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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / INGR / news
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Why INGR Stock surged +2.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$98.93 +2.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $99.10

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is INGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ingredion Incorporated (NYSE: INGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $98.93 (+2.02% 1D, market cap $6.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, INGR ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does INGR compare to CPB and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), INGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, CPB (The Campbell's Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INGR?
▼

Per INGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046257), Ingredion Incorporated generated $7.22B in revenue (-2.8% YoY), $729.0M in net income, and $511.0M in free cash flow against $7.90B in total assets and $1.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $99.10 (+0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$130 Bull$101 Base$79 Bear
📬 FREE INGR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for INGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY INGR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$97.32-1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$95.68-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$94.25+5% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$98.93+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the INGR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, INGR faces multiple-compression risk if 8.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($97.93) or 200D SMA ($105.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($101.16) toward Bear Floor ($78.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $INGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “INGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why INGR Stock surged +2.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) surged +2.02% to $98.93, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($93.3 – $123.49). Solid 25.3% gross margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($93.3 – $123.49) with RSI-14 at 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.7% around $98.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 25.3% gross margin and $511.0M annual free cash flow.
Live INGR Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (INGR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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INGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $95.59H $98.93L $95.59C $98.93VOL 761.9K
RES: $110.5SUP: $93.23SMA50: $97.93SMA200: $105.4
$118.8$111.9$105.0$98.07$91.15RES $110.5SUP $93.23$98.932026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

INGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 INGR Butterfly Map → + Track INGR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on INGR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for INGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for INGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (INGR)

Consumer Staples Rank #40 of 147 ⚔️ CPB vs INGR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (INGR vs. CPB, CAG, LW, DAR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #44 by equity capitalization ($6.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with INGR at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
INGR ACTIVE
Ingredion Incorporated
C 63/100 8.3x 25.3% 16.1% +2.02% $6.12B Benchmark Subject
CPB
The Campbell's Company
C 63/100 10.4x 30.4% 10.8% +3.36% $6.39B /cpb-vs-ingr →
CAG
ConAgra Brands Inc.
D 49/100 — 23.9% -10.0% +1.51% $6.96B /cag-vs-ingr →
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 25.3x 20.6% 14.8% +4.62% $7.45B /lw-vs-ingr →
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc.
D+ 55/100 138.6x 24.0% 3.1% -3.07% $8.79B /dar-vs-ingr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001046257 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) reported GAAP revenue of $7.22B (-2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.43B , and -11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $729.0M, operating cash flow of $944.0M, and free cash flow of $511.0M (-55.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, INGR closed FY2025 with $7.90B in total assets against $1.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.69, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.22B $729.0M $944.0M $511.0M $7.90B $1.74B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.43B $647.0M $1.44B $1.14B $7.44B $1.79B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.16B $643.0M $1.06B $689.8M $9.79B $2.29B

3. INGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is INGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ingredion Incorporated (NYSE: INGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $98.93 (+2.02% 1D, market cap $6.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, INGR ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

How does INGR compare to CPB and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), INGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, CPB (The Campbell's Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INGR?

Per INGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046257), Ingredion Incorporated generated $7.22B in revenue (-2.8% YoY), $729.0M in net income, and $511.0M in free cash flow against $7.90B in total assets and $1.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is INGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

INGR last traded at $98.93 (+2.02% on volume of 680,614 shares), positioning the stock +1.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($97.93) and -6.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($105.37). Across its 52-week range of $93.30 to $123.49, INGR sits at the 18.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($95.27 to $102.59).

Direct Sub-Reports: INGR RQD Cockpit INGR 12M Forecast INGR Earnings & Move INGR Dividends & DRIP INGR Insiders & 13F INGR Whale Options INGR Profit Sankey INGR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

INGR — Ingredion Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $98.93 (+2.02% 1D, market capitalization $6.12B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.1%, gross margin of 25.3%, operating margin of 14.1%, and free cash flow yield of 8.48%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.69, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.41x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ingredion Incorporated is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Staples sector and the Packaged Foods industry. Market capitalization is reported at $6.0B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) reported $7.22B in annual revenue (up from $7.43B in FY2024, -2.8% YoY) and $729.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.16B revenue, $643.0M net income) through FY2025, INGR scaled operating cash flow to $944.0M and free cash flow to $511.0M, backed by $7.90B in total assets against $1.74B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $93.30 – $123.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.3x trailing P/E and 4.9x EV/EBITDA against 14.1% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Packaged Foods (Consumer Staples), INGR carries a macro regime beta of 1.16 and gross margin of 25.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can INGR sustain or expand its 14.1% operating margin and 16.1% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.22B and free cash flow of $511.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.74B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is INGR's 7.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

INGR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to INGR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

INGR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $98.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON INGR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on INGR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $127.03 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low 8.3x trailing P/E and 8.48% FCF yield paired with a 3.69 Altman Z-Score and 16.1% ROIC suggest the cash engine and balance sheet ar

Don't sleep on INGR's setup in Consumer Staples. Low 8.3x trailing P/E and 8.48% FCF yield paired with a 3.69 Altman Z-Score and 16.1% ROIC suggest the cash engine and balance sheet are being priced cheaply.. Beta of 1.16 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (63/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $96.97 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.61 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $96.97

Revenue declined from $8.16B in FY 2023 to $7.22B in FY 2025 while the Whale 13F Flow pillar scored only 7/20, signaling weak insti

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on INGR: Revenue declined from $8.16B in FY 2023 to $7.22B in FY 2025 while the Whale 13F Flow pillar scored only 7/20, signaling weak institutional conviction.. At 8.3x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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