Should I buy, hold, or sell INGR stock right now?

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 25.3% gross margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is INGR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

INGR's 12-month base price target is $101.16 (range $78.9 to $129.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / INGR

CPB (63) CAG (49) LW (78) DAR (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$98.93 +2.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $99.10

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on INGR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is INGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Ingredion Incorporated (NYSE: INGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $98.93 (+2.02% 1D, market cap $6.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, INGR ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does INGR compare to CPB and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), INGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, CPB (The Campbell's Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INGR?

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Per INGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046257), Ingredion Incorporated generated $7.22B in revenue (-2.8% YoY), $729.0M in net income, and $511.0M in free cash flow against $7.90B in total assets and $1.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $99.10 (+0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for INGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY INGR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$97.32-1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$95.68-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$94.25+5% Next Q

Current

Grade C$98.93+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the INGR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, INGR faces multiple-compression risk if 8.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($97.93) or 200D SMA ($105.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($101.16) toward Bear Floor ($78.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $INGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “INGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

51.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.69>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE19% OF RANGE

L: $93$98.93H: $123

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (25.3% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on INGR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

16.1% ROIC with 25.3% gross margin and 8.48% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.69 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (58)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like INGR

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (INGR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

INGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $95.59H $98.93L $95.59C $98.93VOL 761.9K

RES: $110.5SUP: $93.23SMA50: $97.93SMA200: $105.4

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

INGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 INGR Butterfly Map → + Track INGR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

-4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on INGR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for INGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for INGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (INGR)

Consumer Staples Rank #40 of 147 ⚔️ CPB vs INGR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (INGR vs. CPB, CAG, LW, DAR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #44 by equity capitalization ($6.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with INGR at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
INGR ACTIVE Ingredion Incorporated	C	63/100	8.3x	25.3%	16.1%	+2.02%	$6.12B	Benchmark Subject
CPB The Campbell's Company	C	63/100	10.4x	30.4%	10.8%	+3.36%	$6.39B	/cpb-vs-ingr →
CAG ConAgra Brands Inc.	D	49/100	—	23.9%	-10.0%	+1.51%	$6.96B	/cag-vs-ingr →
LW Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.	B+	78/100	25.3x	20.6%	14.8%	+4.62%	$7.45B	/lw-vs-ingr →
DAR Darling Ingredients Inc.	D+	55/100	138.6x	24.0%	3.1%	-3.07%	$8.79B	/dar-vs-ingr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001046257 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) reported GAAP revenue of $7.22B (-2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.43B , and -11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $729.0M, operating cash flow of $944.0M, and free cash flow of $511.0M (-55.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, INGR closed FY2025 with $7.90B in total assets against $1.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.69, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$7.22B	$729.0M	$944.0M	$511.0M	$7.90B	$1.74B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.43B	$647.0M	$1.44B	$1.14B	$7.44B	$1.79B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.16B	$643.0M	$1.06B	$689.8M	$9.79B	$2.29B

3. INGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is INGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does INGR compare to CPB and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INGR?

Where is INGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

INGR last traded at $98.93 (+2.02% on volume of 680,614 shares), positioning the stock +1.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($97.93) and -6.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($105.37). Across its 52-week range of $93.30 to $123.49, INGR sits at the 18.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($95.27 to $102.59).

Direct Sub-Reports: INGR RQD Cockpit INGR 12M Forecast INGR Earnings & Move INGR Dividends & DRIP INGR Insiders & 13F INGR Whale Options INGR Profit Sankey INGR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

INGR — Ingredion Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $98.93 (+2.02% 1D, market capitalization $6.12B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.1%, gross margin of 25.3%, operating margin of 14.1%, and free cash flow yield of 8.48%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.69, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.41x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ingredion Incorporated is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Staples sector and the Packaged Foods industry. Market capitalization is reported at $6.0B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) reported $7.22B in annual revenue (up from $7.43B in FY2024, -2.8% YoY) and $729.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.16B revenue, $643.0M net income) through FY2025, INGR scaled operating cash flow to $944.0M and free cash flow to $511.0M, backed by $7.90B in total assets against $1.74B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $93.30 – $123.49 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.3x trailing P/E and 4.9x EV/EBITDA against 14.1% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Packaged Foods (Consumer Staples), INGR carries a macro regime beta of 1.16 and gross margin of 25.3%.

Key Question #1: Can INGR sustain or expand its 14.1% operating margin and 16.1% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.22B and free cash flow of $511.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.74B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is INGR's 7.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

INGR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to INGR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 22h ago

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Ingredion Incorporated Estimates – NYSE:INGR

TradingView report covering Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Ingredion: Undervalued Before A Major Potential Transformation (NYSE:INGR)

Seeking Alpha report covering Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Ingredion's Clean-Label Demand Rises: Can Share Gains Keep Building?

Yahoo Finance report covering Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ingredion Incorporated (NYSE:INGR) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $121.29 According to Brokerages

MarketBeat report covering Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Two stock grants give Ingredion (INGR) CFO rights to 5,396 and 7,264 shares.

Stock Titan report covering Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

ADM vs. INGR: Which Food Ingredients Stock Looks More Attractive?

TradingView report covering Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

INGR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $98.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON INGR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $127.03 (+31.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Low 8.3x trailing P/E and 8.48% FCF yield paired with a 3.69 Altman Z-Score and 16.1% ROIC suggest the cash engine and balance sheet ar

Don't sleep on INGR's setup in Consumer Staples. Low 8.3x trailing P/E and 8.48% FCF yield paired with a 3.69 Altman Z-Score and 16.1% ROIC suggest the cash engine and balance sheet are being priced cheaply.. Beta of 1.16 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (63/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $96.97 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.61 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $96.97

Revenue declined from $8.16B in FY 2023 to $7.22B in FY 2025 while the Whale 13F Flow pillar scored only 7/20, signaling weak insti

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on INGR: Revenue declined from $8.16B in FY 2023 to $7.22B in FY 2025 while the Whale 13F Flow pillar scored only 7/20, signaling weak institutional conviction.. At 8.3x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.