Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NOV

WFRD (71) SEI (61) WHD (74) DNOW (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NOV Inc. (NOV) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$19.29 -0.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.24

NOV Inc. (NOV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.90B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NOV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, NOV Inc. (NYSE: NOV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.29 (-0.36% 1D, market cap $6.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NOV ranks #406 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NOV compare to WFRD and SEI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), NOV carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.6x, gross margin of 20.2%, and ROIC of 6.1%. By comparison, WFRD (Weatherford International plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 15.1x, ROIC 27.4%, cap $6.49B) and SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 25.3%, cap $5.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WFRD leads on earnings multiple (15.1x) while WFRD leads on capital efficiency (27.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOV?

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Per NOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001021860), NOV Inc. generated $8.74B in revenue (-1.4% YoY), $145.0M in net income, and $876.0M in free cash flow against $11.29B in total assets and $1.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.24 (-0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NOV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NOV SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10% FCF Margin ($876.0M FCF) & 20.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.03 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$18.96+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$18.96+8.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$20.55-6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$19.29-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NOV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, NOV faces multiple-compression risk if 47.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.89) or 200D SMA ($19.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.20) toward Bear Floor ($14.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NOV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NOV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

4930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.03>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE65% OF RANGE

L: $14$19.29H: $22

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (20% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on NOV

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

6.1% ROIC with 20.2% gross margin and 12.69% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 2.03 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NOV

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NOV)

✓Walkthrough of NOV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.31%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $19.27H $19.36L $19.27C $19.29VOL 5.14M

RES: $22.15SUP: $18.14SMA50: $19.89SMA200: $19.68

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NOV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NOV Butterfly Map → + Track NOV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

35.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NOV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #406 of 1011 ⚔️ WFRD vs NOV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NOV vs. WFRD, SEI, WHD, DNOW)

Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NOV Inc. (NOV) ranks #406 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #222 by equity capitalization ($6.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WFRD leads on earnings valuation at 15.1x trailing P/E, while WFRD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 27.4% ROIC and — gross margin. WHD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NOV at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NOV ACTIVE NOV Inc.	D+	57/100	47.6x	20.2%	6.1%	-0.36%	$6.90B	Benchmark Subject
WFRD Weatherford International plc	B-	71/100	15.1x	—	27.4%	+1.17%	$6.49B	/wfrd-vs-nov →
SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	25.3%	+2.29%	$5.29B	/sei-vs-nov →
WHD Cactus Inc.	B	74/100	31.6x	37.0%	15.4%	+0.32%	$5.25B	/whd-vs-nov →
DNOW DNOW Inc.	D+	52/100	—	17.0%	-3.6%	-2.10%	$3.01B	/dnow-vs-nov →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001021860

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NOV Inc. (NOV) reported GAAP revenue of $8.74B (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.87B , and +1.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $145.0M, operating cash flow of $1.25B, and free cash flow of $876.0M (-8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOV closed FY2025 with $11.29B in total assets against $1.69B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.03, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.74B	$145.0M	$1.25B	$876.0M	$11.29B	$1.69B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$8.87B	$635.0M	$1.30B	$953.0M	$11.36B	$1.70B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.58B	$993.0M	$143.0M	-$243.2M	$10.30B	$2.41B

3. NOV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NOV compare to WFRD and SEI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOV?

Where is NOV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NOV last traded at $19.29 (-0.36% on volume of 3,858,835 shares), positioning the stock -3.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.89) and -1.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.68). Across its 52-week range of $14.30 to $21.93, NOV sits at the 65.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($18.23 to $20.35).

NOV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NOV stock right now?

NOV Inc. (NOV) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 48x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NOV's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NOV's 12-month base price target is $19.2 (range $14.98 to $23.03), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NOV RQD Cockpit NOV 12M Forecast NOV Earnings & Move NOV Dividends & DRIP NOV Insiders & 13F NOV Whale Options NOV Profit Sankey NOV News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NOV — NOV Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NOV scores 57 out of 100, graded D+ and labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 6.1%; FCF yield 12.69%); Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.11; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20 (Altman Z 2.03; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.27). Taken together, the pillar scores indicate that no single pillar is strong: the cash-generation pillar is moderate, while the institutional-flow pillar is the weakest at 10/20. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the 12.69% FCF yield and the balance sheet metrics, which the rating treats as adequate rather than exceptional. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: P/E (TTM) of 47.6 sits against EPS (TTM) of 0.41, and the rating's verdict reflects weak fundamentals relative to the price. The macro pillar's Beta of 1.11 implies somewhat above-market sensitivity to broad moves, which the rating scores as a modest drag.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
19.36	$6.9B	47.6	44.3	8.7	0.41	2.75%	1.11	$14.3 - $21.93	6.1%

Business

NOV Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Oil and Gas Field Machinery industry, per the company profile. Beyond the sector and industry classification, the source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Reported gross margin is 20.2%, operating margin 5.6%, and net margin 1.7% per the market data section.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the headlines are generic market and sector items that reference NOV without company-specific detail. Items include a Reuters report that US stock index futures rose as oil fell about 6% (flagged GREEN, CATALYST), a CNBC preview of a busy week ahead covering midterms, Apple earnings, and the jobs report (YELLOW), a Reuters piece on an October dive in AI-related shares (YELLOW), and several quote-page and market-history items (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). The oil-price move is the only headline with a direct sector link; its relevance to NOV is not quantified in the source. Proprietary signals per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: none.

Open Questions

What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue segments, given that the source describes only its sector and industry?
Why did net income decline from $993.0M (FY 2023) to $145.0M (FY 2025) while revenue remained roughly stable, and what drove the margin compression?
What underlies the reported 47.6 P/E (TTM) relative to 0.41 EPS, and how do forward estimates compare, given no analyst data is available?
What are the specific 13F, insider, and Congressional transactions behind the pillar scores for whale flow and insider conviction?
How directly is NOV exposed to the oil-price move referenced in the news feed, and what supply-chain links connect it to upstream or downstream partners?

NOV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NOV Inc. (NOV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NOV Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 8h ago

NOV Inc. (NOV) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Reuters • 11h ago

SNAPSHOT US stock index futures jump as oil falls about 6%

Reuters report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE CNBC • 14h ago

Midterms, Apple earnings, jobs report. Wall Street faces a big week ahead just as investors dump tech

CNBC report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 17h ago

NOV Inc. (NOV) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 20h ago

History Says the Stock Market's Best 6 Months Start Nov. 1. Here's How Often They've Paid Off Since 1950.

The Motley Fool report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Reuters • 23h ago

October dive for AI-related shares tests broader US stock market's resilience

Reuters report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE CNBC • 1d ago

GM will switch to Nasdaq from the NYSE on Nov. 17

CNBC report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

NOV Stock Earnings Beat Raises Questions About Margin Staying Power

Yahoo Finance report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NOV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.29?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NOV 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $20.91 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NOV (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $19.36?

Welcome to the NOV (NOV Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Oil and Gas Field Machinery. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (47.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.26 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $19.36

Pump the brakes on NOV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NOV, but look at what you are paying: 47.6x trailing P/E with 20.2% gross margins. Unless NOV Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.01 (+24.0%)

Spot @ $19.36

NOV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NOV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil and Gas Field Machinery and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.36 (52-wk range $14.30 - $21.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.