MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Expion Energy, Inc. (XPON) Seasonal Returns ChartYahoo! Finance Canada report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why XPON Stock advanced +1.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.65 +1.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.66
Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $3.6M
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Is XPON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Expion Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: XPON) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.65 (+1.96% 1D, market cap $3.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, XPON ranks #384 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does XPON compare to DFLI and FCUV in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), XPON carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DFLI (Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M) and FCUV (Focus Universal Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPON leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPON?
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Per XPON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001894954), Expion Energy Inc. generated $9.7M in revenue (+71.6% YoY), -$6.2M in net income, and -$6.1M in free cash flow against $8.1M in total assets and $166.2K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.66 (+0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XPON SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (33% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$3.97-1.5% Next Q
41
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$3.91-5.4% Next Q
38
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$3.70-1.4% Next Q
36
CurrentGrade E$3.65-8.9% Hist 90D α
33
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XPON Turnaround Squeeze
While XPON currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.78) and Max Pain ($3.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.16.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPON• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XPON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why XPON Stock advanced +1.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) advanced +1.96% to $3.65, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($2.77 – $19.2). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($2.77 – $19.2) with RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.65 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 13.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live XPON Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Share issuance tied to $9M in debentures faces a vote at Expion Energy (XPON).Stock Titan report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREInvesting.com South Africa • 1d ago
Expion Energy amends private placement terms, updates convertible debenture agreement By Investing.comInvesting.com South Africa report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance UK • 1d ago
Vivakor, Inc. (VIVK) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance UK report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Votes for the November 4 meeting are void as Expion Energy (XPON) reschedules its annual meeting.Stock Titan report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
With about $8.96M in public float, Expion Energy (XPON) proposes a securities offering.Stock Titan report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Auditor M&K CPAS PLLC’s consent is the sole addition to Expion Energy (XPON)’s shelf registration.Stock Titan report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XPON)
- ✓Walkthrough of XPON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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XPON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -57.11%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $4.05H $4.05L $3.58C $3.65VOL 39.2K
RES: $4.16SUP: $3.49SMA50: $4.78SMA200: $6.33
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
XPON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +71.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPON today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPON)
Industrials Rank #384 of 486
⚔️ DFLI vs XPON Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (XPON vs. DFLI, FCUV, RETO, POLA)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) ranks #384 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #468 by equity capitalization ($3.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XPON leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XPON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 13.9% gross margin. XPON currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 33/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPON
ACTIVE
Expion Energy Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 13.9% | -35.0% | +1.96% | $3.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| DFLI Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) | E | 25/100 | — | 26.7% | -35.0% | -4.21% | $3.6M | /dfli-vs-xpon → |
| FCUV Focus Universal Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | -13.8% | -35.0% | +1.22% | $3.2M | /fcuv-vs-xpon → |
| RETO ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A) | E | 21/100 | — | 35.3% | -35.0% | -6.59% | $4.2M | /reto-vs-xpon → |
| POLA Polar Power Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | +1.64% | $2.7M | /pola-vs-xpon → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001894954 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) reported GAAP revenue of $9.7M (+71.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.6M , and +61.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.2M, operating cash flow of -$6.1M, and free cash flow of -$6.1M (+35.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPON closed FY2025 with $8.1M in total assets against $166.2K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $9.7M | -$6.2M | -$6.1M | -$6.1M | $8.1M | $166.2K |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $5.6M | -$13.5M | -$9.6M | -$9.6M | $9.1M | $198.4K |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $6.0M | -$7.5M | -$5.5M | -$5.5M | — | — |
3. XPON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs XPON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Expion Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: XPON) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.65 (+1.96% 1D, market cap $3.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, XPON ranks #384 in composite RQD confidence.
How does XPON compare to DFLI and FCUV in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), XPON carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DFLI (Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M) and FCUV (Focus Universal Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPON leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPON?
Per XPON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001894954), Expion Energy Inc. generated $9.7M in revenue (+71.6% YoY), -$6.2M in net income, and -$6.1M in free cash flow against $8.1M in total assets and $166.2K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is XPON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
XPON last traded at $3.65 (+1.96% on volume of 5,184 shares), positioning the stock -23.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.78) and -42.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.33). Across its 52-week range of $2.77 to $19.20, XPON sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.19 to $4.11).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
XPON — Expion Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.65 (+1.96% 1D, market capitalization $3.6M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 13.9%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.03x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The company reported revenue of $9.7M for FY 2025.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) reported $9.7M in annual revenue (up from $5.6M in FY2024, +71.6% YoY) and -$6.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.0M revenue, -$7.5M net income) through FY2025, XPON scaled operating cash flow to -$6.1M and free cash flow to -$6.1M, backed by $8.1M in total assets against $166.2K in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.77 – $19.20 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
For an investor, the practical ripple to monitor is the financing chain: convertible and debenture terms, share issuance, and offering size could transmit dilution to the equity value per share even without any operating change.
- Key Question #1: Can XPON sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $9.7M and free cash flow of -$6.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $166.2K in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is XPON's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
XPON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Expion Energy, Inc. (XPON) Seasonal Returns Chart Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
Share issuance tied to $9M in debentures faces a vote at Expion Energy (XPON). Stock Titan report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com South Africa • 1d ago
Expion Energy amends private placement terms, updates convertible debenture agreement By Investing.com Investing.com South Africa report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago
Vivakor, Inc. (VIVK) stock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance UK report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
Votes for the November 4 meeting are void as Expion Energy (XPON) reschedules its annual meeting. Stock Titan report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
With about $8.96M in public float, Expion Energy (XPON) proposes a securities offering. Stock Titan report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
Auditor M&K CPAS PLLC’s consent is the sole addition to Expion Energy (XPON)’s shelf registration. Stock Titan report covering Expion Energy Inc. (XPON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
XPON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.65?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XPON 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $4.19 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Forensic balance sheet pillar shows Debt/Equity of 0.03 and Altman Z of 2.5, indicating low reported leverage.
The street is overcomplicating Expion Energy Inc. (XPON). Forensic balance sheet pillar shows Debt/Equity of 0.03 and Altman Z of 2.5, indicating low reported leverage.. With an RQD score of 33/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $3.87.
SectorRotator 🐂 BULL
@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (13.9%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $2.90 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $3.58 Operating margin of -60% and ROIC of -35% alongside a $9M debenture financing vote signal continued losses and dilution risk.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short XPON above $3.58. Operating margin of -60% and ROIC of -35% alongside a $9M debenture financing vote signal continued losses and dilution risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $19.20.