ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

LUNR // Intuitive Machines Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001844452 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$10.67 ▼ -1.01 (-8.65%)
MKT CAP: $2.44B • VOL: 5.34M
LUNR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 29/100 [E] (-2 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
27 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
4 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF +17.4% vs NI +70.6% • ROIC-WACC -39.8% • Z 2.24
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
4 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 7% • VS 200D -45.6% • RSI 39.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 10 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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LUNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -57.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $11.68H $11.68L $10.67C $10.67VOL 5.34M
RES: $11.43SUP: $9.88SMA50: $13.51SMA200: $19.63
$49.32$38.67$28.03$17.38$6.74RES $11.43SUP $9.88$10.672026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
LUNR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Intuitive Machines Inc. (LUNR) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -32.2% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -42.1% operating margin and -32.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -32.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -9.2% paired with -2.09% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -9.2% // FCF YLD: -2.09%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.24 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.24 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (20.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $10.67 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend -40.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -40.2% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.97).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 20.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -2.09%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -42.1%
NET MARGIN -40.2%
ROIC % -32.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -9.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-0.36
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 39.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.97
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // LUNRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.76
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>