XPEL Inc. (XPEL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$45.65 -0.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.74

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42% profit margin, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.26B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XPEL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XPEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, XPEL Inc. (NASDAQ: XPEL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.65 (-0.28% 1D, market cap $1.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, XPEL ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XPEL compare to FOIL and TRS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), XPEL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.6x, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and TRS (TriMas Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $1.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEL?
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Per XPEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001767258), XPEL Inc. generated $476.2M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $51.2M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $382.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.74 (+0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (19)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$59 Bull$49 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE XPEL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XPEL SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($62.9M FCF) & 42.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.4) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$44.15+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$44.13-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$42.40+7.7% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$45.65+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XPEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, XPEL faces multiple-compression risk if 24.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.99) or 200D SMA ($46.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.53) toward Bear Floor ($37.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XPEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$3.01 Expected Swing
$42.64 (-6.6%)Spot $45.65$48.66 (+6.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

XPEL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $1.86 • YoY Revenue Growth: 13.3%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$476.2M$51.2M$62.9M42.2%
FY 20242024-12-31$420.4M$45.5M$41.1M42.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$396.3M$52.8M$37.4M42.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating XPEL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on XPEL
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
XPEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.74%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $43.87H $45.78L $43.87C $45.65VOL 249.8K
RES: $51.45SUP: $41.98SMA50: $45.99SMA200: $46.16
$53.55$49.83$46.11$42.39$38.68RES $51.45SUP $41.98$45.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XPEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPEL)

Industrials Rank #37 of 485 ⚔️ FOIL vs XPEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (XPEL vs. FOIL, TRS, PKOH, AZZ)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XPEL Inc. (XPEL) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #235 by equity capitalization ($1.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XPEL ACTIVE
XPEL Inc.
B 72/100 24.6x 42.2% 21.6% -0.28% $1.26B Benchmark Subject
FOIL
Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five
D 45/100 — — — -3.18% $1.21B /foil-vs-xpel →
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D+ 53/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% -1.40% $1.39B /trs-vs-xpel →
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
D+ 53/100 27.4x 17.0% 15.6% -4.13% $652.1M /pkoh-vs-xpel →
AZZ
AZZ Inc.
C+ 66/100 13.0x 23.9% 11.3% -2.59% $4.13B /azz-vs-xpel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001767258

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XPEL Inc. (XPEL) reported GAAP revenue of $476.2M (+13.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.4M , and +20.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.2M, operating cash flow of $66.9M, and free cash flow of $62.9M (+53.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPEL closed FY2025 with $382.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.04, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $476.2M $51.2M $66.9M $62.9M $382.5M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $420.4M $45.5M $47.8M $41.1M $285.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $396.3M $52.8M $37.4M $37.4M — —

3. XPEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XPEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, XPEL Inc. (NASDAQ: XPEL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.65 (-0.28% 1D, market cap $1.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, XPEL ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XPEL compare to FOIL and TRS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), XPEL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.6x, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and TRS (TriMas Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $1.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEL?

Per XPEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001767258), XPEL Inc. generated $476.2M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $51.2M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $382.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XPEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XPEL last traded at $45.65 (-0.28% on volume of 155,300 shares), positioning the stock -0.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($45.99) and -1.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.16). Across its 52-week range of $31.88 to $55.91, XPEL sits at the 57.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($42.64 to $48.66).

XPEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is XPEL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, XPEL Inc. (XPEL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is XPEL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.6% event move for XPEL, spanning a range between $42.64 and $48.66.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XPEL — XPEL Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XPEL scores 72 out of 100, earning a letter grade of B and the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 19 of 20, supported by ROIC of 21.6% and an FCF yield of 4.99%; for a prospective investor this is the strongest part of the case, indicating the business converts capital into cash at a high rate relative to its capital base. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 17 of 20, referencing SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, which suggests insider-side activity has been supportive, though the source does not itemize individual transactions. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 16 of 20, with an Altman Z of 11.04, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5; these readings point to a financially sturdy profile. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 10 of 20 and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 10 of 20, with beta at 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted; these are the two areas where the rating offers less conviction. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are cash generation and balance sheet strength, while the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 24.6 and a forward P/E of 20.7 per the market data, so the premium must be weighed against the cash-flow profile. The lower institutional-flow and macro-fit scores mean the rating is not uniformly strong across all five pillars.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
45.78$1.26B24.620.718.31.860%1.0$31.88 - $55.9121.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$476.2M$62.6M$51.2MN/A$62.9M$50.9M$0.0M
FY 2024$420.4M$59.1M$45.5MN/A$41.1M$22.1MN/A
FY 2023$396.3M$67.0M$52.8MN/A$37.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $396.3M in FY 2023 to $476.2M in FY 2025, while operating income moved from $67.0M to $62.6M over the same span, and free cash flow increased from $37.4M to $62.9M. The market data reports a net margin of 10.8% and ROIC of 21.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 11.04 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The FY 2025 period shows debt at $0.0M and cash at $50.9M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the headlines include a Yahoo Finance report on XPEL stock forecasts, a GuruFocus report on a new facility in São Paulo intended to boost Brazilian operations, and a TradingView item stating a Q3'26 earnings revenue estimate of 138.75M USD. A Stock Titan item concerns a Las Vegas car show appearance and a Yahoo Finance item covers the opening of a Brazil headquarters, warehouse, and training center in São Paulo. A MarketBeat report notes that Isthmus Partners LLC purchased 39,505 shares of XPEL. The Brazil facility items are the most directly company-specific catalysts; the car-show item appears unrelated to operations. The Isthmus purchase is the only item flagged as a CATALYST rather than MARKET WIRE. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's product mix, customer base, and revenue model, given that the business description is absent from the source data?
  • What were the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, since the financials list EPS as N/A for all periods?
  • What is the debt and cash position for FY 2023 and FY 2024, which are listed as N/A in parts?
  • What analyst consensus, price targets, and institutional or insider holdings exist, given that analyst and holder data are unavailable?
  • How does the Brazil expansion and the Q3'26 revenue estimate relate to reported margin and cash-flow trends?

XPEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for XPEL Inc. (XPEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XPEL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XPEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XPEL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XPEL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.02 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XPEL (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $45.78?

Welcome to the XPEL (XPEL Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.00 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $45.78

Pump the brakes on XPEL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XPEL, but look at what you are paying: 24.6x trailing P/E with 42.2% gross margins. Unless XPEL Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.94 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $45.78

XPEL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XPEL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.78 (52-wk range $31.88 - $55.91), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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