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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ZG / news
Z (50) ANDG (61) ETSY (73) EXLS (86) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Why ZG Stock surged +3.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$32.90 +3.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.03

Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.17B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ZG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $32.90 (+3.17% 1D, market cap $7.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZG ranks #555 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ZG compare to Z and ANDG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ZG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, Z (Zillow Group Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $6.96B) and ANDG (Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.9%, cap $7.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXLS leads on earnings multiple (24.7x) while ETSY leads on capital efficiency (33.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZG?
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Per ZG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001617640), Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.58B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $235.0M in free cash flow against $5.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.03 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 9.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (4)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$79 Bull$32 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE ZG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ZG SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.1% FCF Margin ($235.0M FCF) & 74.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$28.69+10.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$31.82+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$33.73-2.5% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$32.90-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ZG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ZG currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.98) and Max Pain ($34.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $78.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ZG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ZG Stock surged +3.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) surged +3.17% to $32.90, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($27.25 – $74.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($27.25 – $74.8) with RSI-14 at 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.2% around $32.90 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 74.1% gross margin and $235.0M annual free cash flow.
Live ZG Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ZG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ZG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.68%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $32.10H $32.90L $31.89C $32.90VOL 1.02M
RES: $35.23SUP: $25.38SMA50: $31.98SMA200: $38.98
$67.04$56.26$45.47$34.69$23.90RES $35.23SUP $25.38$32.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ZG Butterfly Map → + Track ZG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #555 of 1009 ⚔️ Z vs ZG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ZG vs. Z, ANDG, ETSY, EXLS)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) ranks #555 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #213 by equity capitalization ($7.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXLS leads on earnings valuation at 24.7x trailing P/E, while ETSY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.3% ROIC and 71.6% gross margin. EXLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with ZG at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ZG ACTIVE
Zillow Group Inc. (Class A)
D 49/100 — 74.1% -0.7% +3.17% $7.17B Benchmark Subject
Z
Zillow Group Inc.
D 50/100 — 74.1% -0.6% +4.46% $6.96B /z-vs-zg →
ANDG
Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 — — -28.9% +0.41% $7.47B /andg-vs-zg →
ETSY
Etsy Inc.
B 73/100 48.4x 71.6% 33.3% +3.92% $7.67B /etsy-vs-zg →
EXLS
ExlService Holdings Inc.
A 86/100 24.7x 38.4% 23.4% +2.66% $6.25B /exls-vs-zg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001617640 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.58B (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.24B , and +32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.0M, operating cash flow of $368.0M, and free cash flow of $235.0M (-17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ZG closed FY2025 with $5.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.69, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.58B $23.0M $368.0M $235.0M $5.68B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.24B -$112.0M $428.0M $285.0M $5.83B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.95B -$158.0M $354.0M $354.0M — —

3. ZG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $32.90 (+3.17% 1D, market cap $7.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZG ranks #555 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ZG compare to Z and ANDG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ZG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, Z (Zillow Group Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $6.96B) and ANDG (Andersen Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.9%, cap $7.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXLS leads on earnings multiple (24.7x) while ETSY leads on capital efficiency (33.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZG?

Per ZG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001617640), Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.58B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $235.0M in free cash flow against $5.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ZG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZG last traded at $32.90 (+3.17% on volume of 3,323,794 shares), positioning the stock +2.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($31.98) and -15.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.98). Across its 52-week range of $27.25 to $74.80, ZG sits at the 11.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($29.87 to $35.93).

Direct Sub-Reports: ZG RQD Cockpit ZG 12M Forecast ZG Earnings & Move ZG Dividends & DRIP ZG Insiders & 13F ZG Whale Options ZG Profit Sankey ZG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ZG — Zillow Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $32.90 (+3.17% 1D, market capitalization $7.17B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.7%, gross margin of 74.1%, operating margin of -1.3%, and free cash flow yield of 3.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.69, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Business Services industry. The source data identifies the company as a Business Services participant but does not provide a detailed description of its products, customer base, or revenue model. Market capitalization is $7.2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) reported $2.58B in annual revenue (up from $2.24B in FY2024, +15.5% YoY) and $23.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.95B revenue, -$158.0M net income) through FY2025, ZG scaled operating cash flow to $368.0M and free cash flow to $235.0M, backed by $5.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 49/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 3.26% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.25 – $74.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream supply-chain links are recorded, and the supply_chain field is NONE. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided data. The one ripple the news feed does indicate is interest-rate sensitivity: the 24/7 Wall St. Catalyst ties ZG's move to retreating long-term rates alongside Opendoor and Compass.

  • Key Question #1: Can ZG sustain or expand its -1.3% operating margin and -0.7% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.58B and free cash flow of $235.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ZG's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ZG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Zillow Group Inc. (Class A) (ZG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ZG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ZG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $32.90?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ZG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $40.18 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 5.69 and Piotroski F of 8/9, while FY 2025 net income turned positive at $23.0M

Long ZG at $31.89 targeting $40.18. Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 5.69 and Piotroski F of 8/9, while FY 2025 net income turned positive at $23.0M.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $27.25 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $31.89 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.24 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $31.89

ROIC of -0.7% and operating margin of -1.3% show the business is not yet earning above its cost of capital despite revenue growth to $2

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ZG above $31.89. ROIC of -0.7% and operating margin of -1.3% show the business is not yet earning above its cost of capital despite revenue growth to $2.58B.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (3.26%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $74.80.

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