ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

RXO // RXO Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001929561 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Transportation Services
$27.82 ▲ +0.33 (+1.20%)
MKT CAP: $4.53B • VOL: 2.02M
RXO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 56/100 [D+] (-2 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
54 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +86% vs NI +65.5% • ROIC-WACC -11.7% • Z 3.35
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
17 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 88% • VS 200D +29.4% • RSI 56.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.00 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.34
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did RXO's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever RXO is Upgraded or Downgraded.

RXO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +57.18%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $27.65H $27.82L $27.49C $27.82VOL 3.12M
RES: $29.26SUP: $17.51SMA50: $24.10SMA200: $21.24
$30.92$26.71$22.49$18.28$14.07RES $29.26SUP $17.51$27.822026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
RXO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

RXO Inc. (RXO) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -2.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Transportation Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -1.4% operating margin and -2.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -2.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +26.2% paired with -0.18% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +26.2% // FCF YLD: -0.18%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.35 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.35 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (22.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $27.82 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Transportation Services require continuous execution to defend -1.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -1.7% // D/E: 0.43x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 22.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.09).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 22.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -0.18%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -1.4%
NET MARGIN -1.7%
ROIC % -2.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +26.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-0.61
DEBT / EQUITY 0.43x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 56.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.09
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RXOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $25.46
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>