How profitable is Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ZWS converted $1.7B of revenue into a 45.1% gross margin, 16.4% operating margin, and $270.2M in free cash flow (15.9% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Industrials / ZWS / financials

RAL (49) AGCO (60) SPXC (55) MSM (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$44.67 -0.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.56

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.40B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ZWS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ZWS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (NYSE: ZWS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $44.67 (-0.29% 1D, market cap $7.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ZWS ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ZWS compare to RAL and AGCO in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ZWS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.3x, gross margin of 45.1%, and ROIC of 12.3%. By comparison, RAL (Ralliant Corporation) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.44B) and AGCO (AGCO Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $7.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while MSM leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZWS?

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Per ZWS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001439288), Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation generated $1.70B in revenue (+8.3% YoY), $198.0M in net income, and $270.2M in free cash flow against $2.68B in total assets and $495.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.56 (-0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 15.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZWS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ZWS SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.75 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.9% FCF Margin ($270.2M FCF) & 45.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$47.09+2.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$48.38-10.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$43.50+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$44.67+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ZWS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, ZWS faces multiple-compression risk if 37.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.85) or 200D SMA ($48.27) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($45.27) toward Bear Floor ($35.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZWS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ZWS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ZWS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$270.2M (15.9% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.53B

FY24

Rev $1.57B

FY25

Rev $1.70B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.70B	45.1%	16.4%	$198.0M	$270.2M	12.3%
FY 2024	$1.57B	45.1%	15.6%	$160.2M	$223.0M	10.3%
FY 2023	$1.53B	45.1%	12.5%	$112.7M	$185.0M	6.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZWS)

✓Walkthrough of ZWS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ZWS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $44.73H $44.80L $44.67C $44.67VOL 1.44M

RES: $49.39SUP: $42.66SMA50: $46.85SMA200: $48.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZWS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ZWS Butterfly Map → + Track ZWS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

28.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZWS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZWS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZWS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZWS)

Industrials Rank #104 of 486 ⚔️ RAL vs ZWS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ZWS vs. RAL, AGCO, SPXC, MSM)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #119 by equity capitalization ($7.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCO leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while MSM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 40.8% gross margin. MSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with ZWS at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ZWS ACTIVE Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation	C-	61/100	37.3x	45.1%	12.3%	-0.29%	$7.40B	Benchmark Subject
RAL Ralliant Corporation	D	49/100	—	50.3%	-35.0%	-1.34%	$7.44B	/ral-vs-zws →
AGCO AGCO Corporation	C-	60/100	10.4x	25.5%	8.2%	+2.26%	$7.65B	/agco-vs-zws →
SPXC SPX Technologies Inc.	D+	55/100	34.3x	40.5%	10.6%	+1.11%	$8.01B	/spxc-vs-zws →
MSM MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc.	B	75/100	34.4x	40.8%	13.2%	-1.16%	$6.76B	/msm-vs-zws →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001439288 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.70B (+8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B , and +10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $198.0M, operating cash flow of $346.5M, and free cash flow of $270.2M (+21.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ZWS closed FY2025 with $2.68B in total assets against $495.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.75, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.70B	$198.0M	$346.5M	$270.2M	$2.68B	$495.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.57B	$160.2M	$293.5M	$223.0M	$2.65B	$494.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.53B	$112.7M	$253.9M	$185.0M	$4.06B	$950.4M

3. ZWS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZWS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ZWS compare to RAL and AGCO in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZWS?

Where is ZWS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZWS last traded at $44.67 (-0.29% on volume of 1,868,494 shares), positioning the stock -4.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.85) and -7.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($48.27). Across its 52-week range of $42.89 to $55.00, ZWS sits at the 14.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($41.90 to $47.44).

Direct Sub-Reports: ZWS RQD Cockpit ZWS 12M Forecast ZWS Earnings & Move ZWS Dividends & DRIP ZWS Insiders & 13F ZWS Whale Options ZWS Profit Sankey ZWS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ZWS — Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $44.67 (-0.29% 1D, market capitalization $7.40B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.3%, gross margin of 45.1%, operating margin of 16.4%, and free cash flow yield of 3.66%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.75, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.31x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry..4B. It generated FY 2025 revenue of $1.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) reported $1.70B in annual revenue (up from $1.57B in FY2024, +8.3% YoY) and $198.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.53B revenue, $112.7M net income) through FY2025, ZWS scaled operating cash flow to $346.5M and free cash flow to $270.2M, backed by $2.68B in total assets against $495.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Strong cash generator (45.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $42.89 – $55.00 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 37.3x trailing P/E and 22.0x EV/EBITDA against 16.4% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector is Industrials and the industry is Industrial Machinery/Components. Investors should therefore treat second-order ripple analysis as an open gap in this dossier rather than a conclusion.

Key Question #1: Can ZWS sustain or expand its 16.4% operating margin and 12.3% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.70B and free cash flow of $270.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $495.6M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is ZWS's 34.7x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?

ZWS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ZWS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Needs To Fall More Than This To Warrant An Upgrade (NYSE:ZWS)

Seeking Alpha report covering Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Yahoo Finance report covering Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions (NYSE:ZWS) - Stock Analysis

Simply Wall St report covering Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation Estimates – NYSE:ZWS

TradingView report covering Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟢 CATALYST Stock Titan • 1d ago

TIME ranked Zurn Elkay highest among three Wisconsin companies on its 2027 growth list.

Stock Titan report covering Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Cor Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Yahoo Finance report covering Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Business Wire • 1d ago

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Raises Quarterly Dividend by 18%

Business Wire report covering Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 2d ago

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:ZWS) 2026-10-28

Seeking Alpha report covering Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ZWS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $44.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZWS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.76 (+20.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Pristine forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 4.75, Piotroski F 9/9, Debt/Equity 0.31) with revenue and net income both growing from FY 202

Long ZWS at $44.80 targeting $53.76. Pristine forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 4.75, Piotroski F 9/9, Debt/Equity 0.31) with revenue and net income both growing from FY 2023 to FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $42.89 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $44.80 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.18 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $44.80

Expensive valuation (P/E 37.3, EV/EBITDA 22) against a thin 3.66% FCF yield, weak 6/20 institutional flow, and a beta-0.98 profile offe

Fading this rally in ZWS at $44.80. Expensive valuation (P/E 37.3, EV/EBITDA 22) against a thin 3.66% FCF yield, weak 6/20 institutional flow, and a beta-0.98 profile offering little macro differentiation.. With a beta of 0.98 and the stock sitting at $44.80 (52-wk range $42.89–$55.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.