ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

INGR // Ingredion Incorporated

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001046257 ↗
Consumer Staples • Packaged Foods
$98.93 ▲ +1.96 (+2.02%)
MKT CAP: $6.12B • VOL: 680.6K
INGR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -55.2% vs NI +12.7% • ROIC-WACC +7% • Z 3.69
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +8.5% • P/E 7.7x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did INGR's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever INGR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

INGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $95.59H $98.93L $95.59C $98.93VOL 761.9K
RES: $110.5SUP: $93.23SMA50: $97.93SMA200: $105.4
$118.8$111.9$105.0$98.07$91.15RES $110.5SUP $93.23$98.932026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
INGR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) exhibits 25.3% gross margins and 16.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Packaged Foods), balanced against a 4.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 25.3% gross profitability converts into 14.1% operating margin and 16.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 16.1% // GM: 25.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.8% paired with 8.48% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.8% // FCF YLD: 8.48%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.69 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.69 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 8.3x trailing P/E (7.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 8.3x // EV/EBITDA: 4.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $98.93 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Packaged Foods require continuous execution to defend 10.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.1% // D/E: 0.41x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 7.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.16).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 8.3x
FORWARD P/E 7.7x
EV / EBITDA 4.9x
FCF YIELD 8.48%
GROSS MARGIN 25.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 14.1%
NET MARGIN 10.1%
ROIC % 16.1%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $11.56
DEBT / EQUITY 0.41x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.50%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 51.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.16
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // INGRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $90.52
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for INGR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>