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Why ZEO Stock slipped -1.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$0.24 -1.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.24

Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (ZEO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $16.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ZEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZEO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.24 (-1.67% 1D, market cap $16.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ZEO ranks #367 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ZEO compare to CLIR and ARTW in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ZEO carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CLIR (ClearSign Technologies Corporation) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.8M) and ARTW (Art's-Way Manufacturing Co. Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 15.2x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $15.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTEC leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while GTEC leads on capital efficiency (9.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZEO?
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Per ZEO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001865506), Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) generated $69.3M in revenue (-5.3% YoY), -$14.0M in net income, and -$9.9M in free cash flow against $56.9M in total assets and $55.6K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.24 (-0.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (10)SEC (5)Macro (9)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE ZEO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZEO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ZEO SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$0.25+8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$0.27-7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$0.25-4% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$0.24-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ZEO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ZEO currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.28) and Max Pain ($0.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.74.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZEO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ZEO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ZEO Stock slipped -1.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (ZEO) slipped -1.67% to $0.24, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($0.19 – $1.66). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($0.19 – $1.66) with RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.24 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 55.2% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ZEO Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZEO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ZEO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ZEO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -76.00%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-04O $0.24H $0.24L $0.24C $0.24VOL 314.7K
RES: $1.35SUP: $0.24SMA50: $0.28SMA200: $0.66
$1.39$1.06$0.74$0.41$0.09RES $1.35SUP $0.24$0.242026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZEO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ZEO Butterfly Map → + Track ZEO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZEO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZEO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZEO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZEO)

Industrials Rank #367 of 486 ⚔️ CLIR vs ZEO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ZEO vs. CLIR, ARTW, GTEC, BEEM)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (ZEO) ranks #367 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #437 by equity capitalization ($16.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTEC leads on earnings valuation at 3.7x trailing P/E, while GTEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.1% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. GTEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with ZEO at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ZEO ACTIVE
Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A)
D- 36/100 — 55.2% -35.0% -1.67% $16.2M Benchmark Subject
CLIR
ClearSign Technologies Corporation
E 24/100 — 27.2% -35.0% +0.43% $15.8M /clir-vs-zeo →
ARTW
Art's-Way Manufacturing Co. Inc.
D- 40/100 15.2x 27.3% 1.5% +9.23% $15.4M /artw-vs-zeo →
GTEC
Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation (Class A)
C- 60/100 3.7x 31.4% 9.1% -10.75% $15.4M /gtec-vs-zeo →
BEEM
Beam Global
E 16/100 — 12.5% -35.0% -6.55% $18.2M /beem-vs-zeo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001865506 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (ZEO) reported GAAP revenue of $69.3M (-5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $73.2M , and -36.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.0M, operating cash flow of -$8.7M, and free cash flow of -$9.9M (-9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ZEO closed FY2025 with $56.9M in total assets against $55.6K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $69.3M -$14.0M -$8.7M -$9.9M $56.9M $55.6K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $73.2M -$2.7M -$8.7M -$9.1M $61.0M $496.6K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $109.7M -$3.0M $12.0M $12.0M — —

3. ZEO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZEO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.24 (-1.67% 1D, market cap $16.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ZEO ranks #367 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ZEO compare to CLIR and ARTW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ZEO carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CLIR (ClearSign Technologies Corporation) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.8M) and ARTW (Art's-Way Manufacturing Co. Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 15.2x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $15.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTEC leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while GTEC leads on capital efficiency (9.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZEO?

Per ZEO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001865506), Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) generated $69.3M in revenue (-5.3% YoY), -$14.0M in net income, and -$9.9M in free cash flow against $56.9M in total assets and $55.6K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ZEO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZEO last traded at $0.24 (-1.67% on volume of 314,699 shares), positioning the stock -14.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.28) and -63.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.66). Across its 52-week range of $0.19 to $1.66, ZEO sits at the 3.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.27).

Direct Sub-Reports: ZEO RQD Cockpit ZEO 12M Forecast ZEO Earnings & Move ZEO Dividends & DRIP ZEO Insiders & 13F ZEO Whale Options ZEO Profit Sankey ZEO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ZEO — Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (ZEO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.24 (-1.67% 1D, market capitalization $16.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 55.2%, operating margin of -29.6%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.01x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (ZEO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry..0B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (ZEO) reported $69.3M in annual revenue (up from $73.2M in FY2024, -5.3% YoY) and -$14.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($109.7M revenue, -$3.0M net income) through FY2025, ZEO scaled operating cash flow to -$8.7M and free cash flow to -$9.9M, backed by $56.9M in total assets against $55.6K in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.19 – $1.66 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -29.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain is "NONE," and butterfly links and proprietary signals are empty. Sector correlations beyond the beta of 1.

  • Key Question #1: Can ZEO sustain or expand its -29.6% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $69.3M and free cash flow of -$9.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $55.6K in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ZEO's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ZEO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A) (ZEO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ZEO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ZEO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.24?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZEO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ZEO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.30 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $0.27 with a 52-week low of $0.19, and a 5.01% gain on 799,441 shares of volume signals active trading interest.

Picked up a starter position in ZEO in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $0.25. The stock trades at $0.27 with a 52-week low of $0.19, and a 5.01% gain on 799,441 shares of volume signals active trading interest.. Trading inside a $0.19–$1.74 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ZEO's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.21 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $0.25

With ROIC at -35%, FY 2025 free cash flow of -$9.9M against $6.1M of cash, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, the balance sheet and cash eng

With ROIC at -35%, FY 2025 free cash flow of -$9.9M against $6.1M of cash, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, the balance sheet and cash engine show significant pressure.. Look at the math on ZEO: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -29.6% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Machinery/Components demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.22 before getting long.

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