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17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (YQ) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.83 +5.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.85

17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (YQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $29.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (NASDAQ: YQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.83 (+5.20% 1D, market cap $29.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, YQ ranks #35 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YQ compare to STG and YOUL in the Real Estate sector?
▼

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), YQ carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, STG (Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 80.4%, cap $30.8M) and YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $34.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YQ?
▼

Per YQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821468), 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. generated $15.2M in revenue (-41.5% YoY), -$22.1M in net income, and $4.4M in free cash flow against $84.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.85 (+0.75%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 28.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.1% Base Target
$6 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE YQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YQ SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.7% FCF Margin ($4.4M FCF) & 47.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 32% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$3.74-15% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$3.18-5.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$3.00-5.7% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$2.83-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While YQ currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.23) and Max Pain ($2.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.57.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your YQ Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.83: 3533.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.05
$7,244
$-2,756 (-27.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.63
$9,293
$-707 (-7.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $5.57
$19,682
+$9,682 (+96.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of YQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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YQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.68H $2.83L $2.68C $2.83VOL 3.5K
RES: $5.86SUP: $2.72SMA50: $3.23SMA200: $2.71
$4.80$3.96$3.11$2.26$1.42RES $5.86SUP $2.72$2.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 YQ Butterfly Map → + Track YQ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -41.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YQ)

Real Estate Rank #35 of 51 ⚔️ STG vs YQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (YQ vs. STG, YOUL, FEDU, AACG)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (YQ) ranks #35 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #36 by equity capitalization ($29.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FEDU leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. FEDU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with YQ at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YQ ACTIVE
17 Education & Technology Group Inc.
D- 42/100 — 47.7% -35.0% +5.20% $29.2M Benchmark Subject
STG
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)
D 46/100 — 86.9% 80.4% 0.00% $30.8M /stg-vs-yq →
YOUL
Youlife Group Inc.
D 44/100 5.9x 10.4% 0.9% -7.07% $34.4M /youl-vs-yq →
FEDU
Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10
D+ 56/100 5.2x 25.8% — +5.73% $21.7M /fedu-vs-yq →
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
E 30/100 — 48.6% -35.0% -7.62% $44.5M /aacg-vs-yq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001821468 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (YQ) reported GAAP revenue of $15.2M (-41.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.9M , and -37.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$22.1M, operating cash flow of $5.3M, and free cash flow of $4.4M (+121.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, YQ closed FY2025 with $84.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.2M -$22.1M $5.3M $4.4M $84.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $25.9M -$26.4M -$19.1M -$20.4M $75.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $24.1M -$43.9M -$29.9M -$29.9M — —

3. YQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (NASDAQ: YQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.83 (+5.20% 1D, market cap $29.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, YQ ranks #35 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YQ compare to STG and YOUL in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), YQ carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, STG (Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 80.4%, cap $30.8M) and YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $34.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YQ?

Per YQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821468), 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. generated $15.2M in revenue (-41.5% YoY), -$22.1M in net income, and $4.4M in free cash flow against $84.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YQ last traded at $2.83 (+5.20% on volume of 4,748 shares), positioning the stock -12.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.23) and +4.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.71). Across its 52-week range of $1.68 to $5.30, YQ sits at the 31.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($2.56 to $3.10).

Direct Sub-Reports: YQ RQD Cockpit YQ 12M Forecast YQ Earnings & Move YQ Dividends & DRIP YQ Insiders & 13F YQ Whale Options YQ Profit Sankey YQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

YQ — 17 Education & Technology Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (YQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.83 (+5.20% 1D, market capitalization $29.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 47.7%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of 14.97%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 47.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (YQ) reported $15.2M in annual revenue (up from $25.9M in FY2024, -41.5% YoY) and -$22.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($24.1M revenue, -$43.9M net income) through FY2025, YQ scaled operating cash flow to $5.3M and free cash flow to $4.4M, backed by $84.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 14.97% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.68 – $5.30 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for YQ. Within the sector classification provided, the only ripple signal available is the Beta of 1.0 in the market data, which indicates the stock has moved in line with the broader market over the measured window. A prospective investor should watch for any future supply-chain disclosure, since the absence of mapped dependencies leaves second-order exposure unresolved.

  • Key Question #1: Can YQ sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $15.2M and free cash flow of $4.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is YQ's equity valuation to Real Estate capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

YQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (YQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to YQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

YQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.83?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON YQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on YQ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.34 (+24.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Positive FCF of $4.4M in FY 2025 and a 14.97% FCF yield against a $29.1M market cap offer a cash-generation signal despite losses.

Here is why I am bullish on YQ here at $2.69: Positive FCF of $4.4M in FY 2025 and a 14.97% FCF yield against a $29.1M market cap offer a cash-generation signal despite losses.. Compare YQ's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Other Consumer Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $2.56 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 42/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $2.69 and keeping dry powder in case we test $2.50.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.04 (-24.2%)
Spot @ $2.69

Operating margin of -60% and ROIC of -35% alongside revenue falling to $15.2M in FY 2025 point to a business not yet earning returns on

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short YQ above $2.69. Operating margin of -60% and ROIC of -35% alongside revenue falling to $15.2M in FY 2025 point to a business not yet earning returns on its capital.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (14.97%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $5.30.

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