Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NOV Stock slipped -0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NOV Inc. (NOV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NOV Inc. (NYSE: NOV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.29 (-0.36% 1D, market cap $6.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NOV ranks #406 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NOV compare to WFRD and SEI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), NOV carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.6x, gross margin of 20.2%, and ROIC of 6.1%. By comparison, WFRD (Weatherford International plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 15.1x, ROIC 27.4%, cap $6.49B) and SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 25.3%, cap $5.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WFRD leads on earnings multiple (15.1x) while WFRD leads on capital efficiency (27.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOV?
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Per NOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001021860), NOV Inc. generated $8.74B in revenue (-1.4% YoY), $145.0M in net income, and $876.0M in free cash flow against $11.29B in total assets and $1.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10% FCF Margin ($876.0M FCF) & 20.2% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 2.03 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NOV Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, NOV faces multiple-compression risk if 47.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.89) or 200D SMA ($19.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.20) toward Bear Floor ($14.98).
Why NOV Stock slipped -0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NOV Inc. (NOV) slipped -0.36% to $19.29, trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($14.3 – $21.93). Stretched risk/reward at 48x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($14.3 – $21.93) with RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.5% around $19.29 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 20.2% gross margin and $876.0M annual free cash flow.
Reuters report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Shell's Q3 earnings more than doubled and beat estimates as record refining margins and higher gas and LNG prices lifted profits, with a new $5B buyback.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NOV)
- ✓Walkthrough of NOV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NOV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOV today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOV)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NOV vs. WFRD, SEI, WHD, DNOW)
Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NOV Inc. (NOV) ranks #406 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #222 by equity capitalization ($6.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WFRD leads on earnings valuation at 15.1x trailing P/E, while WFRD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 27.4% ROIC and — gross margin. WHD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NOV at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOV
ACTIVE
NOV Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 47.6x | 20.2% | 6.1% | -0.36% | $6.90B | Benchmark Subject |
| WFRD Weatherford International plc | B- | 71/100 | 15.1x | — | 27.4% | +1.17% | $6.49B | /wfrd-vs-nov → |
| SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 25.3% | +2.29% | $5.29B | /sei-vs-nov → |
| WHD Cactus Inc. | B | 74/100 | 31.6x | 37.0% | 15.4% | +0.32% | $5.25B | /whd-vs-nov → |
| DNOW DNOW Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | 17.0% | -3.6% | -2.10% | $3.01B | /dnow-vs-nov → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001021860In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NOV Inc. (NOV) reported GAAP revenue of $8.74B (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.87B , and +1.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $145.0M, operating cash flow of $1.25B, and free cash flow of $876.0M (-8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOV closed FY2025 with $11.29B in total assets against $1.69B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.03, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.74B | $145.0M | $1.25B | $876.0M | $11.29B | $1.69B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $8.87B | $635.0M | $1.30B | $953.0M | $11.36B | $1.70B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $8.58B | $993.0M | $143.0M | -$243.2M | $10.30B | $2.41B |
3. NOV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, NOV Inc. (NYSE: NOV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.29 (-0.36% 1D, market cap $6.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NOV ranks #406 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NOV compare to WFRD and SEI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), NOV carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.6x, gross margin of 20.2%, and ROIC of 6.1%. By comparison, WFRD (Weatherford International plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 15.1x, ROIC 27.4%, cap $6.49B) and SEI (Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 25.3%, cap $5.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WFRD leads on earnings multiple (15.1x) while WFRD leads on capital efficiency (27.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOV?
Per NOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001021860), NOV Inc. generated $8.74B in revenue (-1.4% YoY), $145.0M in net income, and $876.0M in free cash flow against $11.29B in total assets and $1.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NOV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NOV last traded at $19.29 (-0.36% on volume of 3,858,835 shares), positioning the stock -3.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.89) and -1.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.68). Across its 52-week range of $14.30 to $21.93, NOV sits at the 65.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($18.23 to $20.35).
NOV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NOV stock moving today?
Why NOV Stock slipped -0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 48x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
NOV — NOV Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, NOV scores 57 out of 100, graded D+ and labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 6.1%; FCF yield 12.69%); Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.11; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20 (Altman Z 2.03; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.27). Taken together, the pillar scores indicate that no single pillar is strong: the cash-generation pillar is moderate, while the institutional-flow pillar is the weakest at 10/20. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the 12.69% FCF yield and the balance sheet metrics, which the rating treats as adequate rather than exceptional. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: P/E (TTM) of 47.6 sits against EPS (TTM) of 0.41, and the rating's verdict reflects weak fundamentals relative to the price. The macro pillar's Beta of 1.11 implies somewhat above-market sensitivity to broad moves, which the rating scores as a modest drag.
Snapshot
Business
NOV Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Oil and Gas Field Machinery industry, per the company profile. Beyond the sector and industry classification, the source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Reported gross margin is 20.2%, operating margin 5.6%, and net margin 1.7% per the market data section.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the headlines are generic market and sector items that reference NOV without company-specific detail. Items include a Reuters report that US stock index futures rose as oil fell about 6% (flagged GREEN, CATALYST), a CNBC preview of a busy week ahead covering midterms, Apple earnings, and the jobs report (YELLOW), a Reuters piece on an October dive in AI-related shares (YELLOW), and several quote-page and market-history items (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). The oil-price move is the only headline with a direct sector link; its relevance to NOV is not quantified in the source. Proprietary signals per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: none.
Open Questions
- What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue segments, given that the source describes only its sector and industry?
- Why did net income decline from $993.0M (FY 2023) to $145.0M (FY 2025) while revenue remained roughly stable, and what drove the margin compression?
- What underlies the reported 47.6 P/E (TTM) relative to 0.41 EPS, and how do forward estimates compare, given no analyst data is available?
- What are the specific 13F, insider, and Congressional transactions behind the pillar scores for whale flow and insider conviction?
- How directly is NOV exposed to the oil-price move referenced in the news feed, and what supply-chain links connect it to upstream or downstream partners?
NOV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NOV Inc. (NOV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering NOV Inc. (NOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NOV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.29?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NOV (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $19.36?
Welcome to the NOV (NOV Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Oil and Gas Field Machinery. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (47.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on NOV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NOV, but look at what you are paying: 47.6x trailing P/E with 20.2% gross margins. Unless NOV Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
NOV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NOV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil and Gas Field Machinery and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.36 (52-wk range $14.30 - $21.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.