ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BFAM // Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001437578 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Consumer Services
$54.31 ▼ -0.67 (-1.22%)
MKT CAP: $2.67B • VOL: 2.26M
BFAM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C (RQD 63) -> C- (RQD 61)
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +7.7% vs NI +37.8% • ROIC-WACC +4.1% • Z 1.99
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +7.9% • P/E 15.7x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.10
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did BFAM's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever BFAM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

BFAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $66.98H $66.98L $54.31C $54.31VOL 7.37M
RES: $73.76SUP: $51.31SMA50: $67.70SMA200: $73.60
$100.7$87.53$74.36$61.18$48.01RES $73.76SUP $51.31$54.312026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
BFAM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 52/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) exhibits 23.8% gross margins and 12.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Consumer Services), balanced against a 9.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 23.8% gross profitability converts into 10.7% operating margin and 12.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 12.8% // GM: 23.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.2% paired with 7.94% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.2% // FCF YLD: 7.94%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.99 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.99 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 16.9x trailing P/E (15.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 16.9x // EV/EBITDA: 9.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $54.31 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Consumer Services require continuous execution to defend 6.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.6% // D/E: 0.56x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 15.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.16).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 16.9x
FORWARD P/E 15.7x
EV / EBITDA 9.8x
FCF YIELD 7.94%
GROSS MARGIN 23.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 10.7%
NET MARGIN 6.6%
ROIC % 12.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.97
DEBT / EQUITY 0.56x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.16
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BFAMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $49.70
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for BFAM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>