces multiple-compression risk if 22.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($78.21) or 200D SMA ($86.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($73.96) toward Bear Floor ($57.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WLDN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WLDN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why WLDN Stock dropped -2.13% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) dropped -2.13% to $72.02, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($64.67 – $137). Solid 37.5% gross margin (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($64.67 – $137) with RSI-14 at 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $72.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 37.5% gross margin and $70.7M annual free cash flow.
Live WLDN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Willdan Completes Acquisition of Mantis Innovation

ANAHEIM, Calif., October 30, 2026--Willdan Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: WLDN) announced today that it has completed the previously announced acquisition of Mantis Intermediate Holdings, LLC ("Mantis"), doing business as Mantis I

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WLDN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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WLDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.96%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $77.27H $77.27L $72.02C $72.02VOL 119.8K
RES: $77.41SUP: $70.91SMA50: $78.21SMA200: $86.23
$104.2$94.14$84.12$74.09$64.07RES $77.41SUP $70.91$72.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WLDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WLDN Butterfly Map → + Track WLDN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WLDN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WLDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WLDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WLDN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #247 of 1009 ⚔️ MG vs WLDN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WLDN vs. MG, VSEC, STN, ACM)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #496 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACM leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while ACM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 7.5% gross margin. WLDN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WLDN ACTIVE
Willdan Group Inc.
C 64/100 22.4x 37.5% 12.2% -2.13% $1.12B Benchmark Subject
MG
Mistras Group Inc
D+ 53/100 38.2x 28.2% 8.6% -0.15% $642.7M /mg-vs-wldn →
VSEC
VSE Corporation
D+ 52/100 — — 4.3% +8.37% $4.15B /vsec-vs-wldn →
STN
Stantec Inc
D+ 57/100 32.8x — 9.9% +5.49% $8.13B /stn-vs-wldn →
ACM
AECOM
D+ 58/100 14.5x 7.5% 16.3% +3.69% $8.15B /acm-vs-wldn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001370450 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) reported GAAP revenue of $681.6M (+20.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $565.8M , and +33.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.6M, operating cash flow of $80.1M, and free cash flow of $70.7M (+11.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, WLDN closed FY2025 with $544.2M in total assets against $46.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.90, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-02 $681.6M $52.6M $80.1M $70.7M $544.2M $46.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-12-27 $565.8M $22.6M $72.1M $63.7M $464.9M $79.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-12-29 $510.1M $10.9M $39.2M $39.2M — —

3. WLDN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WLDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Willdan Group Inc. (NASDAQ: WLDN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $72.02 (-2.13% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WLDN ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WLDN compare to MG and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Military/Government/Technical), WLDN carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.4x, gross margin of 37.5%, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, MG (Mistras Group Inc) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $642.7M) and VSEC (VSE Corporation) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $4.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACM leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ACM leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WLDN?

Per WLDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001370450), Willdan Group Inc. generated $681.6M in revenue (+20.5% YoY), $52.6M in net income, and $70.7M in free cash flow against $544.2M in total assets and $46.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WLDN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WLDN last traded at $72.02 (-2.13% on volume of 159,700 shares), positioning the stock -7.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($78.21) and -16.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($86.23). Across its 52-week range of $64.67 to $137.00, WLDN sits at the 10.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($66.19 to $77.85).

Direct Sub-Reports: WLDN RQD Cockpit WLDN 12M Forecast WLDN Earnings & Move WLDN Dividends & DRIP WLDN Insiders & 13F WLDN Whale Options WLDN Profit Sankey WLDN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WLDN — Willdan Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-02

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $72.02 (-2.13% 1D, market capitalization $1.12B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.2%, gross margin of 37.5%, operating margin of 6.5%, and free cash flow yield of 6.01%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.90, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.15x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Consumer Discretionary. Industry: Military/Government/Technical. Exchange: NASDAQ.. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer operating in the Military/Government/Technical industry. —: product or service description, customer base, and revenue model detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-02), Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) reported $681.6M in annual revenue (up from $565.8M in FY2024, +20.5% YoY) and $52.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($510.1M revenue, $10.9M net income) through FY2025, WLDN scaled operating cash flow to $80.1M and free cash flow to $70.7M, backed by $544.2M in total assets against $46.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $64.67 – $137.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 22.4x trailing P/E and 22.2x EV/EBITDA against 6.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain: NONE; butterfly links: none; proprietary signals: none. —: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks. The one ripple-relevant reference in the news feed is the power-demand theme in the Seeking Alpha headline; the source does not establish how that theme transmits to WLDN's revenue.

  • Key Question #1: Can WLDN sustain or expand its 6.5% operating margin and 12.2% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $681.6M and free cash flow of $70.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $46.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WLDN's 18.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

WLDN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WLDN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WLDN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $72.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WLDN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WLDN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $88.31 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $510.1M to $681.6M over FY 2023–FY 2025 while debt fell to $46.0M, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and Altman

Long WLDN at $73.59 targeting $88.31. Revenue grew from $510.1M to $681.6M over FY 2023–FY 2025 while debt fell to $46.0M, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and Altman Z of 4.9.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $64.67 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 22.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Military/Government/Technical. If gross margin (37.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.40 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $73.59

Institutional flow scores only 8/20 and the stock trades at 22.4x trailing earnings amid a referenced $285M acquisition and a pending f

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on WLDN: Institutional flow scores only 8/20 and the stock trades at 22.4x trailing earnings amid a referenced $285M acquisition and a pending financing test.. At 22.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Military/Government/Technical triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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