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Stock Ratings / Technology / XNET / earnings
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Xunlei Limited (XNET) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.5% Move

$3.41 -3.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.38

Xunlei Limited (XNET) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $226.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XNET Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XNET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Xunlei Limited (NASDAQ: XNET) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $3.41 (-3.94% 1D, market cap $226.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, XNET ranks #482 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XNET compare to GIBO and KLTR in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), XNET carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, GIBO (GIBO Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $226.7M) and KLTR (Kaltura Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.3%, cap $221.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XNET leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XNET leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XNET?
▼

Per XNET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001510593), Xunlei Limited generated $460.4M in revenue (+42.5% YoY), $1.05B in net income, and $27.1M in free cash flow against $1.63B in total assets and $38.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.38 (-0.90%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$9 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE XNET RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XNET)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XNET SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.75 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$5.00-20% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$4.00-3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$3.86-11.7% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$3.41-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XNET Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XNET currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.62) and Max Pain ($3.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XNET• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XNET Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.5% Swing Band

±$0.32 Expected Swing
$3.09 (-9.5%)Spot $3.41$3.73 (+9.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

XNET Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 42.5%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$460.4M$1.05B$27.1M47.2%
FY 20242024-12-31$323.1M$1.2M$22.9M51.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$363.7M$14.2M$25.7M47.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XNET)

  • ✓Walkthrough of XNET's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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XNET // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.26%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $3.64H $3.64L $3.41C $3.41VOL 224.4K
RES: $4.80SUP: $4.09SMA50: $4.62SMA200: $5.49
$7.29$6.24$5.19$4.14$3.08RES $4.80SUP $4.09$3.412026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XNET Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XNET Butterfly Map → + Track XNET →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
4.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +42.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XNET today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XNET. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XNET today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XNET)

Technology Rank #482 of 715 ⚔️ GIBO vs XNET Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (XNET vs. GIBO, KLTR, EXFY, SVCO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xunlei Limited (XNET) ranks #482 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #465 by equity capitalization ($226.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XNET leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and — gross margin. EXFY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with XNET at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XNET ACTIVE
Xunlei Limited
D- 39/100 — — 0.4% -3.94% $226.0M Benchmark Subject
GIBO
GIBO Holdings Limited (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — — -35.0% -0.03% $226.7M /gibo-vs-xnet →
KLTR
Kaltura Inc.
D 44/100 — 70.6% -34.3% +3.45% $221.2M /kltr-vs-xnet →
EXFY
Expensify Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — 50.3% -20.4% -2.55% $214.3M /exfy-vs-xnet →
SVCO
Silvaco Group Inc.
E 20/100 — 78.3% -35.0% -4.40% $208.1M /svco-vs-xnet →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001510593 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xunlei Limited (XNET) reported GAAP revenue of $460.4M (+42.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $323.1M , and +26.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.05B, operating cash flow of $32.5M, and free cash flow of $27.1M (+18.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, XNET closed FY2025 with $1.63B in total assets against $38.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $460.4M $1.05B $32.5M $27.1M $1.63B $38.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $323.1M $1.2M $31.0M $22.9M $473.9M $27.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $363.7M $14.2M $25.7M $25.7M — —

3. XNET Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XNET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Xunlei Limited (NASDAQ: XNET) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $3.41 (-3.94% 1D, market cap $226.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, XNET ranks #482 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XNET compare to GIBO and KLTR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), XNET carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, GIBO (GIBO Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $226.7M) and KLTR (Kaltura Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.3%, cap $221.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XNET leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XNET leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XNET?

Per XNET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001510593), Xunlei Limited generated $460.4M in revenue (+42.5% YoY), $1.05B in net income, and $27.1M in free cash flow against $1.63B in total assets and $38.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XNET trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XNET last traded at $3.41 (-3.94% on volume of 306,551 shares), positioning the stock -26.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.62) and -37.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.49). Across its 52-week range of $3.50 to $9.02, XNET sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($3.09 to $3.73).

Direct Sub-Reports: XNET RQD Cockpit XNET 12M Forecast XNET Earnings & Move XNET Dividends & DRIP XNET Insiders & 13F XNET Whale Options XNET Profit Sankey XNET News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

XNET — Xunlei Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Xunlei Limited (XNET) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.41 (-3.94% 1D, market capitalization $226.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 1.4%, and free cash flow yield of 11.71%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.75, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.03x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Xunlei Limited (XNET) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The company's product lines, customer base, and revenue model are not described in the source data. The source data does record a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 1.4%, and a net margin of 68% (per the market data), but these figures cannot be reconciled to a business model description from the available sources.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Xunlei Limited (XNET) reported $460.4M in annual revenue (up from $323.1M in FY2024, +42.5% YoY) and $1.05B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($363.7M revenue, $14.2M net income) through FY2025, XNET scaled operating cash flow to $32.5M and free cash flow to $27.1M, backed by $1.63B in total assets against $38.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 11.71% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.50 – $9.02 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 10.4x EV/EBITDA against 1.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector correlation data is also absent. An investor should note that the absence of mapped supply-chain links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from the available material.

  • Key Question #1: Can XNET sustain or expand its 1.4% operating margin and 0.4% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $460.4M and free cash flow of $27.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $38.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is XNET's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

XNET Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Xunlei Limited (XNET) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XNET Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XNET Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XNET 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XNET:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.69 (+32.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 11.71% FCF yield implies substantial cash generation relative to a $231.7M market capitalization, with debt of $38.4M against cash

Long XNET at $3.55 targeting $4.69. The 11.71% FCF yield implies substantial cash generation relative to a $231.7M market capitalization, with debt of $38.4M against cash of $157.0M in FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.50 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 39/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.55 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.30.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.98 (-16.1%)
Spot @ $3.55

ROIC of 0.4% and an operating margin of 1.4% indicate that invested capital is generating almost no return, and the Altman Z-Score of 1

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on XNET: ROIC of 0.4% and an operating margin of 1.4% indicate that invested capital is generating almost no return, and the Altman Z-Score of 1.75 signals financial vulnerability.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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