Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ZGN / forecast

FIGS (66) COLM (70) UAA (27) CPRI (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$13.49 +0.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.48

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.62B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ZGN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ZGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (NYSE: ZGN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $13.49 (+0.60% 1D, market cap $3.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZGN ranks #395 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ZGN compare to FIGS and COLM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), ZGN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FIGS (FIGS Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 104.4x, ROIC 7.3%, cap $3.54B) and COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $3.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COLM leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while CPRI leads on capital efficiency (10.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZGN?

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For Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #395 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.48 (-0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZGN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ZGN SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$12.94-1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.77+4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$13.37+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$13.49-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ZGN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, ZGN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.76) or 200D SMA ($12.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.43) toward Bear Floor ($10.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZGN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ZGN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ZGN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $13.49: 741.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.48

$7,769

$-2,231 (-22.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.43

$9,956

$-44 (-0.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $16.75

$12,417

+$2,417 (+24.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$14	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$16	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$12	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZGN)

✓Walkthrough of ZGN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ZGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.03%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $13.41H $13.49L $13.41C $13.49VOL 731.1K

RES: $16.74SUP: $10.55SMA50: $12.76SMA200: $12.43

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZGN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ZGN Butterfly Map → + Track ZGN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZGN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZGN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZGN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZGN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #395 of 1011 ⚔️ FIGS vs ZGN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ZGN vs. FIGS, COLM, UAA, CPRI)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) ranks #395 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #331 by equity capitalization ($3.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COLM leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while CPRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.4% ROIC and 62.3% gross margin. COLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ZGN at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ZGN ACTIVE Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	+0.60%	$3.62B	Benchmark Subject
FIGS FIGS Inc.	C+	66/100	104.4x	66.5%	7.3%	-1.16%	$3.54B	/figs-vs-zgn →
COLM Columbia Sportswear Company	B-	70/100	18.4x	50.5%	9.2%	+6.05%	$3.46B	/colm-vs-zgn →
UAA Under Armour Inc. (Class A)	E	27/100	—	45.5%	-9.5%	-0.60%	$2.14B	/uaa-vs-zgn →
CPRI Capri Holdings Limited	D	50/100	23.1x	62.3%	10.4%	+16.31%	$2.12B	/cpri-vs-zgn →

2. ZGN Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) operates in Apparel (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $3.62B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ZGN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ZGN compare to FIGS and COLM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZGN?

Where is ZGN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZGN last traded at $13.49 (+0.60% on volume of 731,122 shares), positioning the stock +5.72% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.76) and +8.53% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.43). Across its 52-week range of $8.65 to $15.95, ZGN sits at the 66.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($12.56 to $14.42).

ZGN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ZGN's 12-month stock price target?

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.43 (-0.4% from $13.49), with a bull-case target of $16.75 and a bear-case floor of $10.48.

Is ZGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ZGN D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 57/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ZGN RQD Cockpit ZGN 12M Forecast ZGN Earnings & Move ZGN Dividends & DRIP ZGN Insiders & 13F ZGN Whale Options ZGN Profit Sankey ZGN News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ZGN — Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ZGN scores 57 out of 100, grade D+, labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. This pillar is the weakest signal in the cash-generation dimension, which means the rating does not credit the company with demonstrable return on capital or free-cash-flow generation in the source data.
Whale 13F Flow (13 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It sits mid-range, indicating neither strong accumulation nor strong distribution in the source data.
Insider Conviction (9 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the lowest-scoring pillar, signaling weak insider conviction.
Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited fit with the macro regime as scored.
Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is mid-range; the balance-sheet metrics are not the primary drag.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the implication is that the rating's weakest links are cash generation and insider conviction, while balance-sheet forensics are comparatively stronger. Upside drivers in this framework would require improvement in ROIC and free-cash-flow yield, both currently reported at 0%. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. The rating is a descriptive summary of the data provided and is not personalized financial advice.

Business

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Apparel industry, per the profile section. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $3.6B. Not available in source data regarding specific products, customers, or revenue model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines reference ZGN, each flagged with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label, sourced from Yahoo! Finance Canada, Stocktwits, Seeking Alpha, TradingView, Yahoo Finance, and GuruFocus. Items referencing a Q3 2026 sales/trading statement call (dated 2026-10-26) and a Q3 earnings call appear in the feed. One item reports that a director sold 8,000 shares; the summary field describes that report only generically. The feed summaries are boilerplate and contain no quantitative results.

Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items are limited to the insider sale reference and the absence of quantitative earnings detail in the feed.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottleneck links are recorded. The sector is listed as Consumer Discretionary and the industry as Apparel, but no peer relationships or ripple paths are provided. Not available in source data for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or 2nd-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

What are reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, and free cash flow for recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
Why are margins and ROIC reported at 0%, and is that a data gap or an operating reality?
What were the quantitative results of the Q3 2026 sales/trading statement and earnings call referenced in the news feed?
What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, and is there any institutional or insider holder data?
What is the size and context of the director's reported 8,000-share sale?

ZGN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ZGN Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 20h ago

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 23h ago

ZGN: Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) Q3 2026 Sales/ Trading Statement Call - Slideshow (NYSE:ZGN) 2026-10-26

Seeking Alpha report covering Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. Estimates – NYSE:ZGN

TradingView report covering Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

What Ermenegildo Zegna (ZGN) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Director Michele Norsa Sells 8,000 Shares of Ermenegildo Zegna N

GuruFocus report covering Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) - What Are Investment Firms Thinking About This Stock?

MarketBeat report covering Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Director Michele Norsa proposes selling 8,000 Ermenegildo Zegna (ZGN) shares.

Stock Titan report covering Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ZGN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.49?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZGN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $14.48 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ZGN (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $13.41?

Welcome to the ZGN (Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Apparel. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.86 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $13.41

Pump the brakes on ZGN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ZGN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.69 (+17.0%)

Spot @ $13.41

ZGN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ZGN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Apparel and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.41 (52-wk range $8.65 - $15.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.