How profitable is Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), XEL converted $7.2B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $4.1B in free cash flow (56.5% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Utilities / XEL / financials

EXC (48) ED (70) WEC (69) PEG (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$79.33 -0.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.09

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $51.23B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XEL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Xcel Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: XEL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $79.33 (-0.61% 1D, market cap $51.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, XEL ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XEL compare to EXC and ED in the Utilities sector?

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Within the Utilities sector (Power Generation), XEL carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, EXC (Exelon Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $47.65B) and ED (Consolidated Edison Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.8%, cap $43.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXC leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while EXC leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XEL?

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Per XEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000072903), Xcel Energy Inc. generated $7.23B in revenue (+8.3% YoY), $2.02B in net income, and $4.08B in free cash flow against $81.37B in total assets and $19.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.09 (-0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 56.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY XEL SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$75.36+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$76.78+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$77.18+2.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$79.33+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, XEL faces multiple-compression risk if 24.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($74.82) or 200D SMA ($78.30) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($82.54) toward Bear Floor ($64.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “XEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How XEL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$4.08B (56.5% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $6.95B

FY24

Rev $6.68B

FY25

Rev $7.23B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$7.23B	0%	35.7%	$2.02B	$4.08B	4.8%
FY 2024	$6.68B	0%	35.7%	$1.94B	$4.64B	5.3%
FY 2023	$6.95B	0%	35.7%	$1.77B	$5.33B	12%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XEL)

✓Walkthrough of XEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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XEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $79.04H $79.82L $79.04C $79.33VOL 7.49M

RES: $80.51SUP: $65.36SMA50: $74.82SMA200: $78.30

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XEL Butterfly Map → + Track XEL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

18.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XEL)

Utilities Rank #18 of 116 ⚔️ EXC vs XEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (XEL vs. EXC, ED, WEC, PEG)

Industry: Power Generation (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) ranks #18 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #10 by equity capitalization ($51.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXC leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while EXC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ED currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with XEL at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
XEL ACTIVE Xcel Energy Inc.	C+	67/100	24.5x	—	5.1%	-0.61%	$51.23B	Benchmark Subject
EXC Exelon Corporation	D	48/100	11.8x	—	5.4%	+0.63%	$47.65B	/exc-vs-xel →
ED Consolidated Edison Inc.	B-	70/100	—	—	4.8%	+1.58%	$43.14B	/ed-vs-xel →
WEC WEC Energy Group Inc.	C+	69/100	21.3x	66.7%	3.9%	+0.72%	$37.82B	/wec-vs-xel →
PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated	D+	57/100	17.4x	—	4.6%	+0.12%	$37.03B	/peg-vs-xel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000072903 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) reported GAAP revenue of $7.23B (+8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.68B , and +4.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.02B, operating cash flow of $4.08B, and free cash flow of $4.08B (-12.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, XEL closed FY2025 with $81.37B in total assets against $19.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.16, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$7.23B	$2.02B	$4.08B	$4.08B	$81.37B	$19.04B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$6.68B	$1.94B	$4.64B	$4.64B	$70.03B	$16.39B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.95B	$1.77B	$5.33B	$5.33B	$27.15B	$6.35B

3. XEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does XEL compare to EXC and ED in the Utilities sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XEL?

Where is XEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XEL last traded at $79.33 (-0.61% on volume of 16,402,670 shares), positioning the stock +6.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($74.82) and +1.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.30). Across its 52-week range of $68.72 to $84.23, XEL sits at the 68.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($76.16 to $82.50).

Direct Sub-Reports: XEL RQD Cockpit XEL 12M Forecast XEL Earnings & Move XEL Dividends & DRIP XEL Insiders & 13F XEL Whale Options XEL Profit Sankey XEL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

XEL — Xcel Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $79.33 (-0.61% 1D, market capitalization $51.23B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 18.7%, and free cash flow yield of 7.01%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.55x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.16, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.69x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector and Power Generation industry..4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) reported $7.23B in annual revenue (up from $6.68B in FY2024, +8.3% YoY) and $2.02B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.95B revenue, $1.77B net income) through FY2025, XEL scaled operating cash flow to $4.08B and free cash flow to $4.08B, backed by $81.37B in total assets against $19.04B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $68.72 – $84.23 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 24.5x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 18.7% operating margins and a 0.55x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary links are recorded. — for supply-chain ripple mapping.

Key Question #1: Can XEL sustain or expand its 18.7% operating margin and 5.1% ROIC against Power Generation peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.23B and free cash flow of $4.08B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $19.04B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is XEL's 22.8x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.55x)?

XEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XEL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Xcel Energy (XEL) Stock May Be Fully Priced On AI Data Center Plans

Yahoo Finance report covering Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

Xcel Energy to Sell Michigan Asset to Sharpen Its Growth Strategy

TradingView report covering Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Xcel Energy to sell Michigan gas and electric operations (XEL:NASDAQ)

Seeking Alpha report covering Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

BTIG raises Xcel Energy stock price target on capital plan growth

Investing.com report covering Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Xcel Energy Earnings Preview: What to Expect

Yahoo Finance report covering Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

What Xcel Energy (XEL) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

TradingView report covering Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Xcel Energy (XEL) Rebounds As Undervalued View Holds, Is More Upside Still Left?

Yahoo Finance report covering Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Xcel Energy to Post Q3 Earnings: What to Expect From the Stock?

TradingView report covering Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XEL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.58 (+21.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 0.55 beta and a 7.01% FCF yield, backed by insider and whale flow, give XEL defensive cash-generation support.

A 0.55 beta and a 7.01% FCF yield, backed by insider and whale flow, give XEL defensive cash-generation support.. When you look under the hood at XEL, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 5.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (15/20) has been quietly accumulating below $84.23. My 12M target is $96.58.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $79.82 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Utilities.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $66.25 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $79.82

A 1.16 Altman Z-Score alongside debt rising from $6.35B to $19.04B and 5.1% ROIC points to stretched balance-sheet risk.

Careful chasing XEL at $79.82. A 1.16 Altman Z-Score alongside debt rising from $6.35B to $19.04B and 5.1% ROIC points to stretched balance-sheet risk.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 18.7%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $66.25 on multiple compression.