RXO Inc. (RXO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RXO scores 56 out of 100, which maps to a letter grade of D+ and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

• Fundamental cash engine: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -2.9% and FCF yield is -0.18%. This is the weakest-scoring pillar relative to the points available and indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow to shareholders.
• Whale 13F flow: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar and signals that large holders have been building positions.
• Insider conviction: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, which is weak in the rating.
• Macro regime fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.09 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. Higher sensitivity to market swings is a meaningful factor in this pillar's weak score.
• Forensic balance sheet: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.35, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.43. This is a relative strength, though not enough to offset weak cash generation.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the practical read is that the rating combines strong institutional interest and a reasonable balance sheet with weak operating returns and cash generation. The strongest upside driver in the source data is institutional positioning; the main valuation tradeoff is that the stock's forward P/E of 22 sits against negative EPS (TTM) of -0.61 and negative ROIC. The rating's verdict is "Trim," which signals the rating's view that the fundamentals do not currently support the current price level. This is an analytical framing for education, not personalized financial advice.

RXO Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Transportation Services industry, per the company profile. Per the company profile, the company is described as operating in Transportation Services with a market capitalization of $4.6B. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or the revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $3927.0M in FY 2023 to $5742.0M in FY 2025, while operating income moved from $39.0M to $-79.0M over the same period. Per the market data, operating margin is -1.4% and net margin is -1.7%, and gross margin is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -2.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating forensic balance sheet pillar, Altman Z is 3.35 and Piotroski F is 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.43. Debt declined from $1102.7M in FY 2023 to $766.8M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the dominant catalyst across all six items is a proposed acquisition of RXO by C.H. Robinson. Reporting from Commercial Carrier Journal, CNBC, Reuters, and Investor's Business Daily describes a transaction valued at $5.8 billion in stock and cash. CNBC characterizes it as a truck broking expansion, and Reuters describes it as pushing into last-mile delivery. A Yahoo Finance item and a Motley Fool item both describe a sharp stock move, and Investor's Business Daily reports the stock rose 25% on the merger offer. Items are labeled as CATALYST or MARKET WIRE with GREEN or YELLOW signal lights. Risk watch: the source data does not describe deal terms, approval timing, or conditions beyond the headline value. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

• What are the terms, conditions, and expected timing of the proposed C.H. Robinson acquisition of RXO, and what is the likelihood of completion?
• Why did the Roarable RQD fundamental cash engine pillar score 9/20 when institutional accumulation scores 18/20, and what drives that divergence?
• What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, since both are unavailable in the source data?
• What drove the swing from FY 2023 net income of $4.0M to FY 2024 net loss of $-290.0M, and what caused the FY 2024 to FY 2025 operating loss change?
• What are the composition and magnitude of the 13F holder positions and insider trades, given that the holders section is empty?