ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NOV // NOV Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001021860 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Oil and Gas Field Machinery
$19.29 ▼ -0.07 (-0.36%)
MKT CAP: $6.90B • VOL: 3.86M
NOV // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 57/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
57 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -8.1% vs NI -77.2% • ROIC-WACC -3.3% • Z 2.03
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF YIELD +12.7% • P/E 44.3x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.13 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.39
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did NOV's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever NOV is Upgraded or Downgraded.

NOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.31%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $19.27H $19.36L $19.27C $19.29VOL 5.14M
RES: $22.15SUP: $18.14SMA50: $19.89SMA200: $19.68
$22.34$20.64$18.95$17.25$15.55RES $22.15SUP $18.14$19.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
NOV // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 38/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NOV Inc. (NOV) exhibits 20.2% gross margins and 6.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), balanced against a 8.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 20.2% gross profitability converts into 5.6% operating margin and 6.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.1% // GM: 20.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -1.4% paired with 12.69% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -1.4% // FCF YLD: 12.69%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.03 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.03 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 47.6x trailing P/E (44.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 47.6x // EV/EBITDA: 8.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $19.29 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Oil and Gas Field Machinery require continuous execution to defend 1.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.7% // D/E: 0.27x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 44.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.11).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 47.6x
FORWARD P/E 44.3x
EV / EBITDA 8.7x
FCF YIELD 12.69%
GROSS MARGIN 20.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 5.6%
NET MARGIN 1.7%
ROIC % 6.1%
REV GROWTH YOY -1.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.41
DEBT / EQUITY 0.27x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.75%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.11
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NOVPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $17.65
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NOV & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>